A contingent claim analysis of a rate-setting financial intermediary

Realizing that a financial intermediary's lending, treated as an investment opportunity, is like a financial call option clarifies the role of uncertainty. We argue that the portfolio-theoretic approach and the firm-theoretic approach have important linkages that can be used to demonstrate the contingent claim analysis of a rate-setting financial intermediary. Borrower-intermediary-lender relationships between the portfolio-theoretic combined volatilities and the firm-theoretic rate-setting modes under the Black-Scholes valuation are investigated, and the conclusions depend upon the portfolio composition redistribution effect. The effect of changes in the open market security rates on the loan rate and deposit rate settings depend on the borrower-intermediary-lender relationship, portfolio risk, and management of rate-setting strategy. Moreover, movements in open market security rates are not necessarily transmitted to the loan lender and deposit absorber.     

宏观审慎视角下存贷期限错配流动性风险的识别与控制

存贷期限错配的流动性风险存在顺周期性与传染性,有必要从宏观审慎视角分析存贷期限错配流动性风险与系统性风险的关系。通过测算期限错配流动性缺口,对我国商业银行业资产占比很大的15家商业银行的存贷期限错配流动性风险进行识别,得出存贷期限错配流动性风险是2013年"钱荒"事件发生的重要导因的结论。采用适当的变量并通过面板回归模型分析,能够识别存贷款期限错配流动性风险的主要宏观影响因素和微观影响因素。因此,应从国家金融管理部门的外部控制和商业银行的内部控制两个方面控制存贷期限错配的流动性风险。     

Structural effects of asset-backed securitization

This paper analyses the potential changes in the operational structure of deposit-taking financial institutions that securitize assets. Findings indicate that banks can create an asset securitization pipeline structure that enables them to increase their return on capital. In other words, through securitization banks can expand their loan provision business without increasing their liabilities or their capital levels. Using a contingent claims model, four factors that impact on the bank's decision to securitize are highlighted and analysed: (i) the level of deposit insurance; (ii) capital adequacy requirements; (iii) insolvency risk; and, (iv) the risk of credit enhancements. Furthermore, we identify key accounting and regulatory challenges that emerge for banks from the process of asset backed securitization.     

我国近十年存款准备金率调控的回顾与展望——基于阶段性视角的分析

从2001-2010年,为了防止货币信贷总量过快增长,促进国民经济持续健康快速发展,我国在此期间对法定准备金率进行了频繁的调整.本文把这10年准备金率的变化过程分为"平稳上调期"、"小幅回调期"、"上升摸高期"三个阶段,分别就准备金率在各个阶段不同的政策目标、调整原因逐一进行分析,继而探究我国近十年存款准备金率调控的效果,并对未来的货币政策进行展望.     

问题银行的救助:北岩挤兑事件引发的思考

2007年8月,英国北岩银行发生了自维多利亚时代以来的英国银行业首次零售存款挤兑事件。本文介绍了英国对北岩银行的救助,认为从中暴露出英国当前财政部、英格兰银行与金融服务局的三方协定存在缺陷、银行破产清偿机制不健全和存款保险机制安排不合理等问题,指出应当从中汲取的教训,并结合我国实际提出了完善监管合作机制、建立问题银行风险预警机制和早期纠错机制、建立存款保险制度来完善我国问题银行救助机制的相关建议。     

INTERNATIONAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE

The current banking crisis has highlighted the fragility of the international finance system and the extent to which current system safeguards such as IMF action fall short. Envisioning a fuller banking security system leads naturally to the proposal for an international deposit insurance system based on risk-based premiums. This proposal is outlined here as a replacement for ad hoc action by national governments and the IMF that is designed to avoid moral hazard while providing an efficient means to international banking security as part of our global financial architecture.     

基于AHP的住房公积金开源方法研究

近年来，面对住房公积金提取需求和贷款需求的迅猛增长，住房公积金的流入资金出现了相对短缺的情况。基于此，笔者提出了扩大住房公积金的覆盖范围、提高住房公积金的缴存比例和建立住房公积金的资产证券化机制三种住房公积金开源方法，以有效增加住房公积金的流入资金。本文运用层次分析法（AHP），构建了住房公积金开源方法的梯阶层次结构模型，据此分析得出结论：扩大住房公积金的覆盖范围为住房公积金开源的首选模式，建立住房公积金的资产证券化机制次之，提高住房公积金的缴存比例应作为最后的选择。     

差别存款准备金动态调整政策效应研究

在2011年度工作会议上，央行表示将实施差别准备金动态调整措施，引导货币信贷适度平稳增长，这意味着今年的信贷管理方式将从信贷管制向综合运用市场化调控手段转变。央行实施差别准备金动态调整机制旨在将存款准备金率的调整与其资本充足率、资产质量状况、贷款增速情况等指标挂钩，一方面向市场传递一个强烈信号：国家的宏观调控将对过热的经济进行降温，抑制通胀，为国民经济未来的健康稳定发展创造条件；另一方面对银行扶优惩劣，限制资本充足率较低、资产质量较差的银行盲目扩张贷款，增强股份制商业银行和城市商业银行的竞争实力，维护金融系统的稳定。     

存款计息方法对存款方式选择的研究

在货币资金运用的过程中,投资者分析各种投资工具收益的大小是提高资金效率的必然选择,货币的时间价值大小是投资者优先考虑的因素,而存款的利息是货币时间价值的计算,选择存款方式对比各类存款收益大小,所以,对不同种类的存款的货币时间价值进行计算分析是必要的。通过对各类存款在不同时间段货币时间价值的计算方法的探讨,有助于对现金流不同的存款人选择合理的存款方式。     

The pricing of deposit insurance in the presence of systematic risk

Based on the Merton (1977) put option framework, we develop a deposit insurance pricing model that incorporates asset correlations, a measurement for the systematic risk of a bank, to account for the risk of joint bank failures. Estimates from our model suggest that actuarially fair risk-based deposit insurance that considers only individual bank failure risk is underpriced, leaving insurance providers exposed to net losses. Our estimates also capture the size premium where big banks are priced with higher deposit insurance than small banks. This result is particularly relevant to the current regulatory concerns on big banks that are too-big-to-fail. Above all, our approach provides a unifying framework for integrating risk-based deposit insurance with risk-based Basel capital requirements.