中国区域纺织产业结构变动分析

本文基于全国及中国23个省市纺织产业的数据,测度了2003—2012年间中国纺织产业的:More结构值变动情况,并通过引入产业结构超前系数这一指标,探讨了中国传统支柱产业——纺织产业的产业结构变动情况。结果表明,2003年以来中国纺织产业产业结构调整逐步平稳展开。从全国范围的分析来看,纺织业依然占据主导地位,但是所占比重有所下降,而纺织服装鞋帽制造业发展势头良好;对23个省市的分析显示,中国多个省市纺织服装鞋帽制造业、皮革毛皮羽毛绒及其制品业发展势头良好,这表明了未来中国纺织产业朝着高附加值的方向发展,也表明中国纺织产业的产业结构调整遵循了产业结构演化的一般规律。通过整体规划布局,进一步促进中国纺织产业产业结构的优化升级;通过协调各省市之间的发展,避免产业相似度过高、产能过剩等。     

When trade hurts: Consumption indivisibilities and labor market distortions

We present a simple model where complementarities between wages and demand due to factor market distortions can make a transition economy worse off from trade. Prior to trade, a virtuous circle prevails: high wages in industry support a high demand for indivisible industrial goods, which in turn supports high wages. However, factor market distortions in the transition economy create a comparative disadvantage in industry. Opening up to trade results in the import of indivisibles and a fall in manufacturing wages, breaking this virtuous circle. Consequently, trade liberalization without structural reform can have serious adverse effects in a transition economy.     

中国入境旅游外汇收入季节调整实证分析

旅游业的行业特点决定了中国入境旅游时间序列的发展趋势中存在明显的季节变动因素及不规则因素.本文利用X-12-ARIMA季节调整方法,把中国入境旅游外汇收入序列具体分解为长期趋势因素、季节变动因素及不规则因素,并对各构成因素作了简要分析,以期能对中国入境旅游业的变动规律给出一个相对客观的认识.     

我国农产品电子商务发展研究

目前,我国农产品电子商务的总体水平不高,其原因主要在交易主体参与农产品电子商务的意识和能力有限;交易对象的标准化、品牌化建设滞后;交易媒介建设薄弱;交易环境不够完善。为此,要提升交易主体的素质、改进交易对象的品质、加强交易媒介的建设、完善交易环境以促进我国农产品电子商务的发展。     

关于企业税收流失与涉税人员的关系分析

对企业方面的税收流失与会计人员、企业负责人、税务人员、行政长官及社会监督人员的关系进行分析 ,提出税收流失重点在于预防 ,关键在于提高全体社会成员的税收意识 ,最终实现税收流失的源泉控制。     

对国有地勘单位改革发展认识“误区”的分析--学习十八届三中全会精神的几点感悟

党的十八届三中全会决定指出,“紧紧围绕市场在资源配置中起决定性作用深化经济体制改革”和“加快事业单位分类改革”。文章对国有地勘单位改革发展、地质工作的能否由市场配置资源以及基金项目扩大化的问题进行了深入阐述。现行的全供预算政策在事业单位分类改革过程中具有过渡性、不确定性,对地勘单位事企分开、分体运行实践也应持观望态度,地勘企业要通过合法合规的方式“反哺”地勘事业单位,增强地勘单位改革发展的系统性、整体性、协同性。     

中国经济奇迹原因探析——全球视野中的中国道路

中国改革开放以来的经济奇迹震撼了世界,其根本原因在于：中国不相信任何教条,从国情出发走出了一条适合自己的现代化道路——中国特色社会主义道路.中国特色社会主义制度是中国奇迹的根本保障.新中国前30年的经济建设成就则为后来的经济起飞奠定了雄厚的物质基础.     

The Influence of Grassroots Political Turmoil on Capital Flight from Developing Countries

Abstract

This study hypothesizes that capital flight from developing countries into the United States is related to political disturbances in these countries. The empirical examination of more than two decades of capital flight and political turmoil data for selected developing countries seems to support the hypothesis. Implications for planners are discussed.     

North–South terms‐of‐trade trends from 1960 to 2006

The composition of exports of developing countries is increasingly dominated by manufactured goods. This has not changed the fact that their major trading partners continue to be the developed countries. In order to properly assess the distribution of gains from trade, there is a pressing need to analyze the movements in the terms of trade of developing countries with respect to the developed ones. A statistical analysis of the North–South terms of trade reveals that the terms of trade have turned against the South since the 1960s. However, the terms‐of‐trade deterioration is neither continuous nor evenly distributed over different country groupings. The existence of a structural break in the mid‐to‐late 1970s together with the greatest adverse terms‐of‐trade movements against the highly indebted and least developed countries attest the discontinuity and unevenness of this process.     

时代与政治洪流里中国现代作家另种样本的解读——评常勤毅《从“共时”到“横跨”——骆宾基:中国现当代作家中的一个抽样分析》

常勤毅的《从“共时”到“横跨”—骆宾基:中国现当代作家中的一个抽样分析》将骆宾基放在中国现当代文学的宏观层次上,通过研究这一“个案”来评析三十年代抗日作家尤其是东北作家群扣四十年代国统区进步的民主主义作家及其新中国成立后一度陷入创作困境的老作家的共性,进而试图在与骆宾基既有联系又有区别的许多中国现当代作家的比较下,总结出中国现当代文学发展的历史经验教训,为今后中国文学的进一步繁荣积累宝贵的经验.该书主旨明确、史论结合,紧紧扣住“同步”、“共时”与“横跨”这三个关键词.全书持论公允,论述充分,文笔清新、流畅.是本有思想、有特色、有启迪的著作.