Estimation in the generalized Poisson model via robust testing

An estimation method is presented which compromises robust efficiency with computational feasibility in the case of the generalized Poisson model. The formal setup is built on flexible nonparametric extensions of the underlying model. The estimation efficiency is expressed via minimax properties of tests resulting from expansions of estimators. The nonparametric neighborhoods related to the proposed score function are exemplified and a real data case is analysed. The resulting method balances several qualitative features of statistical inference: strong differentiability (asymptotic derivations are more accurate), efficiency and natural model extension (quality of formal basic assumptions).     

城市物流基地选址问题研究

本文将物流基地纳入城市交通网络中，以体现交通状况对物流基地选址的影响。在进行选址时，以运输费用和基地的投资、管理费用总和最小为规划者的主要目标，建立目标函数。选址的上层模型体现了运输费用和基地投资费用、管理费用最小的原则，下层模型体现了入选点的不同对交通流量分配的影响，下层模型是求解上层模型的基础。     

The Dynamics of Capital Structure in Transition Economies

This paper uses a dynamic unrestricted capital structure model to examine the determinants of the private companies' target financial leverage and the speed of adjustment to it in two transition economies, the Czech Republic and Bulgaria. We explicitly model the adjustment of companies' leverage to a target leverage, and this target leverage is itself explained by a set of factors. The panel data methodology combines cross-section and time-series information. The results indicate that the Bulgarian corporate credit markets were less supply -constrained than those of the Czech Republic during the period under investigation. Bulgariancompanies adjusted much faster to the target leverage than Czech firms. The speed ofadjustment related positively to the distance between target and observed ratio for Bulgarian companies while the relationship was neutral for Czech companies. The conservative policies of Czech banks and the exposure control were likely responsible for the slower adjustment among the larger companies while the opposite were true for Bulgarian banks and companies.     

创业投资公司的后续管理模式设计

文章认为创业投资的后续管理是创业投资机构或专家减少投资风险,确保预期的投资收益率的重要手段。文章以某创业投资公司设计的积极干预型后续管理模式为例,探讨该管理模式把增值服务揉合在监控过程之中,使其能有效地介入创业企业的管理,并进一步突破信息不对称的束缚、减少各种代理风险。     

基于多目标决策的应急物资供应商选择

应急物流是以提供突发性自然灾害、突发性公共卫生事件等突发性事件所需应急物资为目的,以追求时间效益最大化和灾害损失最小化为目标的特种物流活动。本文针对应急物流中的应急物资采购问题,在分析了应急物资供应商选择的影响因素的基础上,构建了基于交货准时性、质量、成本的多目标供应商选择模型,并给出了算例求解。     

出资人监管模式的理性选择：基于层次分析法的思考

综观我国当前许多地方在国有资产出资人监管模式的具体应用上,可谓多种多样,不少地方也在反复斟酌何种模式更能扬长避短。本文将目前存在的监管模式大致归纳为四种形式,即通过出资人对所出资企业组建或强化董事会的建设与运行、通过出资人外部派驻监事会、通过出资人委派财务总监,以及完全在公司法框架下全面重申和强化”三会”模式。本文根据出资人监管模式在监管独立性、监管效力性、监管持续性以及监管节约性四个方面的系统性特征,利用专门解决定性与定量交织问题的层次分析法,对决策行为的优化进行模拟量化比较,从而为理性优选出资人监管模式创建了一个新的思路。     

海峡西岸区域物流对区域经济增长贡献度的探析

从海峡西岸经济发展现状入手,结合该区域物流市场需求的必然性和可行性分析,采用计量经济模型对区域物流与经济增长进行相关的实证分析,得出了区域货运量、客运量每单位增长对经济增长的贡献度,为政府重视区域物流的发展提供了可靠依据。     

网络环境下对会计信息失真的全新认识

网络技术的发展将会对会计信息的生产模式带来新的思考,传统会计的个体性生产模式,难以适应网络技术的发展和社会化的会计信息需求。本文从会计信息失真的现有观点谈起,论述了网络环境下会计信息失真的根源,进而重新构建了网络环境下会计信息的生产模式,这对于治理会计信息失真、提高经济效益、完善宏观调控,都具有重要的意义。     

A Note on Minimax Mixture of Distributions Free Procedure for Inventory Model with Variable Lead Time

In recent papers, Moon and Choi (1998) and Hariga and Ben-Daya (1999)considered a continuous review inventory model with a mixture of backordersand lost sales in which the lead time, the order quantity, and the reorder pointare decision variables was studied. Moreover, they also develop a minimaxdistribution free procedure for the problem. While the demands of differentcustomers are not identical in the lead time, then we can't only use a singledistribution (such as Moon & Choi (1998) and Hariga & Ben-Daya (1999))to describe the demand of the lead time. Hence, we correct and extend the modelof Moon and Choi (1998) and Hariga and Ben-Daya (1999) by considering thelead time demand with the mixture of distributions. In addition, we also applythe minimax mixture of distributions free approach to the model by simultaneouslyoptimizing the order quantity, the reorder point, and the lead time to devise a practical procedure which can be used without specific information on demand distribution.     

西部地区中小企业集群发展的内在驱动分析及其模式选择

文章分析了西部地区中小企业集群发展的内在驱动因素和四种基本集群模式,从区域产业发展的角度出发,提出西部不同区域应立足资源状况和经济发展水平,依据产业特色选择适宜的中小企业集群模式.