毛泽东关于中国革命的科学预见及其重大意义

毛泽东具有高超的科学预见的能力。毛泽东的科学预见能力在于他掌握了社会调查的方法 ,正确地运用对立统一规律和量变到质变的规律 ,以及采取“从群众中来 ,到群众中去”的方法。学习毛泽东关于中国革命的科学预测理论与方法 ,对于处理当今国际国内的各种复杂问题有着十分重要的意义。     

专业化管理的家族企业——新加坡的华人企业

通过考察大量口迷历史记录、个人访谈、文献研究及有关新加坡经济、社会的评论，研究了亚洲金融危机（以下简称危机）前后新加坡华人企业变化及其发展的持续性，表明危机前，这些大型企业由家族制管理变为专业化管理；危机后，其变化趋势有两种，一种由于面临着西方企业日益激烈的竞争，在政府密切关注下，同时也因缺乏有能力、有管理家族企业意愿的后代，家族制度已松散；另一种由于没有政府的直接管制，在危机后消极的市场形势下，为谋求生存，任用有能力的家族后代充分发挥优势，维持着传统的家族制。本文分别从市场、制度（包括文化和政府）及一些主要大公司的领导者行为分析，推导一个路径清晰、条脉分明的管理变化模式，同时提出进一步的研究方向——专业化管理家族企业的结构及政府的角色。     

Research notes and communications management and organizational change: A note on the railroad industry

Hypotheses which relate top-level managers' age, years of company and industry service, and education to strategic change are studied with a sample of 855 managers from 27 railroads. Results generally support hypotheses that younger managers and those with less experience are more likely to alter their strategies with changing environmental conditions.     

Research on the Present Situation and Countermeasure of the Development of Chinese Architectural Industry

Along with the development of Chinese social economy and the innovation of government policy, Chinese Architectural Industry is playing a more and more vital role in the entire national economy. This paper first abstracts the connotation and basic characteristic of the Architectural Industry, then discusses the present situation of the development of Chinese Architectural Industry and carries on the analysis on the entire construction industry. Finally discusses the development tendency of Chinese architectural industry, and put forward the corresponding policy proposals to its developmental strategy.     

What＇s So Special about China＇s Exports？ A Comment

Dani Rodrik argues that China's exports are unusually sophisticated for a country at its income level. He also claims that China's export sophistication reflects the government's successful industrial policy and has been instrumental in the recent acceleration of its economic growth. Although Rodrik's interpretation of China's economic growth is broadly correct, the accuracy of his empirical analysis is questionable. This note identifies several problems regarding the “export sophistication” index used in his empirical work and casts doubt on his analysis.     

全球化背景下中国文化的创新

经济全球化的进程已经深刻地波及到文化领域。面对全球化的态势我们必须深刻地反思中国文化及文化产业所面临的一系列问题。发展建设中国文化及文化产业 ,最根本的问题就是要解决文化创新的问题 ,即实施国家文化创新、文化思想学术创新和文化观念创新。     

A two-stage stratified Warner’s randomized response model using optimal allocation

This paper applies Kim and Wardes (2004) stratified Warners randomized response model to Mangat and Singhs (1990) two-stage randomized response model. The proposed stratified randomized response model has an optimal allocation and a large gain in precision. Hence, the estimator based on the proposed method is more efficient than Kim and Wardes (2004) and Mangat and Singhs (1990) estimators under the conditions presented in both the case of completely truthful reporting and that of not completely truthful reporting by the respondents.     

中外影视广告的故事性比较

中国人是很会讲故事的,但在影视广告中却没能讲出几个让人感动的故事,广告人的讲故事能力被限制在叫卖中了.中国广告中的故事,不是平淡就是生硬,过渡不圆滑,有些假.不像外国影视广告中的故事,很自然,很流畅,有顺理成章的逻辑关系.其原因,一是中国影视媒体上投放广告需要大量资金,所以影视广告被做得很短;二是广告人没有继承讲故事的传统,没有形成讲故事的素质.     

关联交易信息的核心质量 --层次结构及实现途径

通过对关联交易的组织理性和社会成本进行简要的经济学分析，从节约社会成本的角度，借助FASB“财务会计信息质量的层次结构模型”，构筑了一个关联交易信息的核心质量层次结构，同时，从我国有关关联交易会计规范颁布和变迁的角度，分析现有关联交易信息质量的实现途径及不足，并提出相关改进建议。     

政策性因素对中国股市影响的博弈分析

中国股市的大涨大跌和不稳定性是其最明显的特征,政府经常有意识地运用一些政策手段来调控股市的运行.本文首先总结了关于政策性因素影响股市运转的相关文献,其次通过建立博弈模型具体分析了国家推出政策性因素和投资者在股市上操作的运作过程,最后针对中国股市现状提出了一些建议.