旅游扶贫在构建和谐社会中的战略意义和对策

通过对旅游扶贫的认识，探讨了旅游扶贫对落实科学发展观、构建社会主义和谐社会的重大战略意义，并对旅游扶贫开发提出一些建议和对策，使其发挥更好效用。     

Dynamic multidimensional assessment of sustainability at the macro level: The case of Austria

This paper explores the issue of sustainability at the macro scale employing multi-criteria decision aid (MCDA) methods. The incommensurability of values and the essentially multi-dimensional and dynamic nature of sustainability challenge the use of composite measurement indices. This determined the choice of MCDA methods. Austria was chosen as a case study, due to the wide availability of data, especially on indicators of strong sustainability. The structure of the multi-criteria problem comprised the evolution of different sustainability dimensions over time. The process for selecting criteria included a critical assessment of institutional sustainability agendas (UN, EU and Austrian Government) and theoretical recommendations.After an assessment of MCDA methods, the NAIADE method demonstrated the most suitable properties for sustainability assessment. The application of this outranking approach was undertaken in three separate settings: long-term from 1960 to 2003, medium-term, 1970-1995, and short-term, 1995-2003 with varying numbers of criteria. The response of results to the addition of evaluating criteria and periods was tested. The degree of credibility for accepting preference relations was also employed for sensitivity analysis.According to the results of long-term and medium-term assessments, especially in the weak sustainability setting, sustainable progress is taking place in Austria. In the short term, in the stronger sustainability setting and, especially as the number of criteria increases, more incomparable periods appear and trends are less determined. Moreover, it is shown how results crucially depend on the methodological choices.This is one of the first applications of the multi-criteria tools to the dynamic analysis of sustainability at the macro scale.     

企业持续发展的绩效管理探讨

绩效管理注重组织目标和个人目标的一致性,通过提升个人绩效实现组织绩效的提高,对企业可持续发展具有重要意义。工作分析是绩效管理的基础,工作分析结果是实施绩效管理的依据;绩效考核是绩效管理的一个环节,科学的绩效考核是企业先进管理的重要手段;人力资源是企业持续发展的重要资源,有效的绩效管理可避免人才过度流失。     

外部融资依赖度、银行业竞争与经济增长——基于中国制造业的分析

依据1998年至2008年的数据,通过对中国银行业的市场竞争程度进行测度和考察银行业竞争程度对不同外部融资依赖程度的制造业部门的影响,得出结论:我国金融发展和银行业市场竞争程度的提高,有利于外部融资依赖度较高类型的制造业部门的发展,在短期内有利于产业发展和经济增长,但在长期内会导致资金和技术密集型制造业部门的资本深化,对产业结构和经济发展造成不利影响。这对调整和完善我国制造业部门的产业结构、调节和管理不同产业部门的资本需求、促进银行业市场结构健康发展具有重要的理论意义和实践意义。     

关于编制"十一五"规划的几点见解

"十一五"规划编制的体制背景发生了根本的变化。传统计划经济下的计划以生产为中心,是配置社会资源的主要手段,所以计划不仅内容繁细,而且具有很强的指令性;市场经济下市场在配置社会资源中起着基础性作用,政府只是弥补或纠正"市场失灵"领域,并主要靠间接调控方式规范市场和引导企业。 因而,市场经济体制下的"十一五"规划必须突破传统计划理念,力求在体系、内容、重点、方法等方面有所创新。     

黄土高原开发生态旅游前景看好

现代旅游业被视为促进经济发展的推动力，应成为黄土高原地区的先导产业，生态旅游应成为优先发展的旅游项目，本文概述了生态旅游的原则，特性和实质及在黄土高原地区开发生态旅游的必要性前提下，将黄土高原分为12个旅游区，指出黄土高原地区发展生态旅游的不足之处并提出应对策略。     

蒙中经济区区位条件及其开发对策研究

本文通过阐述加快开发蒙中经济区的战略意义、分析蒙中经济区矿产资源、社会经济条件和地缘等区位优势以及水资源、自然生态环境和地区二元结构等制约因素,提出建立经济技术开发区、建立蒙中经济区发展规划制定实施管理协调专门机构、健全机制体系、适当扩大城镇辖区和优先发展乡村教育事业等加快蒙中经济区发展对策建议。     

刍议中国传媒产业的创新发展方向

在＂十二五＂期间,中国传媒产业的发展与经济的平稳快速可持续发展息息相关,并将在文化领域促进中国特色社会主义文化的科学发展。从分析传媒产业在中国的发展入手,指出当前中国传媒产业发展的问题,并提出切实可行的创新发展思路,必将对目前传媒产业发展具有积极的指导意义。     

Empirical of the Taiwan stock index option price forecasting model – applied artificial neural network

This work presents a novel neural network model for forecasting option prices using past volatilities and other options market factors. Out of different approaches to estimating volatility in the option pricing model, this study uses backpropagation neural network to forecast prices for Taiwanese stock index options. The ability to develop accurate forecasts of grey prediction volatility enables practitioners to establish an appropriate hedging strategy at in-the-money option.     

能源可持续发展能力评价——以黑龙江省为例

构建了能源可持续发展能力评价指标体系,运用层次分析法并结合专家打分确定指标权重。利用2002—2008年黑龙江省的相关数据计算评价指标分值,进而得出黑龙江省能源可持续发展度评价值,并从能源资源开发利用、社会发展、经济发展和环境保护这4个层面探究了黑龙江省能源可持续发展态势的形成原因。