生产者服务业与制造业的互动与融合：研究进展及展望——兼议对长三角地区的分析

20世纪70年代以来,生产者服务业在经济发展中的作用日益凸显,从而引起了学术界的广泛关注,生产者服务业与制造业的互动与融合便是其中一个主要方向。近年来,针对这一问题的研究在不断向纵深扩展。本文对已有的研究成果分别从理论、数理模型和实证方面进行了详尽的梳理,同时也总结了目前对于长三角地区这一问题的相关研究,并在此基础上对现有研究成果进行了简要的评价,提出了未来可能的研究方向。     

由生产力发展趋势浅析中国现有经济规模

经过30年的改革开放,我国的生产力水平正在迅速提高,到21世纪第一个10年中期,我国生产力水平达到改革开放前的20倍。同时,在过去的10年中,相关的国内生产总值和市场规模在以同样令世人震惊的增长率共同进步。然而,研究中发现,第三产业生产力发展数据失真,对第三产业产值有低估问题。若假设我国第三产业占生产总值的50％,即理性提高第三产业产值的比例,我国国内生产总值将接近或超过美国。     

浙江旅游业可持续发展战略思考

浙江省旅游业可持续发展存在诸多问题,有待于通过可持续发展战略认真思考和规划解决.文章提出了推进长三角旅游一体化战略;实施旅游产品差异化发展战略;实施旅游企业集团化、专业化、网络化经营战略;构建96118旅游综合服务平台;推进依法治旅、人才兴旅和信息化工程建设等浙江旅游业可持续发展战略思考.     

假日经济的现状及发展趋势

假日经济作为一种新经济现象，日趋成为人们关注的热点和焦点。“假日经济”是社会经济发展和人们物资生活水平提高到一定程度的必然产物，从我国现状看，假日经济具有时间特征明显、突发性、消费群体的广泛性等一系列特点。假日经济虽然在我国迅速发展。但目前也存在不少问题亟待解决。针对这些问题提出了一系列方案政策。假日经济的未来发展趋势有：多元化、多变化，个性化。     

中国“世界工厂”辨析——我国制造业存在的问题及对策

我国从本世纪初开始被外国媒体称之为“世界工厂”,不管这种说法的政治意义,本文从工业史上“世界工厂”的定义出发,以一系列数据来论证我国到底能否称之为“世界工厂”。得出的结论是我们还有很长的路要走。此外,本文对我国制造业发展过程中的资源、环境污染、社会矛盾等负外部效应进行了论述,并给出了部分解决方法,主要集中于发展模式和节约化、技术创新。     

A Classification of Dutch Manufacturing based on a Model of Innovation

Summary The paper studies the degree of homogeneity of innovative behavior in order to determine empirically an industry classification of Dutch manufacturing that can be used for policy purposes. Defining homogeneity in terms of an economic model distinguishes our classification from existing taxonomies such as those of the OECD, Pavitt and the various classifications based on a principal components analysis. We use a two-limit tobit model with sample selection, which explains the decisions by business enterprises to innovate and the impact these decisions have on the share of innovative sales. The model is estimated for eleven industries based on the Dutch Standard Industrial Classification (SBI 1993). A likelihood ratio (LR) test is then performed to test for equality of the parameters across industries. We find that Dutch manufacturing consists of three groups of industries in terms of innovative behavior, a high-tech group, a low-tech group and the industry of wood. The same pattern shows up in the three Dutch Community Innovation Surveys. The empirical part of this study has been carried out at the Centre for Research of Economic Microdata at Statistics Netherlands. The authors wish to thank Statistics Netherlands, and in particular Bert Diederen, for helping us in accessing and using the Micronoom data set. The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors. The authors also wish to thank Fran?ois Laisney, Patrick Waelbroek and participants at presentations in Maastricht, Strasbourg, Leuven and Lille for their helpful comments. The first author acknowledges financial support from METEOR.     

Industrial Policy and Technology Diffusion: Evidence from Paper Making Machinery in Indonesia

In this paper, we analyze the diffusion and adoption of paper making machinery in the Indonesian pulp and paper industry, from 1923 till 2000. We develop a machine level index of technological sophistication (mach), which measures the technological distance of each paper machine to the world technological frontier. The data reveal a pattern of rapid technological catch up. But catch up was not an industrywide phenomenon. Some modern firms installed state-of-the-art machinery, while others installed older vintages. The paper argues that industrial policy has played an important role in the speed and nature of diffusion of paper making machinery.     

开放浙江 提升制造业国际竞争力

制造业是工业化和现代化的主导力量,制造业的发展水平是衡量工业化国家或地区综合实力和国际竞争力的重要标志。浙江经济发展的一大特色就是制造业相对发达,没有强大的制造业支撑,浙江成不了经济强省,也难以提前基本实现现代化。改革开放以来,浙江制造业已形成了以民营经济为主体的机制优势,以块状经济为代表的集聚优势,以专业市场为依托的营销优势,以轻纺工业为特色的产业优势,浙江已经成为全国乃至世界重要的制造业基地。本文对开放背景下浙江制造业国内国际竞争力的分析,将有助于我们更全面、准确把握浙江制造业比较优势和竞争力的总体特点,同时也有助于在新形势下对浙江制造业发展战略做出调整,从而提升浙江制造业的国际竞争力。     

Industry‐specific Exchange Rate Fluctuations,Japanese Exports and Financial Constraints: Evidence from Panel Vector Autoregressive Analysis

Using a panel vector autoregression approach and industry breakdown data for financial constraints obtained from the Bank of Japan's Tankan (Short‐Term Economic Survey of Enterprises in Japan) database, this study empirically investigates whether and how Japanese firms' financial constraints (internal and external) influence the response of Japanese sectoral exports to an exchange rate shock. Furthermore, we use the industry‐specific real effective exchange rate data developed by to allow for different movements of real effective exchange rates across industries. It is found that financial constraints have a significant influence on Japanese exports in response to exchange rate shocks. Japanese exporters with either lower internal financial constraints or external financial constraints are less affected by the yen's appreciation. In addition, if firms face high external financial constraints, only reducing the internal financial constraints cannot help them mitigate the impact of the yen's appreciation on their exports. Thus, an accommodative financial environment also plays an important role in alleviating the impact that the yen's appreciation has on Japanese exports.     

钢铁行业成本核算制度研究

为了解决钢铁行业普遍亏损、经营困难等问题,对当前钢铁行业成本核算面临的各种问题进行分析,相应的提出新制度实施的必要性。而后详细阐述了钢铁行业成本核算制度的基本步骤,且针对行业现有问题说明了新制度的优越性,提出可以选择性使用的作业成本法,最后阐释了新制度可能会对钢铁行业产生的影响和企业在面对新制度想要改善目前严峻形势必须用辩证的眼光看待这一现象,具体问题具体分析,对症下药才是关键。