新疆喀什地区外向型经济发展：优势、障碍与政策建议

喀什地区地处祖国西部边陲，具有发展外向型经济的资源、区位、人文和政策等优势。本文在调研①的基础上，对喀什地区外向型经济发展现状和障碍进行了分析，从国家和喀什地方政府两个层面提出了喀什地区加快外向型经济发展的政策建议。     

箱式变电所在住宅小区中设计应注意的问题

箱式变电所以其显著优点,在住宅小区建设(改造)中得到推广应用。文章以南宁市某住宅小区为例,论述箱式变电所设计中应注意的问题。     

基于趋势分解的机场季节旅客吞吐量预测方法

针对机场季节旅客吞吐量的特点,提出了基于趋势分解的机场季节旅客吞吐量预测方法,其基本思想是:首先根据机场季节旅客吞吐量历史数据的移动平均数,计算平均季节指数并进行修正,然后构建机场季节吞吐量趋势变动模型,从而构建航线季节客运需求分析模型。仿真结果表明该方法可行且结果具有较高的精度,可作为预测机场季节旅客吞吐量的有效工具。     

The Expiration Effects of Stock-Index Derivatives: Empirical Evidence from the Taiwan Futures Exchange

Five index derivatives with the same expiration days, settlement days, and settlement systems have been consecutively traded on the Taiwan Futures Exchange (TAIFEX) since 1998. This paper examines the expiration effects of TAIFEX index derivatives on the underlying stock market between 1998 and 2002. Our empirical findings show no significant expiration effects on the expiration day, but evidence demonstrates that expiration effects have strengthened as more relative index derivatives are listed on the TAIFEX. Meanwhile, the expiration effects seem to shift to the opening of the settlement day. In general, the expiration effects in Taiwan are not as significant as those in U.S. markets but are stronger than those in the Hong Kong market. The special settlement procedures adopted by the TAIFEX may account for the difference.     

Influences of Managerial Drivers on Export Sales Units’ Performance of Small and Medium-Size Enterprises

ABSTRACT

This report offers a contribution to the theories related to firms' export performance. Job satisfaction and behavioral and outcome performance of export managers have received attention in export literature. However, the relationships between export managers’ rewards system and the level of export managers’ morale with export managers’ job satisfaction, behavioral and outcome performance, and export sales units’ performance of small and medium-size enterprises have not thoroughly been examined, tested, or validated. A new model is developed based on export managerial psychology theory, which integrates two constructs, the export managers’ rewards and level of morale, as critical variables affecting export performance. The research findings suggest that four connected relationships in a PLS model are positive, significant, and substantial. Particularly, managers’ financial and nonfinancial rewards influence managers’ level of morale, which in turn affects managers’ behavioral performance, and managers' behavioral performance influences managers’ outcome performance, which, finally, affects firms’ export performance.     

Trade cost reduction and foreign direct investment

While the “proximity-concentration” theory suggests a positive relationship between trade cost and foreign direct investment (FDI), there is ample evidence showing a negative relationship between them. We show that the possibility of exporting back to the home country from a host country, which is often referred as “home-country export platform FDI”, may generate a negative relationship between trade cost and FDI. Market demand and product market competition may play important roles in this respect.     

Tourism's climate mitigation dilemma: Flying between rich and poor countries

Stronger demand for medium- to long-haul air transport is the main driver of the tourism industry's increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, causing the current development of global tourism to be environmentally unsustainable. Efficiency improvements and biofuel usage are unlikely to maintain pace with the projected growth in transport volume. Therefore, curbing the growing demand for air transport has been suggested as another option for the sustainable development of tourism. However, the political and industry discourse concerning the restriction of air transport tends to label such a restriction as unethical, as such limits would impair the development that tourism brings to poor countries. This paper investigates the possible impacts of air travel restrictions on the least developed countries (LDCs) and non-LDCs by examining global tourism. The impacts on LDCs are found to be ‘neutral’ on average, with both losses and gains in tourist arrivals. The extent of any losses does not appear to be beyond the scope of possible economic compensation.     

货运量回归预测工具EXCEL和SPSS结合应用研究

对货运量预测工具EXCEL和SPSS各自的优缺点进行了分析，在此基础上建议将两种预测工具相结合，提出如何．陕速、准确得出预测值并作出预测图表的方法和步骤，最后以某市社会货运量统计为样本，进行实例说明。     

广深高速载货汽车超载特征分析

基于连续一周的广深高速交通量观测数据，对其交通量和货车超载特征进行详细分析．表明广深高速存在较为严重的超载现象。     

基于高性能混凝土的应用研究

本文通过介绍高性能混凝土的发展历史背景以及目前国内外的研究现状,阐明了高性能混凝土的特性。不仅列举了高性能混凝土在国内外研究应用的重要成果,更对高性能混凝土的发展趋势做出了展望。随着我国建筑行业向着高层化、大型化以及现代化的方向发展,高性能混凝土势必会成为新世纪重要的建筑工程材料。