服务贸易对浙江经济增长影响的实证分析

本文实证检验了服务贸易对浙江GDP增长的影响,发现浙江服务贸易出口会促进经济增长,进口则会制约经济增长。而且出口、进口均是GDP增长的格兰杰原因。在尝试性地对这些结果进行相应解释的基础上,提出了发展服务贸易、促进浙江经济增长的建议。     

上海合作组织框架内中国国际贸易竞争力实证分析

在经济全球化和一体化趋势下,上海合作组织的经济功能显得日益重要。基于上海合作组织这一强大的平台,中国与中亚国家的双边贸易日益增强,但竞争力依然有限。本文借助市场占有率指数和贸易竞争力优势指数（trade competitiveness,TC）等分析工具,对1996年以来中国与俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦三国贸易数据进行了定量分析,并衡量了中国与这三国不同产业的产业内贸易程度、比较优势和国际竞争力,得出中国的劳动密集型产业具有较强的优势,应进一步加强与中亚国家的能源开发与合作。     

美国贸易调整援助立法新论

二战后,美国极力推行自由贸易政策,在此背景下,贸易调整援助立法于1962年正式被引入美国贸易法,该项立法的救济手段和功能定位都迥异于传统意义上专注于遏制进口的贸易救济措施,它创新了美国贸易救济机制,为受自由贸易不利影响的工人和企业提供了有效的调整和救济,并对美国国内经济和对外贸易的发展都起了巨大的促进作用。     

Trade policy and specialization in developing countries

This paper examines the impact of trade policy on specialization patterns in ten Latin American countries over the period 1985–1998. These countries are natural case studies because in the last decades they implemented comprehensive trade liberalization programs, both generally and preferentially, starting from relatively high tariff protection levels. Our econometric results suggest that reducing own most favored nation tariffs is associated with increasing manufacturing production specialization. Furthermore, we find that preferential trade liberalization and differences in the degree of unilateral openness have resulted in increased dissimilarities in manufacturing production structures across countries. These results are robust across specialization measures and estimation methods.

俄罗斯对华贸易壁垒问题探析

中俄两国在贸易迅速发展的同时,俄罗斯对华贸易壁垒也不断增多。其中俄方通关环节不符合贸易惯例、俄强制认证标准大多与国际标准不符、管理复杂等方面问题突出,我方应在加强与俄罗斯的贸易谈判、建立两国贸易监控机制、加深对俄罗斯技术性壁垒研究等方面进行应对。     

美日技术创新的产业分布及其对贸易竞争优势演变的结构效应

本文借用固定市场份额法,通过实证得出:美日两国从上世纪80年代末开始,技术创新产业选择方向出现了明显的不同,从而产业结构(贸易结构)的转换出现了较大差异,美国结构成功转型,贸易竞争优势得到了明显的提高;而日本产业结构和贸易结构转型一直在摸索阶段,结构升级的缓慢是日本贸易竞争优势有所下降的内在原因。     

浅析东盟五国服务贸易国际竞争力

近年来东盟五国的服务业迅速发展,各国服务贸易的竞争力有所提升。本文试图从东盟五国服务贸易的发展现状分析东盟五国服务贸易的竞争力的状况,并分析影响五国服务贸易国际竞争力的主要因素。     

中国与东亚和美国贸易差额联动效应分析

中国对东亚国家（地区）的贸易长期处于逆差状态,而同时对美国却保持高额顺差。本文通过实证分析认为,中国对东亚的贸易逆差及对美国的贸易顺差之间存在联动效应,并从雁行模式的东亚产业转移、东亚生产网络及美国需求三方面分析了该联动效应产生的原因。还探讨了差额联动的变化趋势：长期看,由于中国在三角贸易中的地位将有所改变,差额联动效应有望减弱;短期看,差额联动效应仍将存在。

Abstract：

China has always been keeping trade deficit with East Asia,but keeping trade sur-plus with America at the same time.The paper proves a coupling effect between the trade surplus and deficit by positive analysis,and analyses the reason why a coupling effect can exist from three aspects：East Asian industrial transfer in flying geese model,East Asian production net-works and American demand.The paper also discusses the trend of coupling effect：in the long run,the effect is expected to reduce since the position of China in triangular trade pattern will be changed;in the short term,the effect will still exist.     

Trade credit and the joint effects of supplier and customer financial characteristics

We examine how access to bank credit affects trade credit in the supplier–customer relationships of U.S. public firms. For identification, we use exogenous liquidity shocks to supplier firms in the form of staggered changes to interstate bank branching laws. Using a variety of tests, we show that supplier firms with greater access to banking liquidity offer more trade credit to their customers. We also show that when bank branching restrictions are relaxed in the supplier’s state, the supplier–customer relationship is more likely to survive.     

Policy and politics behind Shanghai’s Free Trade Zone Program

China launched the Shanghai Free Trade Zone (FTZ) Program on September 29, 2013 in a bid to reduce administrative interventions, ease restrictions on investments, further open up its financial system, and internationalize its currency to booster shipping, logistics, and commerce. This article aims to present a background of the Shanghai FTZ and some reflections on it. China’s economic reconstruction has made a major impact on its port cities. Competitions between ports are gradually evolving into competitions between supply chains, with ports no longer considered as isolated links in the transport chain but rather as integral links in the supply chain. Ports are transitioning into fourth-generation ports with the establishment of logistics and value-added activities, which are developed in conjunction with local industrial and service businesses. In this trend, China’s port cities can provide a wide range of value-added services and become centers of commodity flow, capital flow, and information flow. Specifically, the combined effects of driving the development of peripheral industries and actively coordinating the activities of relevant parties help regulate the operations of the entire supply chain to obtain potential value-added benefits. The implementation of the Shanghai FTZ will not only stimulate trade but will also bring increased shipping and finance opportunities to the city. With free trade as the new direction and focus of the country’s economic initiatives, the Shanghai FTZ will hopefully lay the groundwork for a new round of reforms and restructuring of the Chinese economy.