CMM模型和我国软件业生产过程标准化

CMM模型是国际上最流行的一种软件生产过程标准。本文比较了国内外软件业生产过程标准化的现状,分析了阻碍我国软件业开展CMM评估的原因,并在此基础上,提出在我国推行CMM标准亟待解决的几个主要问题。     

面向电子商务的现代物流管理信息系统的开发

结合现代物流技术发展趋势，分析探讨了面向电子商务的现代物流管理信息系统的开发技术路线，关键技术内容，功能体系结构设计及分层逻辑模型设计。     

A modified logit model for time series with an application to the pricing behaviour of manufacturing firms in Australia

The modified logit model (Amemiya and Nold, 1975) is generalised to the case where the error term is autocorrelated. The asymptotic distribution (as n →∞ and T →∞) of a feasible GLS estimator of β is derived. Tests of linear restrictions on β and the significance of ρ are presented. The results of the applied work suggest that the factors which explain the pricing behaviour of manufacturing firms, as reported in the tendency survey conducted by the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry and the Westpac Banking Corporation, include historical inflation rates of up to 7 quarters and capacity utilisation. First version received: March 2001/Final version received: July 2002 RID="*" ID="*"  The first draft of this paper was written while the author was on study leave at the Department of Econometrics, University of Sydney, Australia.     

Evolution of trade patterns in the new EU member states

The paper analyses the evolution of the trade specialization pattern in the new EU member states. Relying on the empirical approach of the Markov transition matrices it analyses both the changes in the external shape of the distribution of comparative advantages and the intra‐distribution dynamics. The new members show a dynamic trade pattern: they gained comparative advantages relatively fast in sectors in which they were lagging behind at the beginning of the transition, notably in some ‘high tech’ products. In addition, many specialization improvements occurred in those items for which world demand expanded at the fastest rate over the nineties.     

广州居民旅游消费倾向的调查研究

作者通过问卷调查来研究广州市常住居民的旅游消费倾向。调查结果显示,自由行将日益成为广州居民主要的旅游消费方式;广州居民的旅游消费主要是经济型消费,注重旅游服务的价值,讲求实惠;而广州旅行社尚需进一步提高旅游服务水平,丰富服务产品结构。     

鲁西北平原农村经济可持续发展模式与对策研究—以东昌府区为例

本文是在系统研究典型区可持续农业和农村经济发展动力,机制的基础上,根据东昌府区主要矛盾,制约因素和发展预期,提出了典型区“农村集镇化＋农业产业化＋农村工业化”的市场化农村经济可持续发展的总体方向,在综合“集约性高效生态农业,三元种植,农业产业化”可持续发展的基础模式的基础上,总结出东昌府区平原区区域专业化发展模式,“蔬菜＋建筑业＋工业”现代城郊型发展模式,“蔬菜产业化＋现代化新村风貌塑造”发展模式和北部旱涝碱薄区”粮菜肥轮作＋大牲畜养殖”等的区域性典型乡镇可持续发展模式,并争所存在的问题,提出了优化农村经济结构;加快农村工业化和产业化步伐;加快农村城镇化建设,优化农村经济空间结构;发展农村科技,提高农民素质,加强人力资本建设的发展对策。     

OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE AND FIRM EXIT ROUTES

ABSTRACT

Our study presents empirical evidence about the role of ownership structure for firm exit probability by explicitly differentiating between distinct exit routes (bankruptcy and forced liquidation, voluntary liquidation, mergers and acquisitions – M&A, and removal from the court register). Based on the population of Slovenian firms in the 2006–2012 period and using multinomial probit, our findings support the predictions of agency theory. Ownership concentration, share of the largest owner, and the difference in shares between two largest owners all decrease the likelihood of exit for all studied exit routes but M&A. The magnitude of their impact is largest for exits, in which owners play a decisive role, i.e. voluntary liquidation and removal. The link between the number of primary owners and exit likelihood is U-shaped with the lowest exit probability for firms with around two owners.     

核心-边缘理论在区域旅游规划中的运用

核心－边缘理论为区域旅游规划提供了建构区域旅游空间结构系统的认知模型。运用这种空间结构模型，在进行旅游资源的区域整合，景区土地利用功能配置与都会城市旅游圈层构造，以及促进区域旅游联动发展方面可取得满意的实践成果，核心与边缘地区应该是一种平等竞争，优势互补，合作互嬴的空间关系，发展核心，带动边缘，是区域旅游发展的重要战略兴措，发展中地区要注意培育旅游核心区，形成旅游创新活动基地，带动边缘区域发展，壮在整个区域的旅游竞争力。     

不确定环境下的企业战略设计模式

本文通过对传统企业战略设计模式的再思考 ,并从企业战略设计的实际情况出发提出 :当企业面对不确定环境时 ,战略思维方式应该从线性向非线性转变 ,从而提高企业战略在不确定环境下的“预见”力和应变能力。本文建立了一个基于战略转换的战略形成、实施同步并行的企业战略设计模式 ,来达到在复杂、不确定的环境中获取持续竞争优势的目的。     

武汉市人口与零售商业网点分布优化配置研究

本文根据湖北和武汉统计年鉴等资料中的人口数据和社会商品零售额数据 ,拟合出反映人口分布和商业网点分布的计量模型。然后根据模型的含义 ,并综合考虑其它影响商业网点配置的因素 ,提出适合武汉市人口分布的商业网点优化配置的合理性建议