香港对冲基金监管法律制度研究

对冲基金是一种特殊的投资工具,其组织形式一般是有限合伙企业或者离岸投资公司,通过风险投资来获得较高的回报,例如进行卖空或者衍生品交易等。作为世界重要的对冲基金离岸中心,香港具备严格而又灵活、适时的监管制度,与中国内陆邻近,世界级的金融服务基础环境,可靠的普通法法律体系以及灵活的税收制度等方面的优势。香港对冲基金监管法律制度主要体现在三个方面的监管,即监管对冲基金、监管基金管理人和监管两者的行为。为吸引更多的基金落户香港,当局也在不断地进行法律更新。香港的经验和做法值得我国内陆参考。     

Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks,Bonds and Gold

Is gold a hedge, defined as a security that is uncorrelated with stocks or bonds on average, or is it a safe haven, defined as a security that is uncorrelated with stocks and bonds in a market crash? We study constant and time‐varying relations between U.S., U.K. and German stock and bond returns and gold returns to investigate gold as a hedge and a safe haven. We find that gold is a hedge against stocks on average and a safe haven in extreme stock market conditions. A portfolio analysis further shows that the safe haven property is short‐lived.     

FRA在我国商业银行应用中的风险控制

本文从FRA自身可能产生风险的视角而非传统利率风险管理过程的角度,分析了FRA在制度设计、参考利率选择、报价品种等方面存在的诸多风险因素,并在此基础上提出加强对我国FRA风险控制的对策,避免商业银行应用FRA进行风险管理时遭受风险,提高风险管理水平。     

The Relationship Between REITs Returns and Inflation: A Vector Error Correction Approach

Previous studies show that REITs returns and inflation arenegatively related. This paper reexamines this perverse inflation hedgephenomenon by investigating the relationship among REITs returns, realactivities, monetary policy and inflation through a Vector ErrorCorrection Model. Empirical results show that inflation does notGranger-cause REITs returns and that REITs returns signal changes in monetary policy. The observed negative relationship between REITs returnsand inflation is merely a proxy for the more fundamental relationshipbetween REITs returns and other macroeconomic variables.     

期权理论在IT项目风险管理中的应用

本文简要介绍了金融期权和IT项目期权的含义,以及期权定价模型,详细分析了IT项目期权的类型和IT项目期权的套期保值,其中对比分析了NPV方法和期权方法(B-S模型)在评估IT项目中的差异。     

REIT Returns and Inflation: Perverse or Reverse Causality Effects?

Contrary to the Fisherian theory of interest, previous studies document a negative relationship between REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) returns and inflation. In this research, we re-examine this perverse inflation behavior by testing for the causal relationships among REIT returns, real activity, monetary policy, and inflation through a vector error correction model. Our results indicate that the observations of REIT returns as perverse inflation hedges are spurious. The observed negative relationship between REIT returns and inflation is in fact a manifestation of the effects of changes in monetary policies. These findings are consistent with Darrat and Glascocks (1989) evidence of monetary effects on REIT returns.     

从金融危机看宏观型对冲基金的本质

国际资本自由流动是宏观型对冲基金的温床。尽管国际上受美金融危机发生的具体原因千差万别,但共同的特点是有意、无意地扩大宏观经济基本面的失衡,然后借助金融市场的瞬间强制调整,获取巨额利润。宏观型对冲基金作为盈利组织无可厚非,关键是要避免宏观经济的严重失衡。     

另类投资正在向主流演变——欧美对冲基金的新趋势分析

近期,美国次贷危机引发了全球金融机构的大面积亏损和恐慌。对冲基金在这次危机中也难于独善其身,次贷及其衍生证券的多头机构损失惨重。由于对国际对冲基金认识的错位,一些学者再一次夸大对冲基金在此次金融事件中的破坏作用。而在我国,随着《证券公司融资融券业务试点管理办法》出台,标志着股票市场放大操作和做空机制的开始;下一步,随着金融期货,尤其是股指期货和债券期货的推出,做空和杆杠融资机制将得到进一步的完善,国内市场对冲基金的生长环境正在日趋成熟。本文旨在通过研究近代欧美对冲基金的最新发展状态,披露国际对冲基金的市场出现的最新动向,为中国市场正确对待可能出现的对冲投资行为和对冲基金,实施有效的疏导和监管政策提供一些有益的参照。     

利率互换的定价模型及其实证研究

本文研究利率互换的定价模型，以及利率互换的定价过程。从选取债券到拟合理论即期利率曲线、远期利率曲线，最后拟合出互换利率曲线，并对上述的定价模型和过程进行实证研究。对拟合结果与目前市场报价的相同点和差异进行分析，并对国内利率互换的套期保值策略进行实证研究。