基于过程挖掘的物流运作风险发现研究

为了探究物流运作过程中存在的风险,提高物流运作效率,增强物流企业管理能力,以真实的事件日志为基础,运用过程挖掘方法发现物流企业运作过程中的风险。首先以Petri网理论为基础,构建了理想的工作模型,然后使用过程挖掘工具ProM,运用模糊挖掘算法和启发式挖掘算法,对物流运作过程中产生的真实事件日志进行挖掘,获得实际的客观视图,最后利用ProM工具的一致性检查发现物流运作过程中的异常行为模式,并分析物流运作过程中的偏差以及存在的风险。结果表明,过程挖掘能客观地揭示事件日志中活动之间的依赖关系,并发现物流企业自身运作过程中的偏差和风险。研究结果为全面、系统地分析物流企业潜在风险提供了新思路,有助于物流企业发现运作过程中的问题,对物流企业优化运作过程和提高管理效率具有重要的借鉴意义。     

基于现金流量的企业财务预警系统构建

构建科学完善的财务预警系统,完善以偿债能力为核心的长期财务预警指标体系,从定性、定量、定性与定量相结合构建企业长期财务预警方法,将财务分析方法沃尔比重评分法应用到财务预警领域,使其成为一种定性与定量相结合的财务预警方法。     

Awareness as a foundation for developing effective spatial data infrastructures

The development of an effective spatial data infrastructure (SDI) often occurs in a fragmented organizational environment requiring a high level of inter-organizational collaboration. Different organizations from various jurisdictions need to work together closely when agreeing on how they will jointly register, store, use and share data and how they will make their data available to the wider society. However, this collaboration is generally regarded as very difficult. For example people often resist data sharing across organizational boundaries due to loss of control, power and independency. Organizational issues are thus considered one of the fundamental constraints to inter-organizational sharing of spatial data.     

对现代林业的再认识

从理解森林的概念出发,讨论了现代林业的特征和发展目标,在此基础上重点探讨了现代林业实现的途径。认为现代林业建设中必须实行分类经营改革,指出加快现代林业发展必须制定全国现代林业实施战略,全面推进森林经营方案编制、制定和完善现代林业发展的扶持政策,提出了相关政策建议。     

Airport stops and flights on small airplanes as inhibitors of tourism-related air travel: A case study

This article discusses the extent to which prospective tourists' concerns about airport stops and flights on small airplanes inhibit air travel to tourist destinations, drawing on data from telephone surveys conducted in the Dallas–Fort Worth, Texas area. Respondents were queried about the extent to which one airport stop, two airport stops, and one airport stop followed by a flight on a small, propeller-powered airplane, respectively, would deter them from flying to a destination 1096 miles (1764 km) away. Findings suggest that marketers of similar destinations in similarly distant markets that are accessible by air only after two airport stops risk having their promotional appeals ignored by roughly half those who would prefer to reach such destinations by air. Moreover, those most concerned about such flight schedules were more likely than other respondents to have high incomes and to use the Internet to obtain vacation or travel information.     

Gliricidia sepium Carbon Inputs and Soil Carbon Pools in a Costa Rican Alley Cropping System

Alternative land management practices, including agroforestry, help to maintain levels of soil organic matter (SOM) and can facilitate soil carbon (C) sequestration for mitigating atmospheric CO₂ emissions. This study quantified C inputs and determined the changes of the soil C pool in a 19-year-old Gliricidia sepium alley cropping system, studied at two fertiliser levels (tree prunings only [? N], and tree prunings plus chicken manure [+ N]), and was compared to a sole crop system. Carbon input from tree prunings ranged from 455 to 457 g C m^{? 2} y^{? 1}, whereas C inputs from crop residues were similar between alley- and sole crops ranging from 121 to 159 g C m^{? 2}y^{? 1}. The soil organic C (SOC) pool in the alley crop was 16–23% higher than the sole crop. In the 19th year of alley farming, SOC was significantly higher (p < 0.05) in the alley crop (3.2%) compared to the sole crop (2.4%), and was also greater compared to that at the time of establishment of the agroforestry system (2.8%). Gross SOC turnover to a 20-cm depth ranged from 12 to 14 years in the + N and ?N alley crops compared to 49 and 50 years in the + N and ?N treatments for the sole crops. Residue stabilisation efficiency in the alley crops was 39% and 55% in + N and ?N treatments respectively.     

Is external research assessment associated with convergence or divergence of research quality across universities and disciplines? Evidence from the PBRF process in New Zealand

ABSTRACT

Performance-based research evaluations have been adopted in several countries both to measure research quality in higher education institutions and as a basis for the allocation of funding across institutions. Much attention has been given to evaluating whether such schemes have increased the quality and quantity of research. This paper examines whether the introduction of the New Zealand Performance-Based Research Fund process produced convergence or divergence in measured research quality across universities and disciplines between the 2003 and 2012 assessments. Two convergence measures are obtained. One, referred to as β-convergence, relates to the relationship between changes in average quality and the initial quality level. The second concept, referred to as σ-convergence, relates to the changes in the dispersion in average research quality over time. Average quality scores by discipline and university were obtained from individual researcher data, revealing substantial β- and σ-convergence in research quality over the period. The hypothesis of uniform rates of convergence across almost all universities and disciplines is supported. The results provide insights into the incentives created by performance-based funding schemes.     

Overcoming the barriers to successful implementation of information technology in the U.K. hotel industry

This article examines the organisational barriers to successful implementation of information technology in the hotel industry. These are barriers of will, ability, and finance which block the routes to integration of internal systems.     

“双碳”目标背景下全域土地综合整治减排增汇的 机理与路径研究

研究目的：剖析“双碳”目标与全域土地综合整治的互馈关系,解析全域土地综合整治减排增汇的内涵特征、机理和路径,为“双碳”目标背景下全域土地综合整治规划和实施方案的优化提供科技支撑。研究方法：文献资料法和归纳演绎法。研究结果：（1）“双碳”目标赋予了全域土地综合整治减排增汇的新时代生态要义,而全域土地综合整治可以赋能“双碳”目标的实现,二者具有相辅相成的互馈关系。（2）全域土地综合整治系统内涵体现为通过培育多元主体低碳理念,在低碳化整治工程的基础上,优化国土空间碳源/碳汇格局,推动产业活动低碳转型。（3）全域土地综合整治减排增汇过程形成了多要素综合作用的“外缘—内核式”复杂系统,“社会—经济—生态”外缘系统发挥支撑和约束作用,内核系统实现“人—地—业”的协同发展,外缘内核之间双轮耦合,系统推进。（4）最后通过强化“双碳”目标在“社会—经济—生态”外缘系统中的约束作用,构建 “人—地—业”内核系统的减排增汇实施路径。研究结论：全域土地综合整治的减排增汇路径探索是响应“双碳”目标的时代所趋,需要结合内外部环境统筹推进,破解乡村系统实现“双碳”目标的现实压力,助推美丽乡村和生态文明建设。     

论发展中国家复杂产品技术能力发展阶段的划分

在对已有的技术能力发展阶段理论评述的基础上,提出以自主知识产权的产品开发平台作为复杂产品技术能力发展阶段划分的标志,将复杂产品技术能力的发展过程分为"起步-自立追赶-领先"三个阶段,并阐明了这种阶段划分的实践意义。