Welfare effects of the euro cash changeover

Using merged data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) and the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), this paper applies a parametric difference-in-differences approach to assess the real effects of the introduction of the euro on subjective well-being. A complementary nonparametric approach is also used to analyze the impact of difficulties with the new currency on well-being. The results indicate a loss in well-being associated with the introduction of the new currency, with the predicted probability that a person is contented with his/her household income diminishing by 9.7 percentage points. We calculate a compensating income variation of approximately one-third. That is, an increase in post-government household income of more than 30% is needed to compensate for the clear decline in well-being. The reasons for the negative impact are threefold. First, perceived inflation overestimates the real increase in prices resulting in suboptimal consumption decisions. Second, money illusion causes a false assessment of the budget constraint. Third, individuals have to bear the costs from the conversion and the adjustment to the new currency. Moreover, it is thought that losses are higher for persons who have difficulties with the new currency. However, the impact of difficulties in using and converting the new currency is rather small, and the initial problems were overcome within one year of the introduction of euro cash.     

管理层持股、自由现金流与企业过度投资行为研究

在现代企业制度下,通过管理层持股将股东与管理层之间的堑壕效应转化为利益协同效应,能有效减少管理层的过度投资行为。通过实证研究发现,管理层持股与企业过度投资—自由现金流存在二次曲线关系,过度投资对自由现金流的敏感性与管理层持股呈正U型关系。当管理层持股达到一定比例时,企业过度投资对自由现金流敏感度最低,对企业抑制过度投资的作用最大。     

Are analysts' cash flow forecasts useful?

This study provides evidence that the cost of equity capital decreases with the number of analysts who issue both cash flow and earnings forecasts (cash analysts). The evidence also shows that cash analysts reduce information asymmetry and predict long‐term earnings more accurately than analysts who issue only earnings forecasts. Taken together, these findings suggest that cash analysts provide market participants with high‐quality information and, as a result, firms benefit from cash analyst coverage in the form of a reduced cost of equity capital.     

探析校园贷之现金贷的问题与对策

近年来,校园贷主要类型——现金贷发展迅速,无抵押、放款快、借款方式灵活吸引了众多借贷者,而高额利息和普遍周转续贷(利滚利)的做法让借贷者背负了沉重的债务负担,发生不良贷款后个别平台所采取的非法、暴力催债导致恶性事件屡屡发生。因此,十分有必要对我国校园贷——现金贷存在的风险及问题进行分析,提出对现金贷的管控对策,加强对大学生、年轻人的金融消费教育和普惠金融教育,帮助他们树立正确的消费理念,做好人生的理财规划,规避现金贷风险。     

Comparing Big Givers and Small Givers: Financial Correlates of Corporate Philanthropy

In a departure from the traditional studies of corporate philanthropy that focus on board composition, advertising, and social networks, the authors investigate the financial correlates of corporate philanthropy. The research design controls for firm size and industry while observing firms from a variety of industries. The sample contains matched pairs of generous and less generous corporate givers. The authors find, as hypothesized, a positive relationship between a firm's cash resources available and cash donations, but no significant relationship between corporate philanthropy and firm financial performance, regardless of whether corporate philanthropy is measured as cash payouts or the aggregate contributions that charities actually receive, and regardless of whether financial performance is gauged using accounting measures or market measures. Whereas the link between available resources and corporate philanthropy is well accepted in the literature on corporate social responsibility, it has been rarely tested and never so definitively found as in this research.     

MBO与国有中小企业的产权改革

管理层收购为实现国有中小企业多元化的产权结构提供了一个宽广的思路。但是收购定价以净资产为基准的定价方式有失公允。管理层收购成败的一个关键在于收购公司的定价是否合理,还要考虑企业的未来盈利能力和管理层的人力成本,交叉使用几种收购定价模式,综合确定收购的公允价值。     

现金股利、股权结构和组织特征:一个Logistic分析

本文以763家上海证券交易所A股上市公司2003年的横截面数据为观察值,运用logistic回归分析分别考察了股权结构和组织特征对现金股利发放概率的实证影响。本文发现,股权结构(第一大股东持股、前二大股东持股和前三大股东持股)对现金股利发放概率具有显著的正向影响。公司各项组织特征(成长性机会、每股收益、每股留存盈余、资产规模和财务杠杆)也对现金股利发放概率具有显著的影响。本文的结论支持自由现金流假说。     

浅析现金流量信息与会计收益信息

现金流量信息由于本身的客观性、可靠性,能够弥补传统会计收益评价指标的不足,提供更有价值更为相关的信息,直接反映企业的偿债能力、获利能力、财务弹性,进而判断企业的财务状况,评估企业经营绩效。但现金流量信息并不是万能的,传统的会计收益信息也有其可取之处。在动态中把握现金流量信息与会计收益信息的结合才是企业经营业绩评价指标的正确选择。     

收入分配与地下经济的相关关系分析

随着我国改革开放的深入和力度的加强、收入多元化发展 ,在经济发展的同时 ,我国的收入分配差距逐渐扩大 ;同时 ,由计划经济向市场经济的转轨 ,我国地下经济出现了迅猛的增长势头。运用计量经济学中的Granger因果关系检验对两者进行检验 ,证明了我国地下经济和收入分配是互为因果关系的 ,在对两者相关关系的深入分析中找出既能有效遏制地下经济又能减小收入差距的解决办法是当前的重要任务     

企业现金流量表结构分析浅探

现金流量是企业生存和发展的命脉,现金流量状况直接反映企业这一组织有机体的健康情况,是衡量企业价值的重要指标。现金流量表的结构分析,就是在现金流量有关数据的基础上对不同项目间的比较与分析,旨在明确现金流入、流出的构成及现金余额的形成情况,分析一定时期内影响现金额增减变化的主要因素,为企业管理者抓住现金流量管理重点提供科学依据,从而实现企业现金的最佳配置和使用。