政府在发展高等职业教育中的角色定位思考

高等职业教育是我国高等教育的有机组成部分,政府在发展高等职业教育培训中拥有无可争议的地位,但政府能否对自己的角色加以理性定位却事关高职教育的健康发展。依据中国的具体国情,本文提出政府在高职教育发展中应该扮演催化剂、支持者、激励者和调控者的理性角色。     

职教学生的规范教育

本文对职教学生的规范教育状况进行了分析,就当前如何做好职教学生的规范教育提出了设想,并作了述评。     

企业组织系统变革分析与实践

本文从明确企业组织系统变革的背景及意义出发,确立新经济环境下企业组织系统变革的目标,以徐州卷烟厂组织系统变革实践为依托,论述了企业有效实施组织系统变革的分析思路。     

迎接知识经济时代 实现财务管理创新

随着知识经济的日益发展,尤其是我国改企建制工作的广泛推行和进一步深化,勘察设计企业为了能更好地应对市场竞争的挑战,其日常运作的各项工作就需要有所改进。而作为企业管理的核心,财务管理则需要密切配合企业改制工作的整体部署,进行相应的创新。本文结合勘察设计企业的实际情况,谈谈实现财务管理创新的几点思路。     

分布式通信流分析系统的实现

文章介绍了通信流分析以及匿名通信的研究现状,并分析了现在研究通信流分析所采用的几种流分析工具,指出他们对于匿名通信的通信流分析的不足之处,最后,提出了适应于匿名通信的分布式通信流分析系统的实现方法。     

Efficient Markets Hypothesis and the Emerging Capital Market in Sri Lanka: Evidence from the Colombo Stock Exchange – A Note

The behaviour of stock prices on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) is examined with a view to determine its consistency with the weak form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH). Runs, Autocorrelation and Cointegration tests are applied to daily, weekly and monthly CSE index data for the period of January 1991–November 1996. Results of Runs, Correlation and Cointegration tests overwhelmingly reject the serial independence hypothesis, leading to the conclusion that the behaviour of stock prices in the Colombo Stock Exchange is not consistent with the weak form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis. Tests of the-day-of-the-week-effect, however, show that there is no evidence of such a phenomenon on the Colombo Stock Exchange stock prices. Results of the tests of the-month-of-the-year-effect lead to the conclusion that CSE prices do not display any month-specific behaviour.     

试论建立和完善农村合作金融管理体制

建立和完善农村合作金融管理体制是我国金融体制改革的重要组成部分。我国农村合作金融虽然有了很大发展 ,但农村合作金融管理体制还存在很多弊端 ,迫切需要建立和完善具有中国特色的农村合作金融管理体制。本文在充分分析问题和弊端的基础上 ,科学地提出了建立新体制的构想 ,对于加强农业的基础地位、促进农村经济发展有着十分重要的意义     

Forecasting Stock Index Futures Price Volatility: Linear vs. Nonlinear Models

The study examines the relative ability of various models to forecast daily stock index futures volatility. The forecasting models that are employed range from naïve models to the relatively complex ARCH-class models. It is found that among linear models of stock index futures volatility, the autoregressive model ranks first using the RMSE and MAPE criteria. We also examine three nonlinear models. These models are GARCH-M, EGARCH, and ESTAR. We find that nonlinear GARCH models dominate linear models utilizing the RMSE and the MAPE error statistics and EGARCH appears to be the best model for forecasting stock index futures price volatility.     

我国职业经理人存在的问题及改进措施

职业经理人是企业所有者的代表 ,行使着企业经营管理的职能 ,对企业所有者负责。我国职业经理人作为一个阶层还有待形成。建立科学、合理的经营者激励薪酬制度 ,培育职业经理人市场 ,是造就我国职业经理人队伍的关键。     

From T-Bills to Stocks: Seasonal Anomalies Revisited

This paper employed eleven data series which consist of stocks, bonds, bills, equity premiums, term premiums, and various default premiums to investigate whether January seasonality reported in existing literature is robust across different states of the economy as this has important trading implications. For the periods 1926–1990, small stocks, small stock premiums, low grade bonds, and default premiums (spread between high grade, low grade and government bonds) reveal January seasonality and that the seasonality is robust across different states of the economy except for low grade bond returns and default premiums. January seasonality for low grade bond returns and low grade bond default premiums are primarily driven by results found during periods of economic expansion. Overall, January seasonality is more evident during the economic expansion periods although the magnitude of default premiums is larger during periods of economic contraction. Furthermore, prior findings of strong summer equity returns are primarily driven by the results found during the periods of economic contraction. It is also found that equity returns are generally higher during periods of economic expansion.