A Nonstandard Approach to Option Pricing

Nonstandard probability theory and stochastic analysis, as developed by Loeb, Anderson, and Keisler, has the attractive feature that it allows one to exploit combinatorial aspects of a well-understood discrete theory in a continuous setting. We illustrate this with an example taken from financial economics: a nonstandard construction of the well-known Black-Scholes option pricing model allows us to view the resulting object at the same time as both (the hyperfinite version of) the binomial Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model (that is, a hyperfinite geometric random walk) and the continuous model introduced by Black and Scholes (a geometric Brownian motion). Nonstandard methods provide a means of moving freely back and forth between the discrete and continuous points of view. This enables us to give an elementary derivation of the Black-Scholes option pricing formula from the corresponding formula for the binomial model. We also devise an intuitive but rigorous method for constructing self-financing hedge portfolios for various contingent claims, again using the explicit constructions available in the hyperfinite binomial model, to give the portfolio appropriate to the Black-Scholes model. Thus, nonstandard analysis provides a rigorous basis for the economists' intuitive notion that the Black-Scholes model contains a built-in version of the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model.     

Pricing of Mutual Fund Services in Retirement Plans: Evidence from Open-End Equity Funds

Management fees of mutual funds are more costly to investors than is often realized. Moreover, research indicates that in many cases, the fees are not related to performance, contrary to what might be expected from an efficient market. This study uses sample data to illustrate the consequences of inefficiency to an individual investor. It then turns to an empirical examination of the determinants of the ratio of management fees to total assets (MER), investigating market concentration, fund performance, and non-performance characteristics as explanatory variables. All of these classes of variables contributed to the variation of MERs . JEL Classification G23     

The relevance of currency risk in the EMU

We investigate how the elimination of intra-European exchange risk may affect international financial markets using a conditional version of the International CAPM. We estimate the EMU and non-EMU components of aggregate currency risk and document significant exposures to both. The premium for EMU risk is positive and associated with exposure to the French, Italian and Spanish currencies. The premium for non-EMU risk is consistently negative and accounts for most of the aggregate currency premiums. In the 1990s, exposures to EMU risk declined significantly while exposures to non-EMU risk increased. Hence the adoption of the Euro is unlikely to have a large impact on aggregate currency risk premiums.     

Futures and forward price differential and the effect of marking‐to‐market: Australian evidence

The objective of this paper is to examine the effects of marking‐to‐market of futures contracts on the price differential between futures and forward contracts based on the predictions of the Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (1981) (CIR) model. Cox et al ., (1981) derive a series of propositions with respect to the relationship between futures and forward prices and a set of testable implications. These are tested empirically in this paper using Australian data from November 1991 to June 1997. The results provide evidence of the presence of significant futures and forward price differences, where the futures price is consistently below the forward price. Only partial support is found for the Cox et al ., (1981) propositions, implying that the effect of marking‐to‐market is not able to fully account for the price differential. Therefore, it is not possible to rule out the influence of other institutional factors on the futures‐forward price difference.     

我国成品油定价机制研究综述

我国成品油定价机制经历了一个漫长的改革历程,从计划经济下的单一价格发展成为目前的逐渐向国际油价靠拢。文中阐述了每个阶段的特征和影响,并对现行成品油定价机制的特点和不足及未来的改革方向作出了分析。     

应用期权方法构建商业银行贷款利率模型

以分析公司普通股所具有的看涨期权特性为出发点，以Black—Scholes看涨期权定价模型为基础，根据不同企业资本结构和资产回报风险的差别，构造了一个商业银行基本贷款利率模型。从期权角度来设计贷款利率模型，除考虑了企业的经营风险因责外，还同时考虑了企业融资结构所带来的财务风险，能更加全面地反映出商业银行贷款的保障程度。     

存货计价会计舞弊行为的审计

作为费用成本核算链上的重要一环——存货，是企业流动资产中占用比例最大、流动性最弱的项目。其种类繁多，收发频繁，经历采购、入库、保管、领发、使用等一些列生产经营过程，在企业滞留时间长，核算使用的账户多，内部流转和结算关系复杂，利用存货虚增资产、虚减税金、虚计损益的舞弊极易形成，而存货核算舞弊的手段之一便是利用存货计价的可选择性进行账户调节。因此，通过专门的审计方法与技巧来查找存货计价的舞弊原因与手段，对遏制会计信息失真有着重要意义。     

汽车厂商的价格行为分析

企业家的价格策略必须要考虑企业竞争目标的选择、市场供需的变化和企业的成本，产品的成本为价格规定了最低限度，消费者对产品价值的评估和理解为价格规定了最高限度。     

中国银行市场化改革效果研究

近年来，政府采取了大量措施对银行系统进行改革，包括为三家大型国有银行的注资、引进新的管理机制、引进国外战略投资者等，但目前信贷风险数据及信贷决策侧重所反映出的银行市场化改革的效果依然不清楚。本文分析了自1997—2004年间的信贷风险数据，发现国有商业银行的信贷规模在减缓，但在贷款利率定价上仍然没有差别，银行在做出贷款决定时，似乎并没有将企业的盈利能力考虑进来，同时发现，大型国有商业银行在具有更高企业利润省份内的信贷市场份额在继续减少。     

历史成本法下存货计价的比较研究

存货在大多数企业的流动资产中乃至总资产中所占的比重很大 ,因此存货价值的确定直接影响到企业经营成果的确定。不同的计价方法对企业财务状况、盈亏情况都会产生不同的影响。本文通过实例来研究在通货膨胀期间 ,采用历史成本法对存货进行核算 ,无论在永续盘存制下 ,还是在定期盘存制下都会得出 ,先进先出法算出的期末存货额最高 ,销货成本额最低 ,毛利和税后净利最高。后进先出法算出的期末存货额最低 ,销货成本额最高 ,毛利和税后净利最低。加权平均法和移动平均法介于两者之间。