基于链式中介效应的真实型领导对员工创新行为影响研究

基于社会认知理论和价值观理论,考察了真实型领导对员工创新行为的复杂影响机制。以374份企业员工数据为样本,通过层级回归分析和Bootstrap方法进行假设检验,研究结果表明：真实型领导对员工创新行为具有显著正向影响;不确定性规避和创新自我效能感在真实型领导与员工创新行为之间分别发挥部分中介作用,而且发挥了链式中介作用,即真实型领导通过降低不确定性规避程度影响员工的创新自我效能感,进而鼓励了员工的创新。     

On forecasting cointegrated seasonal time series

We analyze periodic and seasonal cointegration models for bivariate quarterly observed time series in an empirical forecasting study. We include both single equation and multiple equation methods for those two classes of models. A VAR model in first differences, with and without cointegration restrictions, and a VAR model in annual differences are also included in the analysis, where they serve as benchmark models. Our empirical results indicate that the VAR model in first differences without cointegration is best if one-step ahead forecasts are considered. For longer forecast horizons however, the VAR model in annual differences is better. When comparing periodic versus seasonal cointegration models, we find that the seasonal cointegration models tend to yield better forecasts. Finally, there is no clear indication that multiple equations methods improve on single equation methods.     

Employee stock ownership and financial performance in European countries: The moderating effects of uncertainty avoidance and social trust

This study investigates how the effect of employee stock ownership on financial performance may hinge on the diverse cultural and societal contexts of European countries. Based on agency and national culture theories, we hypothesize that the positive relationship between employee stock ownership and return on assets (ROA) is stronger in those nations with lower uncertainty avoidance and higher social trust. Using a multisource, time‐lagged, large‐scale dataset of 1,741 firms from 21 countries in Europe, our multilevel, random coefficient modeling analysis found evidence for these hypotheses, suggesting that uncertainty avoidance and social trust serve as important contextual cues in predicting the linkage between employee stock ownership and financial performance. Our supplemental analysis with distinction between the managerial and nonmanagerial employee stock ownership further indicates managerial employee stock ownership has a direct positive effect on ROA. Although nonmanagerial employee stock ownership had a nonsignificant association with ROA, the relationship was positive and significant when uncertainty avoidance was low and social trust was high. This research contributes to the existing literature by illuminating some of the contextual influences altering the effectiveness of employee stock ownership. Our findings also offer practical suggestions for effectively using employee stock ownership.     

Can employee ownership and human resource management policies clash in worker cooperatives? Lessons from a defunct cooperative

The article analyzes the interaction between employee ownership, HRM policies and practices, and HRM outcomes in what was the world's biggest industrial worker cooperative for decades, and now defunct, Fagor Electrodomésticos. Using longitudinal internal data and detailed interviews with key stakeholders, this paper sheds light on how employee ownership conditioned HRM policies. HRM outcomes—such as job satisfaction and absenteeism—are also analyzed over a long period of time. Chronic nepotism when recruiting new members, failures in the training policy, impoverished and Taylorist working systems, and reverse dominance hierarchies are analyzed as factors that increased free riding and caused low satisfaction and the disengagement of working members. This case study contributes to the literature on HRM and worker cooperatives as it provides some insights that are rarely found in that literature. It also provides guidance to worker cooperatives about increasing the fit between employee ownership and HRM policies and outcomes.     

Quantile regression for the qualifying match of GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting

We present a simple quantile regression-based forecasting method that was applied in the probabilistic load forecasting framework of the Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2017 (GEFCom2017). The hourly load data are log transformed and split into a long-term trend component and a remainder term. The key forecasting element is the quantile regression approach for the remainder term, which takes into account both weekly and annual seasonalities, such as their interactions. Temperature information is used only for stabilizing the forecast of the long-term trend component. Information on public holidays is ignored. However, the forecasting method still placed second in the open data track and fourth in the definite data track, which is remarkable given the simplicity of the model. The method also outperforms the Vanilla benchmark consistently.     

组织变革认知、转业辅导、生涯发展与人力运用关系之研究——以台糖公司为例

为适应多元环境的变化,公营事业转民营已成为一种市场趋势,而变革亦成为公营企业面对民营化情势的一种手段。当组织进行变革时,除应顾及组织业务发展外,亦应提供转业辅导,协助员工重新规划生涯发展方向,以期能有效运用或开发现有人力素质。本研究以台糖公司参加第二专长转业进修班的员工为研究对象,探讨组织变革认知、转业辅导、员工生涯发展与人力运用之间的关系。共回收有效问卷93份,研究结果发现：1．组织变革认知之“改隶成效”对转业辅导之“新知能学习”有显著影响;组织变革认知之“裁撤标准建立”对转业辅导之“训练课程设计”有显著影响。2．转业辅导之“新知能学习”对员工生涯发展之“生涯路径规划”和“生涯信息提供”有显著影响。3．转业辅导之“新知能学习”对人力运用之“人力重置与报偿”有显著影响;转业辅导之“参训动机”对人力运用之“修正绩效评估方案”有显著影响。4．组织变革认知之“裁撤标准建立”对员工生涯发展之“生涯路径规划”与“生涯信息提供”有显著影响。5．组织变革认知之“改隶成效”对人力运用之“人力重置与报偿”有显著影响;组织变革认知之“裁撤标准建立”对人力运用之“修正绩效评估方案”有显著影响。     

浅谈加强职工档案管理对促进公司发展的意义

一个公司的职工档案管理是客观全面地考察职工成长路径、工作履历、态度个性等方面的重要依据,也是每个公司基础管理工作中的重要组成部分。     

浅析人力资源管理理论研究新进展与成果运用

随着人类社会过渡到以知识为基础的知识经济时代,人力资源的重要性已超过自然资源和资本成为第一战略资源。如何有效地构建现代人力资源管理体系,并发挥人力资源的优势,就显得尤为重要。     

北京市部分企业年金激励效用研究

在社会保障制度的多项改革中,企业年金(补充养老保险金)制度与人力资源管理密切相关,也是政府引导企业自愿决定进行的职工保障活动。本研究从研究激励理论和年金理论入手,根据激励在管理实践中的作用提出了企业年金对员工忠诚度有一定影响;对员工流动性有一定影响;年金比例不同对激励效用有明显影响的理论观点。实证调查显示,规范性操作的企业年金激励效用非常显著。     

Understanding employee preferences for investing in employer stock: evidence from France

In this article, we broaden the focus of existing research on employee stock purchase plans by analysing employee preferences for investing in employer stock as a construct distinct from actual investment behaviour. In our analysis of original survey data in a sample of 900 employees in four French companies, we find that employee preferences are influenced by two common cognitive heuristics (representativeness and familiarity), organisational commitment, the perceived quality of corporate communications about these plans and perceived managerial commitment to employee ownership. We did not find, however, that risk aversion, turnover intentions or perceived employee involvement in decision making influenced preferences for investing in employer stock. Our findings have both theoretical and practical implications for understanding and operating these types of employee benefit plans, which are becoming more common across the globe.