The Conditional Performance of REIT Stock Repurchases

This paper uses a conditional performance measure to test whether real estate investment trust (REIT) managers announcing stock repurchases have private information about their firms' prospects. We use stock price to condition for public information and measure the managers' implied private information by the covariance between repurchase size and subsequent stock payoffs (or operating performance). Results show that managers have private information but mostly with respect to long-term as opposed to near-term payoffs. We also find that repurchase size is positively related to a stock's idiosyncratic return volatility, perhaps because noisy stocks deviate farther from fundamental value, offering informed managers larger profit potential. JEL Classification G12 G14 G35     

Are There Rational Speculative Bubbles in REITs?

This study tests for the presence of rational speculative bubbles in the Equity REIT industry. We analyze REIT prices using a vector of macroeconomic fundamentals. Using the unit root test and cointegration procedures, we find no evidence of rational bubbles in the REIT market. Tests for duration dependence in the returns series show no evidence of negative duration dependence, suggesting that REIT markets are not affected by rational bubbles. Applying the same tests, we find no evidence of rational speculative bubbles in the Russell 2000 index, a proxy for small-cap stocks.     

The Pricing of Property Trust IPOs in Australia

Following Brounen and Eichholtz (2002) this paper adds to the international literature investigating the underpricing of REIT initial public offerings (IPOs), with a study into Australian property trusts. This study finds that initial day returns can in part be explained by forecast profit distributions (or dividends) and the market sentiment towards property trusts from the date of the prospectus to the date of listing. There is some support for the “winners curse” explanation of underpricing with evidence that large investor or institutional involvement at the outset of the IPO also has some explanatory power.     

Are REITs inflation hedges?

This study investigates the relationship between returns on Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and anticipated inflation. It was motivated by the contradictory findings in the literature concerning the inflation-hedging characteristics of financial and real assets. We employ the methodology developed by Fama and Schwert, which represents a generalization of the Fisher equation. Two different measures of anticipated inflation were used to estimate the regression equations. The results show that REITs generally tend to behave like equities with respect to their hedging characteristics, regardless of how inflation expectations are measured. When we used a survey measure of anticipated inflation, however, we found some evidence that REITs are partial hedges against anticipated inflation.     

Do changes in credit ratings of REITs affect their capital structure decisions?

Existing research has highlighted the high leverage ratio of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). To the extent that credit rating is important to REITs when sourcing for capital from the public debt markets, our paper investigates the effect of changes in REIT credit ratings on capital structure decisions while controlling for endogeneity effects. Our results indicate that REITs that face the prospect of an imminent credit rating downgrade issue approximately 11% less debt net of equity as a percentage of total assets than other REITs. This effect is asymmetric in that positive rating outlooks do not have a significant impact on REIT capital structure activities.     

转型背景下商业地产的投资前景与融资模式——基于REITs的投资价值分析

为了严格控制房价过快上涨,国家相继出台了一系列的房地产调控政策,房地产企业普遍感到资金链越来越紧。在新形势下,房地产开发企业的出路在于向商业地产转型。应采取向保障性住房建设、商业地产、旅游地产等领域投资的策略。在融资方面,必须改变长期以来单纯依靠银行贷款的筹资模式,走多元化融资道路。通过资产证券化,发展房地产投资信托基金（REITs）则是当前可优先选择的模式。REITs可以拓宽房企的融资渠道和广大投资者的投资渠道,有利于促进房地产开发企业向商业地产转型。政府应尽快明确REITs的合法地位;加快培育优质商业资源;公开市场交易,促进多元化投资主体的形成。     

REITs资金配置优化——基于京、沪、深、渝四市的实证研究

本文运用CAPM模型,利用2000年10月到2010年10月的月度中房指数对北京、上海、深圳、重庆四个城市的REITs资金配置进行优化研究。研究结果表明对同一城市的不同物业类型进行投资,住宅投资的风险相比办公楼投资风险大;从区域投资分散化看,深圳的投资收益率高于房地产市场综合收益率,上海和北京接近,但从风险的角度来看,深圳和上海的投资风险最大,北京次之,重庆的投资风险最小。最后作者提出风险控制模型、资金投向、经济周期认识等相关对策。     

房地产投资信托与房地产私募股权基金的辨析与应用初探

近年来房地产面临更加严峻的信贷政策,传统融资渠道受限。房地产投资信托(REITs)及房地产私募股权基金(REPE)成为关注的新型融资渠道。本文详细辨析了REITs与REPE的概念,探讨了REITs与REPE在国内应用的可行性,分析其在国内应用存在的障碍并提出建议。     

深圳房地产投资信托基金的发展模式探析

随着REITs在美国迅猛发展,逐步成为商业地产投资的主流。在当前我国对房地产业实施宏观调控的背景下,研究REITs的模式发展问题,为我国发展REITs提供参考,促进房地产行业健康可持续发展,具有重要的理论和现实意义。     

Unexpected Inflation,Capital Structure,and Real Risk‐adjusted Firm Performance

Managers can improve real risk‐adjusted firm performance by matching nominal assets with nominal liabilities, thereby reducing the sensitivity of real risk‐adjusted returns to unexpected inflation. The net asset value of US equity real estate investment trusts (REITs) serves as a good proxy for nominal assets and, accordingly, we use a sample of US REITs to test our hypothesis. We find that for the firms in our sample: (i) their real risk‐adjusted performance, and (ii) their inflation‐hedging qualities are inversely related to deviations from this ‘matching‐nominals’ argument. In addition to providing managers with a vehicle to maximize real risk‐adjusted performance, our findings also provide investors with the tools to infer inflation‐hedging qualities of equity investments.