新经济、后发优势与东亚可持续发展

虽然同属于“东亚模式”,但日本和台湾在信息化赶超过程中却形成了显著不同的模式,并导致了二者在新经济条件下经济赶超的失败和成功对比;以日本和“四小龙”为借鉴,东亚发展中国家在新经济条件下,只有充分利用跨越式发展的机遇,才能成功实现经济赶超;为了实现东亚经济整体的可持续发展目标,必须重塑“东亚模式”。     

日本经验与东亚发展型国家

日本经济模式的显著特点就是政府主导,东亚其他国家和地区的发展模式又与日本发展模式极为相似,这就是通常所说的东亚"发展型国家"。那么,日本政府导向型经济的具体特征是什么?对其他东亚国家和地区有什么影响?发展型国家与比较优势是怎样结合的?日本主导的东亚经济格局正在发生那些变化?本文力图回答这些问题。     

Nile perch and the hungry of Lake Victoria: Gender,status and food in an East African fishery

Lake Victoria supports Africa’s largest inland fishery, and its most valuable product is the Nile perch, much of which is exported. This has given rise to arguments claiming a direct linear relationship between perch exports and disturbingly high rates of malnutrition along the lake’s shores. In this paper, we argue that this argument is seriously flawed for it is unable to explain how it is that the income from the Nile perch fishery fails to translate into a well-fed riparian population. We draw on field work carried out in 2001 that (a) set out to establish exactly how much malnutrition there was on the lake’s shores; and (b) sought to identify what happened to the income the fishery generates. We argue that because men control much of the fishery, and women are held responsible for the upkeep of their families, little of this income makes its way back into the households of the region, giving rise to the levels of malnutrition we observed.     

高油价对亚洲经济和石油安全机制的影响

2007年以来,国际市场石油价格持续攀升,一年多的时间里涨幅超过了50%。在目前中东局势持续恶化的影响下,国际石油价格将在很长一段时期内维持在较高的价位。当前国际石油市场油价的坚挺,不仅对全球经济的影响进一步增大,而且对国际石油安全机制的影响也进一步突出,尤其是对亚洲地区的影响更为明显。     

中国对东亚经济合作的影响——基于中国地区能力结构差异以及与东亚其他国家的匹配性

基于贸易引力模型、相互依赖理论以及“支配-依附”理论，研究能力结构对区域经济合作的影响，通过对中国地区能力结构的差异分析和东亚其他国家能力结构的评价，说明中国能与东亚不同能力结构的国家开展持续稳定的经济合作，并通过实证予以证实。中国能够对东亚区域经济合作的持续性和稳定性发挥重要作用，中国的参与是东亚经济合作的“稳定器”。     

东亚外商直接投资、技术进步与经济均衡增长

本文利用结构关联方法,实证分析1985~2004年东亚吸引外资是否会带来技术进步,并以此推动经济均衡增长。东亚经济均衡增长经历了三次路径转移,技术进步决定经济均衡增长路径的动态调整,但技术进步的作用具有时滞性。东亚需要增强吸收和转换技术的能力。     

中部地区区域旅游合作战略研究

本文从介绍区域旅游合作的理论依据出发，探讨了中部地区区域旅游合作的现实基础，提出了中部地区区域旅游合作的战略对策。     

Tracing Trade Interdependence between EU and East Asia

Abstract

There have been two related trends shaping global trade during the past couple of decades: the increasing role of international supply chains and the rise of China. Increased complexity in global trade has generated a need to construct more processed trade data — trade in value added — in order to deepen our understanding of trade relations between countries. In this article, we present a broad picture of trade in value added between the EU28 and East Asian countries. We find that East Asia is important as a final demand and supply chain export destination, especially for Northern European countries, while for CEE countries it is more important as an import source for both final demand and supply chain trade. Trade with East Asia is least important for Southern European countries. The production structure of an EU country seems to be one of the main factors explaining the importance of supply chain trade with East Asian countries. The data also suggest that supply chain trade could support the growth of domestic value-added exports to the supply chain trade partner country as well as to other countries.     

建立东亚自由贸易区的中国经济效应研究——基于GTAP模型的实证分析

区域经济一体化在经济全球化的大背景下加速发展,东亚地区为世界上最活跃的经济区域之一。论文应用全球贸易分析(GTAP)模型实证模拟东亚地区建立自由贸易区(FTA)后的经济变化,研究建立东亚自由贸易区后对中国及世界经济的影响。研究结果表明:(1)东亚各成员国之间具有经济互补性,合作前景广阔,建立自由贸易区将有力地改善东亚地区的社会福利,同时区域成员之间也具有贸易创造效应。(2)中国各个产业均会受到不同程度的冲击,中国应重点关注在矿产及资源类、纺织品、电子类及制造业等领域所带来的负面效应。     

成都新繁东湖旅游开发研究

当今世界,全球经济一体化势不可挡,旅游业发展如火如荼。随着我国加入世界贸易组织以来,旅游业日显重要并不可替代。在中国,特别是西部大开发步伐的加剧,旅游业的发展将有一个大跃进,旅游业的发展潜力巨大,扩展空间广阔。而旅游开发是一项综合性的社会和技术经济活动。近年来,随着旅游业的迅猛发展,各地兴起了旅游开发的热潮。