Consumption and stock markets in Asian economies

This paper investigates the causal links between stock market performance and consumption for five Asian economies by applying the bound tests of Pesaran et al. and lag augmented VAR of Toda and Yamamoto . We find two‐way causal relationships between stock market performance and consumption in the cases of Hong Kong and Taiwan in the long run. The existence of such two‐way causal links indicates that stock market performance and consumption mutually affect each other, implying that the previous studies may have overestimated the wealth effect of the stock markets without taking account of the reverse causation from consumption to the stock markets. The short‐run effect of the stock market on consumption is more visible than the long‐run effect in most of the sample economies, suggesting that changes in consumption directly reflect stock market fluctuations.     

THE SQUARED ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK MARKET

We study a complete market containing J assets, each asset contributing to the production of a single commodity at a rate that is a solution to the squared Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) SDE. The assets are owned by K agents with CRRA utility functions, who follow feasible consumption/investment regimes so as to maximize their expected time-additive utility from consumption. We compute the equilibrium for this economy and determine the state-price density process from market clearing. Reducing to a single (representative) agent, and exploiting the relation between the squared-OU and squared-Bessel SDEs, we obtain closed-form expressions for the values of bonds, assets, and options on the total asset value. Typical model parameters are estimated by fitting bond price data, and we use these parameters to price the assets and options numerically. Implications for the total asset price itself as a diffusion are discussed. We also estimate implied volatility surfaces for options and bond yields.     

广州旅游文化资源开发总体构想框架

城市现代化过程中的趋同化问题，引好了广州市政府推动旅游与城市文化结合的思路和政策导向。文中分析了广州市开发此类资源的潜力和优势，提出了广州市旅游文化资源开发构想框架，并由微观、中观到宏观的探讨，提出了近期操作切入点的选择、旅游线网片开发的思考、整合城市优势和凸现岭南文化特色等方面的建议。     

论旅游市场营销环境与旅游业可持续发展

随着科学技术的高度发展,旅游者的选择性强,旅游活动范围大,使旅游供给者面临越来越激烈的竞争。旅游企业要求得生存和发展必须要对旅游市场进行准确定位,在可持续发展观念指导下开展市场营销活动。创造良好的、协调发展的旅游市场营销环境是实现旅游业可持续发展的基础和保证。     

系统评估过程研究

通过系统及其目标的定义、议题及其目标的确立、指标及其性能标准的选择、指标的测量及其图形的绘制、指标的聚合、绘制指标图并评估其结果等步骤,构建系统评估过程模型,并以区域可持续发展系统为例,进行区域可持续发展评估。     

浅析体质投资对旅游院校的重要性

旅游业的日益兴旺大大提升了社会对高质量旅游人才的渴求，然而，目前中国大学生的体育教育不尽如人意，如何加强对学生健康第一教育，体质的投入，在一定程度上决定了培养高质量旅游人才的大问题。     

我国增值税类型选择的经济学思考

增值税有生产型、消费型和收入型三种.1994年我国税制改革选择了生产型增值税,对抑制投资膨胀,保证财政收入起到积极作用.随着市场经济的深入发展,我国税制改革应取向于消费型增值税,因其能避免重复征税而有利于分工协作,刺激投资,保护基础产业的发展.     

论理性消费视角下生态和谐社会的建构

传统的消费观念和消费心理在目前资源和环境日益恶化的奈件下，已经难以为继。如何调整消费心理。进行合理消费已成为当前社会需要解决的重大课题。     

浅谈假日经济对中国经济的长期拉动效应

假日经济已成为国民经济的重要组成部分,并在国民经济中发挥着日益重要的作用。但在假日经济的发展过程中,也出现了一系列的负面效应,影响了假日经济的持续发展。文章就如何发挥假日经济的长期拉动效应,提出了相应的对策。