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121.
孔继红 《数量经济技术经济研究》2014,(11):103-117
在短期利率的扩散跳跃模型基础上,进一步考虑了模型扩散项方差自相关性、非对称性以及跳跃项的均值回复性等设定,以捕捉短期利率的均值回复、波动率集聚、非零偏态和超额峰度以及非连续性等特征。利用上海银行同业拆放市场(SHIBOR)日交易利率数据得出以下结论。首先,SHIBOR利率市场存在均值回复效应,由跳跃设定引起的混合正态分布能捕捉利率增量的尖峰特征。其次,利率增量方差遵循显著的非对称自相关过程,且正的冲击会产生更大的波动性,导致有偏分布。最后,跳跃是利率均值回复速率的重要组成部分,也是利率的水平值动态,尤其是波动性动态的重要来源。 相似文献
122.
We study the problem of predicting future k-records based on k-record data for a large class of distributions, which includes several well-known distributions such as: Exponential, Weibull
(one parameter), Pareto, Burr type XII, among others. With both Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches being investigated here,
we pay more attention to Bayesian predictors under balanced type loss functions as introduced by Jafari Jozani et al. (Stat
Probab Lett 76:773–780, 2006a). The results are presented under the balanced versions of some well-known loss functions, namely
squared error loss, Varian’s linear-exponential loss and absolute error loss or L
1 loss functions. Some of the previous results in the literatures such as Ahmadi et al. (Commun Stat Theory Methods 34:795–805,
2005), and Raqab et al. (Statistics 41:105–108, 2007) can be achieved as special cases of our results.
Partial support from Ordered and Spatial Data Center of Excellence of Ferdowsi University of Mashhad is acknowledged by J.
Ahmadi. M. J. Jozani’s research supported partially by a grant of Statistical Research and Training Center. é. Marchand’s
research supported by NSERC of Canada. A. Parsian’s research supported by a grant of the Research Council of the University
of Tehran. 相似文献
123.
我国企业从事跨国经营 ,更重要的是遵循跨国经营的国际规律和惯例 ,在世界市场上按照市场经济的原则 ,取得高于国内市场的利润 ,实现“利润最大化”。因此 ,借鉴西方跨国公司的经营方法 ,实施转移定价策略应是我国跨国企业的现实选择。 相似文献
124.
This paper proposes a new formulation of the maximum diversification indexation strategy based on Rao’s Quadratic Entropy. It clarifies the investment problem underlying this diversification strategy, identifies the source of its out-of-sample performance, and suggests new dimensions along which this performance can be improved. We show that these potential improvements are quantitatively important and are robust to portfolio turnover, portfolio risk, estimation window, and covariance matrix estimation. 相似文献
125.
We present an approach for modelling dependencies in exponential Lévy market models with arbitrary margins originated from time changed Brownian motions. Using weak subordination of Buchmann et al. [Bernoulli, 2017], we face a new layer of dependencies, superior to traditional approaches based on pathwise subordination, since weakly subordinated processes are not required to have independent components considering multivariate stochastic time changes. We apply a subordinator being able to incorporate any joint or idiosyncratic information arrivals. We emphasize multivariate variance gamma and normal inverse Gaussian processes and state explicit formulae for the Lévy characteristics. Using maximum likelihood, we estimate multivariate variance gamma models on various market data and show that these models are highly preferable to traditional approaches. Consistent values of basket-options under given marginal pricing models are achieved using the Esscher transform, generating a non-flat implied correlation surface. 相似文献
126.
《现代咨询方法与实务》关于利用差额内部收益率法选择互斥型投资方案的编撰存在失当之处 ,差额现金流量内部收益率法与NPV法是一致的 ,且选择的终极准则是NPV最大化 ,故应用简便科学的NPV法 ,而无须使用复杂且可能无解的差额现金流量内部收益率法。 相似文献
127.
The potential duration of benefits is generally viewed as an important determinant of unemployment duration. This paper evaluates a unique policy change that prolonged entitlement to regular unemployment benefits from 30 weeks to a maximum of 209 weeks for elderly individuals in certain regions of Austria. In the evaluation, we explicitly account for the fact that the program was an endogenous policy response to deteriorating labor market conditions for older workers in certain regions and sectors. The main results are: (i) REBP reduced the transition rate to jobs by 17%; (ii) accounting for endogenous policy adoption is important and quantitatively significant. 相似文献
128.
Jangho Yang 《Journal of economic surveys》2018,32(3):940-960
Economics has seen a recent rise in interest in information theory as an alternative framework to the conventional notion of equilibrium as a fixed state, such as Walrasian market‐clearing general equilibrium. The information theoretic approach is predicated on the notion of statistical equilibrium (SE) that takes a distribution over all possible states as an equilibrium, and therefore predicts the endogenous fluctuations of the system along with its central tendency simultaneously. For this reason, SE approaches can explain the observed data without relying on arbitrary assumptions about random noise and provide useful insights for many interesting economic problems that conventional methods have not been able to satisfactorily deal with. In this paper, we review the key elements of information theory focusing on the notions and applications of entropy and SE in economics, particularly paying attention to how entropy concepts open up a new frontline of economic research. 相似文献
129.
In this work we propose a technique of estimating the location parameter μ and scale parameter σ of log-gamma distribution
by U-statistics constructed by taking best linear functions of order statistics as kernels. The efficiency comparison of the proposed
estimators with respect to maximum likelihood estimators is also made. 相似文献
130.
The maximum daily return over the previous month (MAX) of Bali et al. (2011) is a strong and significant predictor of future stock returns in non-U.S. equity markets. Once it is controlled for MAX in the cross-section of average returns, the puzzling negative idiosyncratic volatility-return relation disappears. Consistent with the assumption that MAX is the true effect, for which idiosyncratic volatility is just a proxy, we find that MAX can be traced back to firm fundamentals in the manner of idiosyncratic volatility. The negative MAX-return relation is stronger among firms with high cash flow volatility and weaker among firms with high profitability. 相似文献