A latent class approach to tourists’ length of stay

In this paper, a conditional demand function is estimated for the length of stay at a tourist destination. The microeconomic model specifies the demand for the length of stay conditional on the remaining holiday characteristics that the tourist has chosen (the destination, type of accommodation etc.). The empirical model uses a latent class truncated Poisson regression, which acknowledges the existence of groups or segments of demand with different preferences. In the case under study, a distinction is made between two segments with a preference for either a longer or shorter holiday. The statistical model also resolves a problem of multimodality, acknowledged in previous analyses to be one of the main characteristics of this variable.     

经济学视域下的假日旅游研究

假日旅游对于扩大国内需求市场有一定的帮助,同时在一定程度上调整了我国的消费结构,通过对假日旅游消费各个层面进行深入分析,指出"黄金周"现象只是一种"即期繁荣"式的假日消费,从长期来看"黄金周"长假对刺激消费作用有限,并且,长假后社会经济成本急剧上升,而长假所带来的收益却因为我国经济自身的发展(摆脱紧缩局面)而减少.我们应该理性看待假日消费所带动的经济增长,重视其不经济的一面,积极寻求变革的有效途径.     

搞好假日旅游 拉动消费增长 促进经济发展——关于广西国庆旅游热潮的思考

通过分析广西在 1999年国庆期间的旅游热潮 ,探讨了旅游业发展对消费增长和经济发展的重要促进作用 ,提出了做好假日旅游的措施     

A critical review of methods for tourism climate change appraisal: life cycle assessment as a new approach

This paper reviews existing approaches to assessing tourism sustainability, especially its contribution to climate change. It assesses ecological footprint analysis, environmental impact assessment and input–output analysis but finds them inaccurate and unreliable. It goes on to argue that life cycle assessment (LCA) is a more promising tool for tourism climate change impact assessment, highlighting important areas where LCA application can contribute towards better understanding of tourism's role in global climatic changes. To demonstrate the applicability of the LCA methodology, a case study of a short weekend holiday trip is presented. Related greenhouse gas emissions are measured comparing LCA and alternative carbon footprint calculation methods. The comparison demonstrates markedly different results. The reasons for the discrepancy along with the potential of LCA to estimate the “indirect” carbon contribution of the holiday trip's components are discussed. A key feature of the LCA calculation is that for short-haul trips the proportional impact of accommodation-related emissions is shown to be larger than in earlier calculations, while transport impacts are reduced.     

山地度假旅游产品开发研究

我国山地旅游资源丰富,山地度假已经成为一种重要的旅游方式。本文综合运用区位理论、动机理论、产业链理论等分析了山地度假旅游产品开发中遇到的区位选择、资源类型、客源市场等关键因素,探讨了适宜开发度假旅游产品的山地类型、开发原则、适宜开发的产品谱系及相关配套设施和服务的完善等问题。     

Deciding on Family Holidays—Role Distribution and Strategies in Use

The article discusses holiday-related decision making in families by exploring the role distribution and strategies employed by family members, with particular attention given to the influence of children. Based on the theoretical discussion, a model is developed that highlights the influence of a number of contextual factors on role distribution and decision-making strategies, and which is found useful in the analysis of qualitative interviews with German and Danish families. The empirical analysis demonstrates patterns in the role distribution of family members in line with the existing literature; however, diversions from established knowledge also appear as children occupy a multitude of roles, and the role of the mother to some extent differs across the German and Danish data. Contextual factors like parental perceptions of children and societal structures are useful in explaining this complexity in role distribution. Likewise in relation to decision-making strategies, contextual factors are helpful in explaining the strategies used, in particular the convention that holidays are an extraordinary “free space” which allows for more negotiation power being bestowed on children than in everyday life.     

Evaluating heritage: tourists and holiday visits to heritage sites

This paper analyses ‘top of the mind’ evaluations of respondents who had visited three cultural heritage sites in New Zealand. Unlike many studies, this paper reports data derived from answers written to open-ended questions. The research sought to assess to what extent respondents are purposeful seekers of knowledge, or alternatively are simply seeking experiences that contribute to an overall satisfying visit and to their holiday experiences. While it may be suggested that the needs for relaxation, social bonding and knowledge lead to an evaluation of sites via the importance tourists attributed to factors such as uniqueness, it is found that, for the majority of tourists, uniqueness is either given little importance or is engaged with in shallow ways. The visit to the site is hence evaluated by the contribution it makes to enjoyable holiday-taking, rather than holidaymaking.     

我国居民消费的增长与波动——基于季节调整方法

文章根据日销售额的节假日特征,提出我国居民消费序列季节调整的新方案,并运用季节调整结果分析我国居民消费的增长和波动.研究表明:在新方案中增加移动假日效应和工作日效应后,不仅能充分提取原始序列的季节成分和节假日效应成分,而且可以有效监测居民消费的增长和波动.原始序列的分解结果表明,我国居民消费的趋势循环成分持续稳步增长、季节波动模式基本保持稳定、不规则成分平稳随机变动.基于新季节调整方案得到的环比数据可以及时发现经济指标的转折点,因此更适宜于对居民消费进行实时监测.     

重庆大足石刻假日旅游存在的问题及对策

假日旅游已成为我国消费领域的一种新现象,也是目前旅游发展的新动向。文章以重庆大足石刻假日旅游为研究对象,对大足石刻假日旅游现状及存在的问题进行了分析,提出了大足石刻景区假日旅游经济可持续发展的对策。     

大连节庆旅游的SWOT分析及发展建议

大连市的节庆旅游发展较早、项目繁多,但发展中仍存在一些问题。依据SWOT分析法剖析,可以发现大连节庆旅游项目:既有其独特的城市形象、良好的旅游业发展空间、得天独到的自然环境等良好优势,也存在着建城历史短、文化底蕴薄;缺少专业策划人才等劣势。同时,也发现具有很好地发展机遇。为全面提升大连节庆旅游水平,在发展对策方面应注重依托城市形象,充分体现"浪漫之都";主打独特的沙滩文化,开拓市民空间;培养专业节庆人才,形成动态空间辐射;开发旅游淡季产品;提高大连节庆旅游知名度。