基于季节调整的四川居民消费状况实证分析

由于种种原因,目前中国居民消费的比重偏低,出现了结构失衡。因此,准确把握当前的消费状况和特征,对于制定扩大消费需求的对策来说具有重要的意义。随着灾后重建项目的逐步完成,投资对四川经济的作用日趋减弱,在净出口额并不是很大的状况下消费便成了拉动四川经济增长的主要因素。文章在分析四川居民消费时间序列数据的基础上,运用季节调整的方法,准确分离出消费的长期变动趋势、季节变动趋势、不规则变动因素,并提出了刺激消费、扩大内需的对策建议。     

山西省农村居民生活用水定额初探

根据山西省自然条件、经济状况等特点,将全省分为4个分区,选择13个典型县进行现场调研工作。通过对山西省农村居民生活用水的调查,了解和掌握了目前农村居民的用水现状和节水潜力,确定合理可行的居民用水定额。     

Cropland use,yields, and droughts: spatial data modeling for Burkina Faso and Niger

For countries with recurrent droughts, the design of drought impact mitigation measures could benefit from analyses of determinants of yields and prices of local crops at regional and district level. This study applies dynamic spatial panel data regression models to yields and prices of four major food crops across regions of Burkina Faso and Niger, over sample periods between 1984 and 2006. Results lend support to mainly simultaneous spatial spillovers, particularly for millet and cowpea prices and sorghum yields in Niger, and maize yields in Burkina Faso. After accounting for these effects, most crop yields are found to be weakly price‐responsive, as envisaged by a supply‐side geographical diffusion hypothesis. Seasonal rainfall elasticity estimates suggest that dominant food crops have slight advantage margins in terms of relative resilience to rainfall shortages. However, this result is to be weighed against low millet yields in Niger, and marked drops in sorghum yields during officially declared droughts in Burkina Faso.     

Consumer demand for nutrition versus taste in four major food categories

This study addresses the trade‐off between nutrition and taste in expenditure on breakfast cereal, milk, bread, and soft drinks. Within each category, products have similar cost and convenience, but have markedly different flavor and nutritional content. Using annual expenditure data for a large sample of households participating in the ACNielsen Homescan system, we regress a measure of “healthiness” on household demographics and market prices, and find that households with college‐educated heads and higher incomes made significantly healthier choices in all four categories. These effects are puzzling in that the nutritional differences between products were well known to consumers, and there are no cost or convenience differences between them. The presence of children was associated with less healthy choices, especially for cereal and bread, while older households made healthier choices in all categories except milk.     

Factors Affecting the Extent to which Consumers Incorporate Functional Ingredients into their Diets

This study considers the factors that explain the consumption of food and beverages with functional ingredients to avert or offset health problems. We use an instrumental variables Poisson regression model to deal with the endogeneity of perceived health status in functional ingredient use. The first stage results indicate that perceived health status is associated with attitude towards functional foods, food consumption motives and information seeking and being female. The second stage results suggest that individuals who consume more functional ingredients tend to have a positive attitude towards functional foods, are novelty‐seeking, female and older. As expected, consumption of functional ingredients is more likely when consumers’ self‐reports indicate that they are aware of functional foods’ nutritional value and the link with their own health. Consistent with previous research, most of the socio‐demographics are poor predictors of functional ingredient consumption.     

全球药品消费市场发展特征分析

全球药品消费市场呈持续扩大趋势,并表现出一些新特征。药品消费市场在全球各个地区之间、在各个国家之间、各个治疗领域之间、各个品种之间的发展都是非均衡的。中草药消费有可能成为未来的药品消费热点之一。药品消费市场的秩序有待改善,假药问题仍然值得关注。中国药品消费发展迅速,可能成为全球药品消费的一个新亮点。     

多源流理论框架下消费税重大调整的动因与时机研究

借助多源流理论框架对中国消费税历次重大调整的动力因素与触发时机进行分析后发现,消费税重大调整过程中受到鲜明的问题流、政策流和政治流的推动,其中因问题紧迫度、政策清晰度、政治聚焦度的不同,呈现出多样性的动力因素组合与差异化的政策变迁触发时机.作为以公共政策理论讨论税收政策变迁的尝试,对消费税重大调整的多源流分析在一定程度...     

时尚消费中情感走向及营销对策

时尚消费是大众消费中最具生命力、最有情感因素参与的消费形式。如何从营销情感心理学发生的角度理性地寻找出相应的对策,这是当前营销心理学的一个盲点。作者试从时尚消费的发生、时尚消费中情感心理特点、时尚消费中情感维度及其营销对策与控制方面进行多角度的探讨分析。     

休闲产业:国内研究述评

休闲产业研究在我国尚处于起步阶段。目前国内对休闲产业的研究主要集中于休闲产业的概念和范围、休闲产业的地位和作用、休闲消费、影响我国休闲产业发展的主要障碍和对策等几个方面,今后研究的重点应转向建立休闲产业统计体系、揭示休闲产业和消费结构的变化规律、检验休闲产业的就业功能及其与建设和谐社会的关系上来,在研究方法上应注重从定性分析转向定量分析。     

博弈视角下大学生互联网消费信贷决策行为研究

基于博弈论视角,从理论上构建了金融机构与大学生消费信贷决策的动态博弈模型,并引入信誉机制,比较分析了传统金融机构退出大学生信用卡市场而互联网金融大举进入校园信贷市场的深刻原因,同时借助大学生消费信贷调查一手数据实证检验了信誉机制的有效性,研究结果表明:在单次和有限次重复博弈中,“囚徒困境”普遍存在,而在无限次重复博弈中,尽管利率和交易成本下降有利于促进交易,但信息不对称问题却使博弈只能进行有限次,因此要达成长期合作,必须引入具有“社会性惩罚”的信誉机制来抑制大学生的短期投机行为,然信誉机制对于促进传统金融机构与大学生合作的作用有限,更多的是促进互联网金融机构与大学生消费信贷关系的达成,实证结果验证了该结论。由此得到的启示是,充分利用互联网大数据优势、强化互联网金融市场监管、引导大学生树立正确的消费观和责任意识,有助于破解“一放就乱,一管就死”的监管困局,这对于规范互联网金融校园消费信贷市场具有重要现实意义。