Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism

We evaluate the short term forecasting performance of methods that systematically incorporate high frequency information via covariates. Our study provides a thorough introduction of these methods to the tourism literature. We highlight the distinguishing features and limitations of each tool and evaluate their forecasting performance in two tourism-specific applications. The first uses monthly indicators to predict quarterly tourist arrivals to Hawaii; the second predicts quarterly labor income in the accommodations and food services sector. Our results indicate that compared to the exclusive use of low frequency aggregates, including timely intra-period data in the forecasting process results in significant gains in predictive accuracy. Anticipating growing popularity of these techniques among empirical analysts, we present practical implementation guidelines to facilitate their adoption.     

一种提高薄互层储集层分辨率的新方法

目前，薄储集层横向追综、对比的困难，在于薄互层结构的高频信息经地层吸收，采集和接收后变得很弱，甚至被强干扰掩没，从记录上很难对薄互层储集层作追踪对比。本文提出了一种在复数域提高地震记录分辨率的处理方法，实际资料处理表明；它既提高了地震记录的分辨率又不降低其信噪比，是一种既经济又理想的处理方法。     

Market impact: a systematic study of the high frequency options market

This paper deals with a fundamental subject that has seldom been addressed in recent years, that of market impact in the options market. Our analysis is based on a proprietary database of metaorders—large orders that are split into smaller pieces before being sent to the market—on one of the main Asian markets. In line with our previous work on the equity market [Said, E., Bel Hadj Ayed, A., Husson, A. and Abergel, F., Market impact: A systematic study of limit orders. Mark. Microstruct. Liq., 2018, 3(3&4), 1850008.], we propose an algorithmic approach to identify metaorders, based on some implied volatility parameters, the at the money forward volatility and at the money forward skew. In both cases, we obtain results similar to the now well-understood equity market: Square-Root Law, Fair Pricing Condition and Market Impact Dynamics.     

Price discovery in tick time

This paper develops a tick time model for the quote setting dynamics on Nasdaq. The model decomposes quotes into an efficient price, asymmetric information and noise. Both the evolution of the efficient price and the information contents of quotes depend on quote durations. New measures for the contribution to price discovery are defined within this model. When aggregated to fixed calendar time intervals, they relate closely to Hasbrouck [Hasbrouck, Joel, 1995, One security, many markets: determining the contribution to price discovery, Journal of Finance 50, 1175–1199] information shares. Empirical results for 20 Nasdaq stocks indicate that ECNs, in particular Island, contribute most to price discovery for active stocks. For less active stocks, wholesale market makers contribute most.     

基于可编程控制器的自动抛光机控制系统

介绍了可编程控制器、触摸屏和变频器在抛光机自动控制系统中的应用,给出了实现系统控制流程的硬件和软件的设计,并简述了在系统开发过程中出现的5个技术问题的解决办法。     

预应力混凝土梁桥自振特性分析

建立双折线预应力钢筋混凝土等直梁的强迫振动的运动微分方程,分析了梁在预应力钢筋作用下的横向振动问题,将运动微分方程解耦,得到梁在预应力作用下自振频率的解析解,分析了梁的自振频率与预应力和偏心距的关系,通过实例计算,得到了梁在不同预应力时梁桥的自振频率曲线。     

新型波导-微带对脊鳍线过渡设计

介绍了一种新型的宽带波导-微带对脊鳍线过渡设计。它利用对脊鳍线自身结构的调整,就可以对频带内谐振频率产生抑制作用,不需外加任何谐振抑制结构或金属孤岛,减少了设计和制造的复杂性。这种紧凑的过渡模型不仅结构简单、尺寸短小,而且可以在宽频带范围内实现较低的插入损耗和回波损耗,方便工程上的应用。对实验样品的测试表明,在Ka全频段内其插入损耗小于0.8 dB。     

基于频率响应屏蔽技术的采样率变换新结构

介绍了频率响应屏蔽(FRM)技术在采样率变换技术中的应用,分析了FRM的简化结构——内插滤波器的设计方法。将此滤波器应用于采样率变换中,并结合多相滤波思想提出了一种高效的FRM采样率变换结构,此结构能极大降低采样率变换实现复杂度。最后通过设计实例,验证了此结构的高效性。     

Food choice models and their relation with food preferences and eating frequency in the Polish population: POFPRES study

A sample of 9339 subjects aged 13–75, living in the six macro-regions of Poland rated the preferences of 140 various food products, eating frequency and factors influencing food choice. Four groups of consumers were found: “consumers susceptible to advertising and seeking novel healthy products” (33.2% of the sample), “consumers not taking care of their health” (25.4%), “consumers not susceptible to advertising and taking care of their health” (32.5%), and “consumers insensitive to sensory attributes of fruit and vegetables” (9.0%). Among factors influencing the food choice, sensory and functional factors were significant, and health and price – moderate. Advertising was generally denied as an important factor in food choice. The food choice motives were highly dependent on age and gender, and to a lower extent – on region of residence, size of place of residence, economic condition and education level. Women/girls more often showed pro-health behaviours in food choice, choice motives, preferences and food intake.     

变电站直流高频开关电源的检测与验收

直流系统可靠与否直接关系到电网的安全,随着高频开关直流电源系统大量使用,该种电源系统的建成投运验收交接和运行检测、检查,已显得极为重要,从柜体、元器件外观的检查、整套系统电气技术参数检测都必须严格进行,并根据不同的目的进行相应项目的检查,运行中更应定期检查,及时发现存在的隐患,保证其在规定的参数下运行,以提高电池的服役年限。