Marketing Metrics Use in a Transition Economy: The Case of Vietnam

ABSTRACT

This article explores the use of marketing metrics by a sample of Vietnamese firms, providing an example of the use of marketing metrics in a “transition” economy as it grows and becomes more market and marketing driven. The analysis reports usage frequency and then develops a set of “correlation chains” linking firm characteristics, metric use, and various indicators of performance. Vietnamese managers generally report that several types of metrics are used. Ownership structure and industry also impact which metrics are utilized. An initial assessment of chains relating metric use to firm performance indicates that the impact is complex and indirect.     

A uniform weak law of large numbers under π-mixing with application to nonlinear least squares estimation

Abstract  In B ierens (1981) we have derived a uniform weak law of large numbers for stochastically stable processes with respect to a finite-dependent base. In this paper we show that this uniform weak law carries over to stochastically stable processes with respect to a, more general, φ-mixing base. This generalization will be used for relaxing the conditions for weak consistency and asymptotic normality of nonlinear least squares estimators.     

Seasonality patterns in dry bulk shipping spot and time charter freight rates

This paper investigates the nature of seasonality (deterministic and/or stochastic) in dry bulk freight rates, and measures and compares it across freight rates of different vessel sizes (Capesize, Panamax and Handysize), contract duration (spot, 1-year and 3-year time charters) and market conditions (peaks and troughs). Although, there is no evidence of stochastic seasonality, deterministic seasonality in freight rates is found to be varying from −18.2% to 15.3% in individual months within a year. Spot rates for larger vessels exhibit higher seasonal fluctuations compared to smaller vessels, although differences in seasonal fluctuations between sectors are eliminated as the contract duration increases. Also, for each vessel size, the seasonality declines as the contract duration rises. Asymmetries in seasonal fluctuations in freight rates over different market conditions are attributed to the high and low elasticities of supply expected under the respective market conditions. The results have implications for tactical shipping operations such as timing of dry-docking, chartering strategies and switching between freight markets.     

ARBITRAGE BOUNDS FOR PRICES OF WEIGHTED VARIANCE SWAPS

We develop a theory of robust pricing and hedging of a weighted variance swap given market prices for a finite number of co‐maturing put options. We assume the put option prices do not admit arbitrage and deduce no‐arbitrage bounds on the weighted variance swap along with super‐ and sub‐replicating strategies that enforce them. We find that market quotes for variance swaps are surprisingly close to the model‐free lower bounds we determine. We solve the problem by transforming it into an analogous question for a European option with a convex payoff. The lower bound becomes a problem in semi‐infinite linear programming which we solve in detail. The upper bound is explicit. We work in a model‐independent and probability‐free setup. In particular, we use and extend Föllmer's pathwise stochastic calculus. Appropriate notions of arbitrage and admissibility are introduced. This allows us to establish the usual hedging relation between the variance swap and the “log contract” and similar connections for weighted variance swaps. Our results take the form of a FTAP: we show that the absence of (weak) arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a classical model which reproduces the observed prices via risk‐neutral expectations of discounted payoffs.     

边际效用递减规律的再发现

本文的成果主要体现在两个方面:第一,将时间维度导入效用函数,实现了对边际效用递减规律认识的一次真正的飞跃;第二,将需求在需求要素的层次上进行分解,使边际效用递减规律有了更为准确和牢靠的基础。在这两个成果的基础上,对效用的可测量性、商品的同质性假说等问题进生了前瞻性的探讨。     

Determinants of Underwriter Participation in Initial Public Offerings of Common Stock: An Empirical Study

This paper examines an optimal underwriter participation model and develops testable hypotheses regarding the influence of certain factors on the degree of underwriter participation in initial public offerings (IPOs) of common stock. The issue of underwriter participation is important primarily due to the tradeoff between foregone underwriter compensation and underwriting risk reduction. The results of this paper indicate that factors related to the issue, issuing firm, underwriter, and IPO market conditions all are important determinants of the participation decision. Interestingly, the results also show that the importance of these factors is not consistent across underwriter prestige groups. In particular, factors external to underwriters (e.g., the issuing firm and market characteristics) are more important for explaining nonprestigious underwriter participation, while factors related to underwriters themselves play a more important role for explaining prestigious underwriter participation.     

供应链委托代理问题的一阶有效性研究

供应链的最优契约设计经常可以归结为一个委托代理问题．该问题所涉及的模型是一个特殊形式的二层优化问题。目前对该问题的研究非常困难。在经济学领域，解决委托代理模型常用的方法是一阶条件方法，但该方法通常是无效的。文章的主要创新点在于给出了两类满足单调似然率（MLRP）和凸性条件（CDFC）概率分布函数，这两类函数是满足一阶条件的。文章的研究拓广了一阶条件方法有效性的应用范围。     

Changes in Factor Betas and Risk Premiums Over Varying Market Conditions

We show risk exposures and premiums associated with the Chen, Roll, and Ross (1986) risk factors change over time and depend on stock market and business cycle condition. Findings also indicate that factor risk premiums change sign between January and non-January, especially during bull markets. These findings serve as a caveat for portfolio managers who allocate assets to match desired exposures to key macroeconomic risk factors.     

初相注入式快速符号同步的一种实现方法

通过平方滤波算法对时钟初相进行预估计,实现了Gardner算法下初相注入式符号同步.该方法具有快速、高精度的特点,尤其是较好地解决了初始点为过零点的极端情况下,Gardner算法收敛方向不确定、收敛时间较长的问题.计算机仿真和实际应用证实了该方法的有效性.     

Venture Capital Valuation,Partial Adjustment,and Underpricing: Behavioral Bias or Information Production?

Using a sample of venture capital (VC)‐backed initial public offerings (IPOs), we analyze the role played by perceived valuation changes on IPO underpricing. We find that perceived valuation change from the last pre‐IPO VC round to the IPO affects IPO underpricing in a nonlinear way. Further analysis indicates that information‐based theories, not behavioral biases, explain this nonlinearity. We also find that the previously documented partial adjustment effect and its nonlinear impact on IPO underpricing are related to the trajectory of the perceived valuation changes, which stands in stark contrast to prior evidence of the importance of behavioral biases.