The Goals of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality and China’s New Energy Revolution

Based on the full consideration of both domestic and global environments and conditions, the adherence to the conviction that lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets, and the comprehensive weighing of pros and cons, the Chinese government has made a major strategic decision to achieve the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, which is crucial to the overall green transformation of the economy and society and the long-term benefits of the Chinese nation. With the new energy revolution and energy mix diversification driven by the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, nonfossil energy sources centered on photovoltaic energy will gradually dominate the energy mix, while the status of electricity and hydrogen energy will be significantly enhanced and the consumption of coal and petroleum will decline significantly. Carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals are both challenges and opportunities for China. Specific challenges are embodied in the large pressure of economic and energy restructuring, the rising manufacturing costs, the difficulties in withdrawing coal-fired power stations, the possibility of unstable grid operations due to large-scale integration of photovoltaic and wind power into the power distribution network, and the supply risks of key metals, while specific opportunities are emerging in the strong competitiveness of photovoltaic and wind power equipment, lower dependence on foreign petroleum and gas supply and accelerated low-carbon green transformation. China should strengthen the top-level design of the path to achieve carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, encourage innovation of green low-carbon technologies, accelerate economic and energy restructuring, strictly restrict the construction of new high-emission and energy-intensive projects, and steadily promote the adjustment and withdrawal of the existing high-emission and energy-intensive projects.     

财政收入、财政支出与居民消费率

从财政政策收入分配功能的角度就财政收支对居民消费率的影响进行了理论分析,并采用全国数据和省级面板数据就财政收支对居民消费率的影响进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,我国过高的税负率对我国居民消费率的提高有负面影响,以间接税为主的财政收入结构不能实现社会财富再分配的均等化,不利于促进我国居民消费率的提高。财政消费性支出对居民消费具有挤出效应,而保障性支出有助于提高居民消费率。因此改变财政收支结构,强化财政收支的收入再分配功能是提高居民消费率的关键。     

城市化与能源消费的动态相关性及其传导机制——基于1978年～2008年的实证研究

笔者依据1978年~2008年时间序列数据,实证分析了我国城市化与能源消费之间的动态相关性,并对城市化与能源消费之间的关联效应及其传导机制进行了考察。结果表明,我国城市化与能源消费存在协整关系,短期内存在误差修正机制;城市化对能源消费的影响主要是通过其规模效应和技术效应表现出来,而第三产业的节能效应尚不明显。     

“两型社会”建设背景下湖南低碳经济发展的现状与展望

目前,湖南低碳经济发展存在着不足,如：环境制度创新方面的不足、对低碳经济问题的认识欠缺、企业尚未进入技术升级主体的角色、企业尚未建立自主创新体系、知识产权保护制度不明晰,等。在两型社会背景下发展湖南低碳经济,要建立一套更加契合湖南省情、更具操作性和可行性的促进长株潭城市群的制度安排体系。     

刍议中国劳动力价格与经济增长路径转变

改革开放以来,中国经济取得了令世人瞩目的成就,与此同时,经济运行中不和谐的因素也日益增加.投资和消费的比例关系失衡,表现为投资率偏高而消费率偏低.从劳动者收入入手研究投资、消费比例问题,在研究中国劳动力价格的现状后得出结论:相对于居民生活密切相关的粮价、油价、水电费、通讯费、教育费、医疗费来说,中国劳动力价格太低,因此,提高劳动力价格,增加其收入才是破解投资消费失衡的"密钥",也是促进中国经济从依赖投资的增长方式向依靠消费拉动经济增长方式的增长路径转变的"治本之道".     

基于SDA法的能源消费影响关键要素分析

基于投入产出结构因数分解法,本文分行业研究了影响中国能源消费的关键要素,将影响能源消费变动的因素分解为能源强度变化、技术系数变化、国内最终消费比例变化、资本形成总额比例变化、出口比例和进口比例变化以及最终需求总量变化等6个指标。研究结果显示,技术系数变化是影响中国能源需求量变动的最主要因素;能源强度变化、出口比例和进口比例变化也是影响能源消费量变动的主要因素。在影响中国能源消费变化的各行业中,电力、蒸气及水的生产和供应业,金属产品制造业等6个行业对中国能源消费具有重要影响。     

生态文明建设目标行动导向下的现代化经济体系研究

党的十九大报告首次提出“建设现代化经济体系”,把建立健全绿色低碳循环发展作为重点任务之一。作为中国特色社会主义“五位一体”总体战略布局的重要组成部分,生态文明建设是现代化经济体系建设的行动指引,要求破解资源环境约束,提升绿色竞争力,与全球绿色低碳可持续发展目标契合。论文建立了生态文明目标行动导向下的现代化经济体系建设的逻辑分析框架,提出了实践路径。具体来说,就是以生态安全为底线,以新旧动能转换为目标,以绿色低碳循环发展为特征,以生态与产业融合、制造业转型升级、清洁能源体系、绿色消费模式为核心内容,以绿色金融、考核评估和绿色技术创新为驱动力,以生态环境治理体系和治理能力现代化为保障。     

河南发展低碳经济的重点和难点分析

在当前发展低碳经济的大潮下,河南既是一个资源大省,也是一个能耗大省,又处在工业化快速发展的时期,因此,发展低碳经济面临着能源需求增长与减排、重化工工业结构与高能耗、产业结构不合理等矛盾。解析这些矛盾,为河南发展低碳经济寻求出路。     

青少年流行文化心理研究与广告学教学

广告能否达到对目标消费者的说服目的,关键在于广告创作是否与消费者的文化心理相契舍。当代中国青少年是消费市场上庞大的生力军,他们是伴随着流行文化成长起来的,流行文化左右着他们心理和行为,进而影响着他们的消费观,因此广告学教学应对青少年流行文化心理进行研究。     

The effects of public spending externalities

We conduct a positive analysis on the effects of ‘externalities’ produced by government spending. To this effect, we estimate, using U.S. data, an RBC model with two salient features. First, we allow government consumption to directly affect the marginal utility of consumption. Second, we allow public capital to shift the productivity of private factors. We provide an identification analysis that supports the strategy adopted for estimating the parameters governing these two channels. On one hand, private and government consumption are robustly estimated to be substitute goods. Because of substitutability, labor supply reacts little to a government consumption shock, so the estimated output multiplier is much lower than in models with separabilities. On the other hand, our results point towards public investment being ‘unproductive’.