贸易政策选择的博弈分析

传统贸易理论与新贸易理论的不同源于假设条件的不同,并由此导致贸易政策选择上的自由贸易政策和战略性贸易政策。本文主要应用博弈理论对战略性贸易政策在不完全竞争市场上对国际贸易的影响进行分析,说明政府使用干预政策时,应充分考虑现实条件,否则其危害可能远远超过自由贸易。     

Vertical trade and free trade agreements

We investigate the effects of free trade agreements (FTAs) on tariffs and welfare in vertical trade. We consider a three-country model, where an FTA is formed between a country exporting a final good and a country exporting an intermediate good. The FTA unambiguously leads to a reduction in the member country’s tariff, but may cause the non-member country’s tariff level to increase. In the case, where FTA raises the non-member country’s tariff level, the FTA increases that country’s welfare. In contrast, the FTA may render its member countries better off. This result implies that the formation of an FTA may not always be Pareto-improving.     

广西北部湾金融环境新格局与金融创新战略导入

文章以全球金融危机对国际货币体系产生的深刻影响和人民币国际化为视角,阐述广西北部湾经济区在内、外部环境新变化下所形成的金融环境新格局。通过金融创新理论模型实证表明,区域金融创新扩张了广西北部湾经济区资金总量,拉动了区域GDP增长。对广西北部湾区域金融创新战略导入的实践进行了分析。     

浅析市场自由与政府干预

市场自由与政府干预的争论由来已久,把握二者的内涵、理清二者之间的关系是界定二者作用范围的基础。为更清晰的了解二者对经济和社会的作用,实证方面的分析和检验是十分必要的。通过理论演绎和实证检验可以发现,政府干预对经济增长实际上是有阻碍作用的,但是市场的作用也并不是万能的。这决定了政府与市场无法实现有效结合,经济周期必然伴随市场一直存在下去。     

Forest sustainability and trade policies

Many analyses of trade and environment have concluded that trade liberalization is Pareto improvement with Pigovian tax systems even when production and consumption processes bring non-market externalities. But in case of global forest issue there are many accusations that the trade liberalization of forest products has caused the degradation of forest sustainability. In this paper we try to explain the gap between the theory and the real situation from theoretical point of view. We will analyze comprehensively about free trade and forest sustainability by partial and general equilibrium analyses. Pigovian systems work well under the assumption of complete substitutivity of consumption between external effects and marketable commodities. If it were not satisfied, it is inevitable to levy import tariff or to take some domestic price support systems to guide the production point into sustainable forests.     

Are two interviewers better than one?

How many interviewers per job applicant are necessary for a company to achieve the highest hit rate? Are two better than one? Condorcet's Jury Theorem and the “wisdom of the crowd” suggest that more is better. Under quite general conditions this study shows, surprisingly, that two interviewers are on average not superior to the best interviewer. Adding further interviewers will also not increase the expected collective hit rate when interviewers are homogeneous (i.e., their hits are nested), only doing so when interviewers are heterogeneous (i.e., their hits are not nested). The current study shows how these results depend on the number of interviewers, their expertise, and the chance of free riding, and specify the conditions when “less is more”. This analysis suggests that the best policy is to invest resources into improving the quality of the best interviewer rather than distribute these to improve the quality of many interviewers.     

Building the NAFTA Railway

Abstract

The key but too often overlooked link between firms and communities in the emerging NAFTA economy is transportation. Cross-border investment, trade, competition and cooperation are dependent on the restructuring of the U.S., Mexican and Canadian transport systems into a tightly integrated, efficient network. The paper examines the role of transport industries in the NAFTA economy, focusing particularly on a case study of the strategies of the Kansas City Southern Railway to become the “NAFTA Railway” to compete in the North American economy and the implications of these efforts for the firms involved, government transport policies, and the North American economy.     

Counteracting Free‐Riding With Team Morale—An Experimental Study

This study focuses on a behavioral perspective to examine the detrimental effects of free‐riding on team performance, and investigates team morale as a key factor that counteracts the tendency of free‐riding among team members. Results of the empirical test imply that enhancing team morale can effectively reduce the scale of free‐riding behavior in project teams; in addition, controlling team size also provides help to constrain the undesired behavior. The two means can be carefully applied to project management during early stages of project development before the commitment of significant resources. Implications for both research and team practices are discussed.     

鲁迅杂文:思想的自由表达式

在鲁迅的所有创作中,其杂文引起的争议最大,争论的焦点在于鲁迅杂文是不是文学,症结则在于鲁迅杂文有无审美性,其艺术特征是什么?我们认为,鲁迅杂文是鲁迅思想的自由表达,是鲁迅文体的彻底解放,是鲁迅追求个性自由的选择。     

东亚区域合作模式新选择

在区域合作的国际背景下,东亚贸易、投资、金融等领域的合作探索进程加快。本文对东亚现有的合作特点进行剖析,指出带动东亚区域发展的合作模式以中国—东盟自由贸易区为中心带动力量,其它双边区域合作为外围发展,最终实现东亚整体合作,并从根本上分析了中国—东盟自由贸易区能够担当东亚领头人的作用。