旅游社区经济发展初步探讨

结合国内外学者对旅游社区的研究，重点分析了旅游社区的利益相关者，绘制出了旅游社区利益相关图，并尝试性地构建了旅游社区经济的发展模型。旅游社区是一个系统，政府、社区居民、旅游者和旅游社区内企业的共同作用是旅游社区经济发展的关键。同时，认为旅游孵化器和数字化、虚拟化旅游社区是旅游社区的两大走向。     

新一轮税制改革面临的挑战与现实选择

中国经济正面临着知识经济、经济全球化、可持续发展、通货紧缩、追求收入公平分配等方面的严峻挑战。制定税收制度必须以经济转轨时期的经济改革为背景,以广税基、低税率、少优惠、强征管为目标,进一步深化我国的税制改革。     

国际银行业监管标准嬗变途径分析

国际银行业监管标准从旧协议向新资本协议嬗变途径中有两个交叉方向的变化——监管性的资本与经济性的资本、基于规则的监管与面向过程的监管。虽然新协议中保留了一些监管性和规则性的资本监管因素,就象在旧协议中也吸收了经济性和过程性方法的要素一样,但是新协议中监管方式的转变仍然是实质性的和很重要的,并且是同时发生在两方面的转变。     

Investor efficiency in the face of takings

Governmental entities at all levels are empowered to acquire private property for the public's benefit, provided that just compensation is paid. The level of compensation typically viewed by courts as just is market value, but questions arise as to whether market value compensation motivates the private owner of land, potentially subject to a taking, to improve the property to a degree that is socially efficient. Earlier works have found market value to be a compensation level too high to promote efficiency. The present paper offers an analysis, based on a simple model of investor profit maximization, that provides a unified view of models presented in some important earlier works. In a special application of the general case, it is shown that market value can be too low a level of compensation to promote efficient behavior by the land owner.     

Economic Risk Factors and Commercial Real Estate Returns

A great deal of research has focused on the links between stock and bond market returns and macroeconomic events such as fluctuations in interest rates, inflation rates, and industrial production. Although the comovements of real estate and other asset prices suggests that these same systematic risk factors are likely to be priced in real estate markets, no study has formally addressed this issue. This study identifies the growth rate in real per capita consumption, the real T-bill rate, the term structure of interest rates, and unexpected inflation as fundamental drivers or state variables that systematically affect real estate returns. The finding of a consistently significant risk premium on consumption has important ramifications for the vast literature that has examined the (risk-adjusted) performance of real estate, for it suggests that prior findings of significant abnormal returns (either positive or negative) that have ignored consumption are potentially biased by an omitted variables problem. The results also have important implications for dynamic asset allocation strategies that involve the predictability of real estate returns using economic data.     

社会壁垒的合理性及对我国的积极影响

最近几年,社会壁垒已经成为欧盟国家及其他发达国家的重要贸易手段.我国国内对其负面影响的研究与宣传的较多,但对其合理性研究不够.本文就社会壁垒的产生、发展及其合理性进行了分析,并指出其对我国政府与企业的积极影响.     

经济增长在险水平、条件波动性与经济增长态势研究

经济增长在险水平（GaR）和条件标准差（CSD）能够有效地度量国家经济风险波动的单向性和双向性。利用动态时窗和条件异方差模型，我们发现我国国家经济风险与经济周期波动密切相关，目前的国家风险状态已经体现出明显的稳定性。利用协整关系检验，我们发现我国国家经济风险与经济增长水平之间存在正相关的长期均衡关系，因此采取积极经济政策的“反周期”干预，所诱发的适度经济波动将有且经济快速稳定增长。     

Inequality, Crime and Economic Growth. A Classical Argument for Distributional Equality

This paper studies the dynamic general-equilibrium interactions between inequality, crime and economic growth by embedding the rational choice-theoretical approach to criminal behavior in a heterogeneous-agents endogenous-growth OLG model. Based on their respective opportunity costs, individuals choose to specialize in either legal or criminal activities. While legal households contribute to aggregate goods supply over time by either working or building human capital, criminals make a living by expropriating legal citizens of part of the latter's income. An increase in inequality lowers the economy's growth rate and possesses negative welfare effects for all agents with endowments equal to or above average and for agents with endowment below average that are born sufficiently far in the future.     

Capital mobility,wage bargaining,and social insurance policies in an economic union

In a two-country model with mobile capital we analyse decentralized social insurance policies. These policies are a compromise between the preferences of workers and capital owners. Due to wage bargaining, worker-based social insurance contributions are borne by capital owners. These contributions affect the profitability of investment, and consequently the direction and size of capital flows. Countries will take account of these effects in determining social insurance policy. Noncooperative decision making results in tax competition and an underprovision of social insurance. In addition, increasing economic integration, represented by increasing capital mobility, could imply a divergence of social insurance levels in the two countries.     

科学发展观和新自由主义发展观的论争

在我国的经济国理论界和社会公理论学界，如何科学发展，和谐发展，已经成为关注和讨论的热门话题。目前，中众争辩的问题，不是要不要改革，而是改革的方向之争，是坚持社会主义市场经济的改革方向，还是资本主义市场经济的改革方向，实质上是围绕科学发展观和新自由主义发展观之间的争论。科学发展观有三个含义即全面发展、协调发展和可持续发展，比较突出的有四个亮点。