报废汽车回收体系结构模型研究

报废汽车的回收重用一方面是＂生产者责任延伸制＂在汽车行业贯彻实施的结果,另一方面来源于再制造环节中蕴藏的丰厚利润的诱导.目前我国回收利用报废汽车的方式比较落后,主要是对原材料进行重用.本文构建了一个由汽车制造商牵头纽建,以功能多样化的回收中心作为中心处理单元的报废汽车回收体系结构模型,以期实现更高层次的回收重用.     

论外向型经济对中国中部崛起的影响

文章介绍了外向型经济的概念、内容、类型,分析了中部地区的基本情况及存在的问题,论述了外向型经济对中国中部崛起的影响。     

电子商务下商业企业库存业务信息系统的功能结构

本文研究了电子商务对商业企业库存业务的影响,提出了商业企业的库存业务信息系统应与电子商务相结合,分析了在电子商务环境下商业企业库存业务信息系统应具备的功能,并系统地对其功能结构进行了划分与介绍.     

基于不完全契约理论的军队运用地方第三方物流思考

文章以不完全契约理论的视角，分析了军队用户与地方物流服务商的契约所具有更为显著的不完全性，提出了强化军事物流服务商管理机制、构建含有军事物流服务商的信息网络、加强有军事物流服务商参加的物流演练等对策。     

Industry evolution and R&D externalities

R&D externalities can imply ranges of aggregate increasing returns to scale in R&D. As a consequence several equilibria can exist involving different numbers of firms and different R&D investment levels. In a theoretical model the equilibrium dynamics are analyzed, showing that cyclical fluctuations of the number of firms and R&D investment may be expected, and that the long-run equilibrium is highly sensitive to investors' initial beliefs. The model is tested empirically using a unique database comprising competing firms in various R&D races.     

Forecasting economic time series using flexible versus fixed specification and linear versus nonlinear econometric models

Nine macroeconomic variables are forecast in a real-time scenario using a variety of flexible specification, fixed specification, linear, and nonlinear econometric models. All models are allowed to evolve through time, and our analysis focuses on model selection and performance. In the context of real-time forecasts, flexible specification models (including linear autoregressive models with exogenous variables and nonlinear artificial neural networks) appear to offer a useful and viable alternative to less flexible fixed specification linear models for a subset of the economic variables which we examine, particularly at forecast horizons greater than 1-step ahead. We speculate that one reason for this result is that the economy is evolving (rather slowly) over time. This feature cannot easily be captured by fixed specification linear models, however, and manifests itself in the form of evolving coefficient estimates. We also provide additional evidence supporting the claim that models which ‘win’ based on one model selection criterion (say a squared error measure) do not necessarily win when an alternative selection criterion is used (say a confusion rate measure), thus highlighting the importance of the particular cost function which is used by forecasters and ‘end-users’ to evaluate their models. A wide variety of different model selection criteria and statistical tests are used to illustrate our findings.     

第三方物流企业提高运作效率的必要性分析

近年来,随着社会分工的细化,众多制造企业将非核心的物流业务外包,这极大地促进了第三方物流的发展,但同时也应当看到,其合作之中仍然存在着竞争,要想提高第三方物流企业的竞争力,必须首先提高其物流系统的运作效率。文章以石化销售企业的运作实际为背景,应用博弈理论分析比较了两种不同购销渠道的特点,最终指出第三方物流企业运作效率与其竞争能力之间的关系。     

Does subsidised temporary employment get the unemployed back to work? Aneconometric analysis of two different schemes

Subsidised employment is an important tool of active labour market policies to improve the reemployment chances of the unemployed. Using unusually informative individual data from administrative records, we investigate the effects of two different schemes of subsidised temporary employment implemented in Switzerland: non-profit employment programmes (EP) and a subsidy for temporary jobs (TEMP) in private and public firms. Econometric matching methods show that TEMP is more successful than EP in getting the unemployed back to work. Compared to not participating in any programme, EP and TEMP are ineffective for unemployed who find jobs easily anyway or have a short unemployment spell. For potential and actual long-term unemployed, both programmes may have positive effects, but the effect of TEMP is larger.     

城市交通与城市空间结构演变

通过回顾城市交通和城市空间结构的发展演变过程,研究通过城市交通引导城市空间结构健康"生长"的有效途径,提出通过公共交通引导城市发展的TOD模式,以及适合中国特色的和谐城市形态和城市交通.     

第三方物流产生与发展的经济学分析

物流管理是当今经济研究的重要课题之一，而第三方物流则是重要组成部分，本文从经济学的角度分析了第三方物流的产生与发展，并对其现状、作用及其未来的发展提出了自己的看法。