Optimising a Probabilistic Model of the Development of Play in Soccer

We present a probabilistic model based on the one developed by Hernández Mendo and Anguera (Revista de Psicologíca Social, 16(1), 71–93, 2001). Here we have tried to break down the interaction contexts that the opposing teams are able to generate and transform during the game. We are aware that a given player or team does not produce consistent behaviour in similar situations. However, a degree of uncertainty is assumed to exist regarding whether the results obtained are a specific function of the analysis used. In order to carry out this research a category system which optimized that used in the previous model was developed. This system should enable the interaction between teams to be observed within the actual play of a soccer game. A lag sequential analysis was performed on the basis of a coding of the behavioural flow. After describing the behavioural patterns obtained a probabilistic model of the development of play in soccer is proposed.     

供应链中基于质量控制的契约模型分析

供应链中的业务外包策略充分发挥了供应链节点企业的核心竞争力，但同时存在产品质量难以控制的问题。本文通过构建以价格折扣和质保金为参数的契约模型，分析了制造商在非对称信息条件下对业务外包产品进行质量控制的最优契约设计问题。     

知识经济的本质特征及对我国发展机遇的思考

本文在解析知识经济本质特征的基础上,分析了知识经济对我国发展带来的机遇和挑战,提出我国实施知识发展战略,应对知识经济挑战的必要性和具体途径,最后从增强吸收知识、获取知识、交流知识能力三方面提出了相关的政策建议。     

"轮"语——景观设计中的意象创造

“如果人们期望的是一种能够唤起丰富生动的意象的环境,那么人们也期望这种意象能够传播和适应实际变化所需,人们还期望从中发展出新的群体、新的意义和新的诗意。”本文以“轮”为象,以“轮”语之意象阐述了遵义市城市北入口景观方案设计的思路。     

试论企业的终端营销攻略

本文分析了销售终端在企业经营战略中的重大意义，并主要以海尔为例对当今市场经济条件下企业销售终端的建立，提出了若干思路和建议。     

广西北部湾经济区发展战略探析

分析了广西北部湾经济区的发展现状,创造性地提出其发展要因,最后,基于发展要因提出经济区发展战略,以供决策参考。     

我国铁路行包运输统计指标体系的基本框架研究

铁路行包运输统计指标体系是铁路行包运输统计工作的重要载体.本文分析了当前我国铁路行包运输统计指标体系存在的问题,讨论了铁路运输业统计指标体系的设计原则,设计了铁路行包运输统计指标体系的基本框架.     

企业信息化中竞争策略的分析

在信息技术基础上 ,提出了企业资源计划 (ERP)、电子商务 (E—Business)和客户关系管理 (CRM) ,就其管理思和实际应用进行了深入的分析研究 ,得出了企业在全球化市场竞争中的有效策略是三者之间无缝连接的系统集成。     

In at the deep end: Conducting processual research on organisational change

This article provides a series of reflections on the practice of carrying out processual research on organisational change. At a broad level, some of the main tasks associated with conducting company case studies are described and the benefits of this approach for dealing with complex change data are outlined. At a more specific level, the article addresses three main areas tied to the actual “doing” of processual research. First, the notion of tacit knowledge and “getting your hands dirty” by engaging in ongoing in-depth fieldwork. Second, the design and implementation of a longitudinal case study research programme. Third, the advantages and concerns of combining a range of different data collecting techniques in carrying out processual studies. Overall, the main intention is to provide some useful reflections and practical insights, as well as providing something of the flavour of carrying out this type of research.     

Unlocking the potential of advanced manufacturing technologies

This research examines whether investments in advanced manufacturing technologies (AMTs) such as flexible manufacturing systems (FMS), computer aided design (CAD), computer aided manufacturing (CAM), robotics, etc., are more likely to lead to improved performance if they are supported by improvements in the manufacturing infrastructure of the company. This question is evaluated using data gathered from 202 manufacturing plants chosen from industries generally considered to have relatively high investments in technology.Multiple item scales are developed and adapted from sources in the literature to measure investments in technology, infrastructure, and the performance of the plant. Evidence supporting the reliability and validity of these scales is provided. Hierarchical regression is used to analyze the relationship between technology, infrastructure, and performance. The results suggest that there is an important interaction between the adoption of advanced manufacturing technologies and investments in infrastructure. Firms that invest in both AMTs and infrastructure perform better than firms which only invest in one or the other. Separate analyses on sub-samples of firms with the highest and lowest investments in AMTs show that infrastructural investments have a stronger relationship with performance in the high investment group. Thus, the data indicate that infrastructural investments provide a key to unlocking the potential of advanced manufacturing technologies.