Complementary approaches to preliminary foreign market opportunity assessment: country clustering and country ranking

Companies seeking to expand abroad are faced with the complex task of screening and evaluating foreign markets. How can managers define, characterize, and express foreign market opportunity? What makes a good market, an attractive industry environment? National markets differ in terms of market attractiveness, due to variations in the economic and commercial environment, growth rates, political stability, consumption capacity, receptiveness to foreign products, and other factors. This research proposes and illustrates the use of two complementary approaches to preliminary foreign market assessment and selection: country clustering and country ranking. These two methods, in combination, can be extremely useful to managerial decision makers in the early stages of foreign market selection.     

A systems approach to policy analysis and development planning: Construction sector in the Turkish 5-year development plans

In this study, we propose a new model for systems analysis ‘of’ policy and systems analysis ‘for’ policy with the example of construction sector in the Turkish 5-year development plans.Our proposed model—integrated development management model (IDMM)—is conceptually based on the principles of systems thinking and integrated management approach.We present and discuss the results of our work in which we extracted all construction-related policies and strategies from eight 5-year development plans and analyzed them using the IDMM. In the light of the analyses, we give several answers to the question: “Why did the development plans fail to meet their targets in Turkey?” We propose that any development plan has to have claritas–unitas–integritas–consonantia between the management levels (normative, strategic, and operational) and components (goals, structures, and behavior) of IDMM.The paper is the first work that brings the concepts of development planning and foresight together. In a complementary stance, the time of integrating foresight and development planning has come.     

经济增长风险的冲击传导和经济周期波动的“溢出效应”

在非确定性的经济环境当中 ,我们利用经济增长率的绝对离差、条件标准差和在险增长水平等三种方法度量了经济增长风险和条件波动性 ,然后利用冲击反应函数度量了经济增长水平对于经济增长风险的动态反应 ,并检验了增长水平与波动性之间的影响关系。检验结果表明 ,经济风险性和波动性与经济增长水平之间存在显著正相关关系 ,由此可以推断经济周期波动性对于经济增长水平存在“溢出效应” ,较高的经济波动性带来了经济增长水平的“风险奖励” ;同时 ,从经济风险的传导过程中可以判断 ,非确定性因素和突发事件尚未对我国经济增长的趋势水平形成显著干预 ,我国经济增长过程抵御外部冲击的能力已经得到显著提高。     

中小企业对外直接投资的经济学思考

改革开放20多年来 ,我国经济已融入世界经济之林 ,作为国民经济重要组成部分的中小企业必将越来越多地走出国门 ,从事国际化经营。本文在分析中小企业对外直接投资现状和必要性的基础上 ,利用邓宁的国际折衷理论分析了中小企业从事对外直接投资的可行性 ,提出了中小企业进行对外直接投资的几点思考     

日本创新体制的经验教训及其借鉴

导致日本战后经济成功的创新体制为什么要对近年来日本国际竞争力的不断下降负有重要责任?本文认为，日本创新体制在以工艺创新为主的渐进创新方面具有独特的优势，但由于日本目前在灵活生产方式、产业信息化和创造新产业方面所遭遇的严重困难，这种优势难以发挥。特别是，由于基础研究和大学体制等方面的落后，日本创新体制无法适应激进创新的要求，从而未能抓住跨越式科技发展的机遇。本文还通过日美比较和德美赶超英国经验的总结，扼要讨论了日本的经验教训对我国“科教兴国”战略所提供的重要启示。     

深圳市吸纳农村剩余劳动力的情况分析

深圳作为经济特区,吸纳了大量的农村剩余劳动力,占劳动力总量的一半以上.在深圳的农民工以未婚的青壮年为主,就业参与率、就业率均高于城镇居民,但收入水平低于深圳居民.他们以非公有制企业为就业主渠道,创造了大量社会财富和就业岗位,但仍处于弱势地位,遭受一定的社会歧视,缺乏归属感,迫切需要政府从制度设计上加以解决.     

上海郊区农民增收问题及对策研究

提高和增加农民收入,是农业和农村经济发展的根本出发点,是“三农”问题的核心。本文结合上海郊区农民近年来的收入现况,分析影响农民持续增收和农村经济存在的主要问题,为建立农民增收长效机制提出相应的措施和建议,这对上海建设社会主义新郊区、增加农民收入以及率先实现农业现代化具有重要的借鉴意义。     

发展中国家汇率制度选择的影响因素分析

任何汇率制度都不能适合所有的时期,也没有一种汇率制度可以适用于任何国家,发展中国家汇率制度的选择更是理论界讨论的热门话题。本文在回顾不同国际货币体系时期汇率制度选择理论的基础上,尝试探讨以36个发展中国家为样本,对汇率制度选择的影响因素进行分析。     

农村基础设施建设项目社会评价探讨

农村基础设施建设是社会主义新农村建设的一项重要内容,有必要建立一套科学的社会评价体系对其进行评价。根据农村基础设施项目的特点与分类,对其进行社会评价有其自身的目的、原则和特点,据此从政治因素、社会经济、社会环境和自然资源等方面构建出农村基础设施项目的社会评价指标体系。     

Management of Overseas Acquisitions by Developing Country Multinationals and Its Performance Implications: The Indian Example

Developing‐country multinationals (DMNCs) make overseas acquisitions to leverage extant capabilities of acquired companies in order to enter foreign markets and acquire their know‐how to enhance their own competitiveness against global competition at home and abroad. We go “inside the black box” to examine how DMNCs manage those acquisitions and the attendant implications for postacquisition performance. When DMNCs keep the acquired firm “structurally separate” from their own organization and retain its senior executives, they exhibit better acquisition performance. Also, “linking mechanisms” to coordinate interdependencies between the two firms improves performance, especially when the acquired firm is kept structurally separate. Analyses of large‐sample data of Indian DMNCs’ overseas acquisitions show that DMNCs’ light‐handed approach to managing acquisitions, despite acquiring majority ownership in them, seems suited to their acquisition objectives. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.