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21.
Chikashi Tsuji 《Asia-Pacific Financial Markets》2003,10(2-3):163-185
The objective of this paper is to determine the best predictor of equity market crashes by focusing particularly on volatility and market liquidity. In finance, volatility has traditionally been regarded as the best measure of market risk. However, this paper shows that the forecast value of market liquidity, in particular our modified calculated market depth, predicts equity market crashes much more accurately than does the forecast values of EGARCH or Implied Volatility. 相似文献
22.
R.Q. Doeswijk 《De Economist》1997,145(4):573-598
The efficient markets hypothesis states that at any times security prices fully reflect all available information. Contrarian investment strategies do not recognize the efficiency of capital markets. They call for buying undervalued stocks, i.e. stocks with a low price relative to their fundamentals. The idea behind such a strategy is to take advantage of the extrapolation behaviour of naive investors. Using a fresh and extensive data set from the Dutch stock market, we found that these strategies yield an outperformance without a higher risk. Our results make it hard to maintain the efficient market hypothesis. 相似文献
23.
This article proposes a new approach to testing for the hypothesisof a single priced risk factor driving the term structure ofinterest rates. The method does not rely on any parametric specificationof the state variable dynamics or the market price of risk.It simply exploits the constraint imposed by the no-arbitragecondition on instantaneous expected bond returns. In order toachieve our goal, we develop a Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and applyit to data on Treasury bills and bonds for both the United Statesand Spain. We find that the single risk factor hypothesis cannotbe rejected for either dataset. 相似文献
24.
From the expected‐utility approach, relative risk aversion being smaller than one and relative prudence being smaller than two emerge as preference restrictions that fully determine the optimal responses of decisions under uncertainty to certain shifts in probability distributions. We characterize the magnitudes of relative risk aversion and relative prudence in terms of the two‐parameter, mean‐standard deviation approach. We demonstrate that this characterization is instrumental in obtaining comparative static results in the two‐parameter setting. We further relate our findings to the results in the expected‐utility framework. 相似文献
25.
我国外汇储备:安全性、成本风险及对策 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
王元龙 《河南金融管理干部学院学报》2005,23(5):25-31
我国外汇储备狭义上的安全性,即外汇储备资产本身的安全令人担忧。我国已经为高额的外汇储备付出巨大成本和承担了很高的风险,同时,高额外汇储备也对我国经济发展产生了一系列负面影响和风险。从这个意义上来看,我国外汇储备的现状已成为威胁金融安全的一个重要隐患。因此,我国外汇储备政策的调整已经刻不容缓。 相似文献
26.
涂立桥 《黄石理工学院学报》2005,21(5):1-5
从国债的可持续性、国债的货币扩张效应、国债对经济增长的影响三个层面评估了我国当前的国债风险,并针对我国的国债特点,提出了防范国债风险的措施。 相似文献
27.
Poverty Traps and Index-Based Risk Transfer Products 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
28.
We empirically investigate the interactions among hedging, financing, and investment decisions. We argue that the way in which hedging affects a firm's financing and investing decisions differs for firms with different growth opportunities. We find that high growth firms increase their investment, but not leverage, by hedging. However, we also find that firms with few investment opportunities use derivatives to increase their leverage. 相似文献
29.
李勇 《石油工业技术监督》2008,24(2):10-14,38
以西方经济学中的代理理论为基础.建立了一套以风险协议为框架、对化工措施全过程进行控制的管理机制和相应的保证体系,提高了化工措施现场实施的成功率和有效率。 相似文献
30.
We investigate whether recent country-level evidence of global pricing is particular to large-cap stocks. Specifically, we examine cross-country return correlations and conduct asset pricing tests on three size-based stock portfolios for nine developed countries over the period from 1980 to 2004. We find that large-cap stocks realize significant comovements across countries, whereas small-cap stocks realize smaller average correlations (relative to both large-cap stocks and small-cap stocks across countries). More important, asset pricing tests suggest that while large-cap stocks are priced globally, global pricing is rejected for most small-cap stocks. Finally, the evidence indicates that financial integration deepened in recent years primarily for large-cap stocks. Overall, the results suggest that the global pricing pertains chiefly to large-cap stocks. 相似文献