Predicting technology adoption to improve research priority—setting

This paper presents an improved approach for predicting the speed and ceiling of technology adoption, which is a crucial information for research priority setting. In the models it is assumed that both the speed and ceiling of adoption depend on the perceived characteristics of technologies. Knowing the characteristics that have determined adoption in the past provides relevant information about the characteristics which will enable new technologies to be quickly and widely adopted in the future. Using a case study from Meru District in Kenya, it is shown that relative investment, relative risk and relative complexity significantly influenced the speed and ceiling of adoption of dairy technologies in the past. These empirical results are used to predict the speed and ceiling of adoption of potential new dairy technologies to be developed by the Dairy Cattle Research Programme (DCRP) of the Kenya Agricultural Research Institute (KARI). The approach is theoretically sound and based on empirical evidence. It clearly distinguishes promising technologies from less promising technologies and is transparent to participants in priority setting exercises. Allowing for the participation of all interest groups within the research system, the approach improves the quality of the assessment and hence the credibility of results.     

Pricing by intuition: Managerial choices with limited information

In making pricing decisions, managers can chose from several pricing strategies. To ensure long-term business success, pricing choices need to balance numerous requirements, from revenue streams to keeping customers happy. The complexity of pricing decisions and time pressures that often accompany them prompt the need for fast, simplified decision algorithms. The present exploratory study examines the ways in which considerations of price fairness and competitive strategy combine in managers' decisions regarding the price level.     

高管团队决策行为与决策绩效关系:行为整合的中介效应分析

战略选择是一个非常复杂、含义广泛的决策过程,而复杂的决策是管理团队许多决策行为相互作用的结果,研究行为整合在决策过程中的作用机制对战略管理理论、高层梯队理论和行为决策理论有重要的意义。根据行为决策理论,提出了决策行为、行为整合对决策绩效影响的假设模型。实证研究表明,在决策过程中,程序理性和直觉行为正向影响决策绩效,行为整合可以加强这两种决策行为的正向作用;政治行为负向影响决策绩效,行为整合可以削弱政治行为的负向作用。     

公众参与公共投资建设项目决策的决策成本分析

公众参与公共投资建设项目决策将在一定程度上改变公共投资建设项目传统的决策模式和相关程序,导致公共投资建设项目决策成本增加,这也成为国内公众参与公共投资建设项目决策受到诸多限制的重要原因之一。基于公共投资建设项目决策成本的角度,分析了在公众参与的前提下公共投资建设项目决策成本的主要构成要素及相互关系,阐述了影响公众参与公共投资建设项目决策的决策成本因素,并提出了相应的决策成本控制措施。     

Female consumers: Decision-making in brand-driven retail

This article is a theory-building exploratory study conducted to investigate how female shoppers make meaning in a branded-retail store shopping experience. This study extends research on retail consumers' decision-making and the retail shopping experience using hermeneutic phenomenology. The authors conducted in-depth interviews with respondents, who were self-identified customers of a leading intimate apparel retailer. The results suggest that consumers' retail shopping decision-making incorporates a complex set of interactive components that are brand-driven and simultaneously affect and are affected by the interaction of in-store shopping and retail setting. The findings show a rich understanding of the consumer decision-making process is achievable by including the actual in-store experience, consumers' prior contextual experiences and expectations regarding retail visits.     

建设项目需求分析与投资决策规则选择

中国是世界上最大的建筑市场,其中因投资决策失误而导致的项目失败案例频频出现.究其原因,人们在投资建设项目时更多地关注于建设项目的供给方面,对需求的关注甚少.因而,在对建设项目投资决策进行分析时,首先有必要针对需求选择正确的资源配置规则.在效率目标下,民间投资应遵循价格信号和利润主导的经济规则.在公平目标下,政府投资应遵循国民经济主导的行政规则,为保证公众需求的实现,公众的正式或非正式的过程性参与是有效机制,另外还应在需求之外结合社会规则,实现市场、国民与社会的可持续发展.     

我国农村剩余劳动力转移途径及对策选择

我国农村剩余劳动力转移是解决三农问题的重中之重.现行土地制度、户籍管理制度、城市化进程以及农村剩余劳动力素质是制约农村剩余劳动力转移的主要因素.农村剩余劳动力在第一产业内部的转移和劳动力向二、三产业的转移,是我国农村劳动力转移的基本途径.坚持走农业产业化道路、推进乡镇企业二次创业、完善农村金融体系、推进城市化进程、建立和完善社会保障体系等,是推动农村劳动力转移的必然选择.     

我国农产品遭遇他国技术贸易壁垒的实证分析

文章运用计量经济学及多元统计学的方法,对我国农产品遭遇技术贸易壁垒的原因进行了实证分析。结论表明,如果贸易国是世贸组织成员国,农业人口比重较大,人均国民收入较高或农民的经济地位较高,则该国实施技术贸易壁垒的可能性会降低。而如果贸易国越是属于农业型国家、GDP越大,则该国实施技术贸易壁垒的可能性会增高。进一步的分析还发现,农业GDP比重,农业人口比重,人均国民总收入,农业人均GDP和GDP总量对贸易国是否对我国实施技术贸易壁垒有着重要影响.     

跨期决策中的消费者自我控制行为研究

跨期决策系指做出购买决策与获得产品之间存在时间距离的一种决策类型,随着电子商务的发展,产生这种决策类型的消费情景日渐增多,使得对这一问题的消费行为学研究成为必要.本研究采用行为学实验的方法对于跨期决策中的消费者自我控制行为进行了研究,并发现当消费者作出决策的时间点与能够真实获取商品的时间点之间若存在一定时间间隔的场合,消费者会较之可以现场获取产品的场合展示出较强的自我控制行为,具体地表现为对能提供更多长期有用性但在短期内效用较低的产品的较强偏好与支付意愿.这一发现为现有的消费行为学有关理论提供了有益的支持,同时在电子商务日益发达的今天具有一定的应用价值.     

Dynamic managerial capability portfolios in early internationalising firms

It is acknowledged that dynamic capabilities can underlie internationalisation of firms, yet extant research has tended to examine the role of capabilities in international entrepreneurship in separate studies, neglecting that international enterprises tend to develop different bundles or portfolios of capabilities that may have differing impacts on their internationalisation. Applying the concept of dynamic managerial capabilities, this study illustrates how different capability portfolios of entrepreneurial decision-making and network capabilities explain early internationalisation of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Employing a machine learning method through artificial neural network (ANN) analysis, the findings show how early internationalisation is predicted by a portfolio of different dynamic managerial capabilities. This study thus contributes to the international entrepreneurship literature by outlining the capability portfolios necessary for early internationalisation and proposing a taxonomy for capability portfolios for early and late internationalising firms, by clarifying the role of dynamic managerial capabilities in early and successful entrepreneurial internationalisation and by introducing the ANN methodology as a useful tool in the research corpus of the international entrepreneurship domain.