基于金融发展质量的金融与区域经济增长研究

金融增长表现为金融资产规模与金融机构数量的扩张,而金融发展涉及的是金融质量的提高,因此,金融发展的质量便成为促进区域经济增长的核心要素。已有的金融和经济增长文献研究大多集中在金融体系的规模,很少涉及用来解释经济增长差异的金融中介质量调节。本文运用我国中部、东部、西部部分地区经济和金融中介发展的数据,分析金融发展与区域经济增长之间的关系,通过具体银行效率评价,提出了对经济增长存在巨大影响的金融中介调节质量的方法。本文的分析表明金融发展质量调节的改善促进了要素生产率的提高,降低了金融代理的成本,增进金融产品和服务成本的能力。     

河南省高等教育与中原经济区发展关系研究

中原经济区建设已上升为国家战略,作为支撑区域经济发展的高等教育,必须跟上区域发展的步伐。采用定性研究法和调查研究法,分析、比较具有代表性的相关经济区主体省份的高等教育发展现状与区域经济发展的协调性,找出目前河南省高等教育在适应中原经济区建设中存在的问题,并提出建议。     

Defining national property rights to a common property resource: The case of the West Bank aquifers

This article introduces a methodology to define Israeli and Palestinian property rights to the three aquifers straddling the Green Line between Israel and the West Bank, i.e. the Yarqon-Tanninim, Northern, and Nablus-Jenin aquifers. A set of procedures for determining a fair division of waters is described for the hypothetical planning year 2000. Following this, the calculated allocation of water rights is evaluated in terms of the projected over-all water consumption and supply balance for Israel and a Palestinian sovereign authority (PSA) for the year 2000. Finally, the article concludes with some thoughts on the relative merits of this methodology.     

房地产调控中政府行为博弈分析——中央政府和地方政府

自1998年我国房地产市场改革以来,房地产业迅速发展,现已成为国民经济的支柱产业,与此同时,商品房价格一路飙升,各地房价不断创下新高。面对房价飞涨,中央政府出台了一系列房地产调控政策,但房价依然居高不下,主要原因之一在于调控政策的实施受到来自各方的阻力,以地方政府最为突出。本文基于博弈视角探讨了中央政府与地方政府在房地产调控中的行为特征,在分析双方博弈动机的基础上,构建了博弈模型,进而研究了双方博弈的内在机制,得出中央政府的最优策略为严格监督地方政府对调控政策的执行,杜绝地方政府的抵制行为,而地方政府获利的行为则是抵制中央政府的各种调控政策,并且为了取得成功常常采取变相抵制措施。最后,本文分别针对中央政府和地方政府提出了政策建议,以期中央政府与地方政府能够达成合作博弈,更好地促进我国房地产行业的发展。     

Effects of US interest rates and news on the daily interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy: evidence from Turkey

It has been widely demonstrated that asset prices react sensitively to macroeconomic news releases both in the industrialized countries and emerging markets. However, there are contradicting results on the effects of changes in interest rates of industrialized countries on asset prices of emerging markets. In heavily indebted economies, in addition to these factors, political news and announcements from international institutions that may increase or decrease concerns about debt sustainability can affect asset prices as well. This potential notwithstanding, there has been relatively limited empirical work on the effects of such variables. The objective of this study is to quantify the impact of all of these factors on interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy. Using daily post-crisis data of the Turkish economy we show that both good and bad political news, International Monetary Fund announcements, and European Union related news significantly affected secondary market government securities yields, whereas volatility of yields was affected mainly by bad news releases. Changes in US Treasury bond rates and ‘appetite’ for risk of foreign investors did not affect government securities yields in the period analysed.     

中原经济区产业低碳化发展研究

在分析河南省温室气体排放及产业低碳化发展现状的基础上,借鉴国外产业低碳化发展路径与经验,确定中原经济区产业低碳化行动方向和目标,研究制定高碳产业低碳化转型、低碳新兴产业提速发展和低碳产业示范区建设三大重点行动,从政策、资金、科技等方面研究提出产业低碳化发展对策措施建议。     

银行激进的短期激励机制的弊端及其改革思路

加入WTO以后,中国银行业的竞争日趋激励,各商业银行为了在竞争中立于不败之地,纷纷出台了名目繁多的激励政策。虽然这些激励政策对于银行短期业绩增长的确很有效,但这些激励机制往往过于激进、过于短期化,从长远来看,是不利于银行发展的,因此这样的激励机制必须改革。本文主要分析了银行激进的短期激励机制的表现形式、危害及其改革思路。     

中国央行不良资产规模实证研究

央行不良资产主要是央行再贷款形成的。中国的央行再贷款与西方发达国家的再贴现贷款有很大不同,多数是信用再贷款,少数是由地方政府担保的抵押再贷款。根据官方统计、报刊文献等资料进行研究,可以估计出中国目前央行不良再贷款数额应该在2.4万亿以上。     

商业银行全要素生产率的时序变迁——基于中国银行的实证分析

类似于实际部门,全要素生产率不但是商业银行绩效增长的源泉,也是影响其核心竞争力的重要因素。随着市场化改革的深入,中国银行全要素生产率得到快速提高,在国有银行中居较前位置,与股份制商业银行比较也具有比较优势。因此,对银行效率的影响而言,产权是必要条件而不是充分条件。     

Market power and risk of Central and Eastern European banks: Does more powerful mean safer?

As understanding the market power–risk relationship in CEE banking systems is of the utmost importance to policy-makers in these countries, we investigate whether CEE banks must have greater market power to be safer. Our results suggest that more market power reduces the fragility of banking institutions, on one hand, and that banking market concentration tends to make these banks riskier, on the other. Our findings are robust to whatever form of market power-risk relationship and whatever market-power measures we use. More precisely, financial markets perceive CEE banks with more market power as less fragile, while the latter are also better capitalised with respect to the distribution of their returns. Moreover, they are even (much) better capitalised when they hold less-diversified and less-liquid assets and when they operate within a stricter banking regulatory environment, which suggests a risk-stabilising role for diversification, liquidity and the bank regulatory environment in these countries.