ICT Statistics at the New Millennium—Developing Official Statistics—Measuring the Diffusion of ICT and its Impact

The paper gives a short and very rough overview of the ongoing work in the field of statistics relating to the development of information and communication technology (ICT) and its impacts on the economies and on the society as a whole. It introduces three slightly different approaches with different emphasis on describing the emergence and diffusion of ICT and the respective economic and social change. These are termed the indicators approach, the new economy approach and the intellectual capital approach. The paper also discusses the basic requirements for the establishment of a new statistical system, as well as the present obstacles and problems of this work. Finally, some remarks are presented regarding further statistical co-operation in this field.     

Economics and underdetermination: a case study of urban land and housing economics

Underdetermination, associated with the Duhem–Quine thesis,is a familiar if under-researched theme in economics. In thelight of this, we examine the development of urban land andhousing economics. Through its Cartesian dualistic delineationof theory and data, the contemporary mainstream approach appearsunable to circumvent the problem of underdetermination. In effect,it employs the strong version of Duhem–Quine in its retentionof the assumption of a single, unitary competitive market (andassociated access–space trade-off). Conversely, we highlightthe affinity of Ely's (and the later Columbia School's) approachto pragmatists Dewey and Peirce, which provides a more fruitfulbasis for explanation.     

Dividend Imputation and Shareholder Wealth: The Case of New Zealand

On April 1, 1988, New Zealand stopped the double taxation of dividends by implementing a full dividend imputation program. Because many believed that the tax advantage of debt had led to more highly leveraged firms subject to greater financial risk than was socially optimal, it was hoped the removal of incentives to finance with debt would result in a more efficient allocation of capital. The empirical results suggest that the shareholder wealth gain from dividend imputation was more than offset in firms with large debt levels. Moreover, an examination of debt ratios indicates debt levels declined in the post–imputation period.     

试论新时期高等学校财务管理改革与机制转换

随着高等教育事业的改革与发展,高校理财的宏观环境发生了较大变化。本文阐述了在经济转型、制度变迁的新时期,高校财务管理如何顺应改革的要求,转换机制不断创新,使高校资源在市场规律调节下得到充分有效的整合,发挥出更大的效益,为高校的科学发展创造良好条件。     

试析新闻发言人制度在中国升温原因及实践的基本准则

新闻发言人制度有其历史溯源与理论渊源,它在信息传播过程中在一定程度上具有对信息筛选、过滤的“守门人”品质。该制度在中国大陆重新升温主要因为：一、满足公众知情权的需要;二、应对海量信息、匡正视听的需要;三、SARS等突发事件的催化。客观真实、迅速及时、切中热点是新闻发言人制度在实践中必须遵循的基本准则。     

金融投资理论：一种基于动物精神和宏观对冲的框架

2008年全球金融危机后,金融投资理论在重新理解和抽象真实世界的基础上,对主流估值模型、投资者行为和全球宏观对冲等几个重要方面进行了深刻反思。总的来看,微观层面的进展,一是进一步认识到把投资者情绪引入传统基本面估值模型中的意义;二是利用动物精神理论发展了对投资者认知规律、决策过程和群体行为的研究。宏观层面的进展表现为提出了储蓄者和非储蓄者模型以及＂新常态＂和国际货币新体系的观念。

Abstract：

After global financial crisis in 2008,on the basis of reunderstanding the real world and putting it in abstract terms,financial investment theory has thoroughly rethought its keyaspects including mainstream valuation models,investor behavior and global macro hedging,etc. In summary,one of the developments in the micro perspective is the further realization ofthe significance of integrating investor sentiment into traditional fundamental valuation models,and another development lies in the research on investor perception,decision process and herd behavior based on the theory of animal spirits. Development in the macro perspective resides in the introduction of the model of saves and dissavers,as well as the ideas of new normal and new international monetary system.     

新兴产业的竞争战略

新兴产业是指正处于产业生命周期中成长期阶段的产业。现代科学技术的发展使新兴产业不断出现,发展新兴产业对于我国赶超发达国家有着重要意义。本文介绍了新兴产业的结构特征,并对限制新兴产业发展的问题进行了分析,提出了使新兴产业获得竞争优势的相关战略选择的建议。     

The Lack of International Consumption Risk Sharing: Can Inflation Differentials and Trading Costs Help Explain the Puzzle?

The bulk of evidence on the lack of international risk sharing is based on regressions of idiosyncratic consumption growth on idiosyncratic output growth. This paper argues that the results from such regressions obtained from international data are, however, not directly comparable to those based on regional data: the standard practice of running such regressions on international data fails to account for persistent international differentials in consumer prices, whereas—implicitly—most of the literature based on regional data has accounted for these differences. When risk sharing regressions are set up in conceptually the same way in international and regional data sets, the estimated coefficients are also very similar. To explore this result further, we adapt the variance decomposition of Asdrubali et al. (Q J Econ 111:1081–1110, 1996) to allow for deviations from purchasing power parity across countries. While quantity (income and credit) flows are the dominant channel of risk sharing among regions, relative consumption and output price (internal terms of trade) fluctuations account for the bulk of the deviation from the complete markets outcome in international data. To the extent that persistent differences in consumer prices are an indication of goods market segmentation, our findings provide empirical evidence for the proposition by Obstfeld and Rogoff (NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, 2000) that segmented international goods markets rather than asset market incompleteness may account for the (apparent) lack of risk sharing between countries.

滨海新区商业银行综合经营模式与纯粹型金融控股公司的构建

本文探讨了滨海新区金融综合经营模式,并提出了该模式的选择实施路径及其法制建设的思路。     

外部环境、资源拼凑与“军技民用”新产品开发关系研究

基于资源拼凑理论视角,运用扎根理论对传统军工企业“军技民用”新产品开发过程进行探究,并探索外部环境、资源拼凑对“军技民用”新产品开发的作用机理。结果发现：“军技民用”新产品开发包括信息获取、技术选择、技术再造3个过程;资源拼凑是“军技民用”新产品开发的有效措施;外部环境对资源拼凑开发“军技民用”新产品过程具有调节作用。