金融发展地区差异对投资的影响——基于我国省域综列数据的实证研究

文章利用1995￣2004年全国28个地区的统计数据,构建了我国省域金融发展综列数据集,并运用固定效应模型对地区金融发展给地区投资带来的影响进行了实证分析。文章认为,我国地区层面的金融发展对地区投资仍然存在正向影响;地区金融发展促进投资增长呈现明显的地区差异;对外开放对各地区的投资增长有显著作用,东部略大,中部次之,西部略小;投资与经济增长之间没有明显的加速提升效应;我国金融改革的当务之急是完善金融结构的功能,改善金融体系功能低下的现状,提高投资效率。     

Regulatory Capital Arbitrage and the Potential Competitive Impact of Basel II in the Market for Residential Mortgages

U.S. banking regulators have proposed a bifurcated system of capital regulation where the largest, internationally active banking organizations would be subject to significantly more risk sensitive regulatory capital requirements than are currently in place, while most others would remain subject to the current rules. The proposed new capital regime has the potential to affect the competitive landscape among banking institutions, particularly in the area of residential mortgage lending. We analyze the potential competitive effects of the proposed, bifurcated regulatory capital system on competition in the residential mortgage market from the perspective of the theory of regulatory capital arbitrage. We then apply the theory and available evidence to perform some benchmark calculations that suggest a significant, potential shift of market share and income to the largest banking institutions in the mortgage market.

公用企业滥用行为与"混合型"管制改革

公用企业滥用垄断地位行为是管制改革和中国反垄断法中的核心问题.本文采用线性城市模型证明,管制改革中纵向经营在位企业具有采取排他性行为对新企业实行市场封锁的激励.在此情况下,混合型管制体制具有相对的效率优势.中国自然垄断行业具有自然垄断、行为垄断和行政垄断三重交织的特点,垄断性公用企业具有特殊的滥用行为产生机理和滥用行为方式.反公用企业滥用行为应建立"混合型"管制体制模式,将深化行业管制体制改革和反垄断执法有机的结合起来.     

流动性过剩的调控思路研究

目前,中央银行不断采取上调存款准备金率和基准利率及发行巨额央行票据等货币政策手段控制流动性过剩,但效果并不显著。应转变思路,引导资金合理分流,努力扩大内需。     

国外房地产宏观调控政策借鉴与启示

世界各国在经济发展过程中几乎都面临过或正面临着“房价过高”、“市场失灵”的难题。本文对美国、英国、俄罗斯等10多个国家的房地产市场调控政策进行了总结,指出了我国房地产市场宏观调控面临的困难与挑战,并结合国外房地产宏观调控的成功经验,就我国房地产市场宏观调控政策提出了自己的观点。     

Connecting National Safety Nets: The Dialectics of the Basel II Contracting Process

Basel II consists of supervisory guidelines negotiated by representatives of central banks and national regulatory commissions that were members of the Basel committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS). The BCBS is itself a regulatory response to globalization, which is connecting national safety nets in market-driven ways. A country’s financial safety net is a social contract established by short-lived agents for principals in long-lived economic sectors. Restraints placed on the authority of the BCBS members to contract for their principals by domestic politics explains: why Basel II authorizes individual countries to implement the agreement in markedly different ways; why US implementation of Basel II ran into so much doubt, controversy, and delay; and how the implementation debate set small and large banks and the Federal Reserve and other federal regulators against one another.

美国金融科技最新立法监管动态及对我国的启示

金融科技有助于降低交易成本、提高市场效率,但同时也因其“空白型金融创新”的特质给传统金融监管方式带来严峻挑战。美国在金融科技的立法方面,强调“建章立制,立法先行”,创制法律规范具有前瞻性;在监管方面,秉持“负责任的创新”的监管理念,创新监管范式,力求实现金融创新与合法合规之间的动态平衡。我国可合理借鉴美国的立法和监管经验,加强金融科技的顶层设计和立法建设,创制新的专门性立法,构建有利于金融科技发展的监管协调机制,研究以行为监管为导向的监管范式,构建包容性监管制度,探索完善中国式“监管沙箱”机制,最终建构“技术驱动型”的金融监管体系。     

我国金融科技监管挑战及应对

通过分析金融科技风险及监管困境,结合我国互联网金融风险专项整治工作经验,阐述了我国金融科技监管在监管原则、监管时机选择、运作机制、中央与地方双层监管、金融业综合统计体系建设、金融消费者保护力度六个方面所面临的挑战,借鉴美国金融科技监管穿透式监管、金融消费者保护等经验,提出了进一步做好我国金融科技监管工作的建议。     

我国要约规制型消费者冷静期制度的反思与完善

冷静期制度的建立能够为消费者提供更全面的保障,以其类型化为基础,我国新《消法》（《消费者权益保护法》,简称《消法》）第25条针对其中的要约型作出规定。自新《消法》实施以来,制度的积极作用毋庸置疑,但通过对立法的分析反思可知,仍存在适用范围局限、对象模糊、部分规则缺乏可操作性等问题。是故,在制度的未来改进中,可通过对第25条进行再解释,从适用范围及对象的应然界定与行使规则的细化等方面出发探讨制度完善的可能路径。     

Credit risk,owner liability,and bank loan maturities during the global financial crisis

We relate credit risk and owners’ personal guarantees to bank loan maturities during the global financial crisis. The findings, which remain robust to reverse causality, show that firms rated as low risk, with a strong relationship with the bank, whose owners provided personal guarantees and with large loan sizes obtained longer maturities. Banks with larger nonperforming loans provided loans with shorter maturities. Firms with low‐ and high‐risk ratings that provided owners’ personal guarantees obtained longer maturities. These findings shed additional light on the relationship between risk and loan maturities and the role of personal guarantees in reducing information asymmetries.