Moral hazard and adverse selection in the originate-to-distribute model of bank credit

Bank credit has evolved from the traditional relationship banking model to an originate-to-distribute model. We show that the borrowers whose loans are sold in the secondary market underperform their peers by about 9% per year (risk-adjusted) over the three-year period following the initial sale of their loans. Therefore, either banks are originating and selling loans of lower quality borrowers based on unobservable private information (adverse selection), and/or loan sales lead to diminished bank monitoring that affects borrowers negatively (moral hazard). We propose regulatory restrictions on loan sales, increased disclosure, and a loan trading exchange/clearinghouse as mechanisms to alleviate these problems.     

机构投资者持股对股价的差异性影响研究

文章选取2013年末上海证券交易所A股作为研究样本,运用Stata12、 Excel软件,通过统计描述分析、分类回归、截面多元回归等分析了不同机构投资者对股价的差异性影响。实证研究表明,机构总体、基金、其他机构、券商和社保对股价的影响有较高的显著性;基金、券商、保险持股越高越有利于降低价格冲击指数,缩小有效价差,但降低了市场深度,社保和信托作用则正好相反;基金、社保和QFII持股增加使股价波动率增加,不稳定性增加,其他机构、券商、保险与信托则作用相反。国家监管机构须引导和鼓励机构投资者理性投资、业务创新和开展高端竞争并走差异化发展之路。     

"三二分段"中高职衔接招生考试制度探讨与研究

"三二分段"中高职衔接招生考试制度已成为高职院校主要的招生考试制度之一,该考试制度可以协调中职与高职教育的发展,是构建现代职业教育体系的重要途径. 但是,在其实践的过程中仍然存在考试制度趋同于普通高考等较多的问题. 研究以天津市为例,就这些问题进行了深入的探讨和分析,提出了一些具有可行性的建议.     

经营者持股效应的理论分析

现代企业制度产生“两权分离”,形成委托——代理关系,产生代理问题,而经营者持股是解决代理问题的一种激励方案。本文认为,经营者持股可以满足代理人的多种需要,从而激励代理人产生有利于实现企业目标的行为;经营者持股是代理人参与企业剩余分配的有效方式,是建立激励契约的必然选择。     

Market shares analysis: The Case of French Tourism Demand

This paper examines the magnitudes and determinants of changes in destinations’ shares of a major tourist origin market. The Almost Ideal Demand System model is used to quantify the responsiveness of French tourism demand in Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom to changes in relative prices, exchange rates, tourists’ expenditure budget, and external events. The results indicate that effective price competitiveness is a key variable driving changes in market shares. Policymakers who wish to maintain their shares of the French market should pay particular attention to tourism pricing policies, as well as to improving the tourism offer.     

解决股权分置的思路:市场化全额减持流通方案

本文认为,股权分置是我国股票市场一个重大的制度性缺陷,也是阻碍市场发展与成熟的桎梏,解决股权分置问题,实现国有股权的全流通,是推进国有经济战略性重组的重要战略步骤;在我国社会主义市场化进程中,解决股权分置问题是一个系统工程,应尽可能采用市场化手段,并尽可能保证国有股流通与减持的同步实施。文章提出了市场化全额减持流通方案,充分考虑了流通股东的利益,并按照市场化竞价发售方式将上市公司国有股转移到社会公众投资者手中。该方案能够促进国有股全流通的顺利实现,解决股市顽疾,有助于推进中国国有经济的民营化,实现对国有经济的战略性重组。     

国有股的定位及在证券市场流通的必然性

国有股问题已严重制约中国证券市场的发展 ,国务院停止国有股在证券市场减持流通的决定无法解决国有股根本问题 ,反而延缓了国有股问题的最终解决。国有股要么退出股份 ,要么在证券市场彻底流通 ,恢复其本来面目。这里就此问题进行讨论并提出解决国有股流通的一些措施和建议。     

A股市场新股的因素定价模型实证研究

现代股权定价理论对A股初始定价时存在缺陷,采用主成份回归法,确定影响A股初始定价的主因子,在此基础上建立初始定价模型。根据模型,影响A股初始定价的因素从高到低分别为:成本因子、投资偏好因子、市况因子、业绩成长性因子,实证结果与传统股票定价理论并不吻合。     

二次能源利用项目投资决策的影响因素分析

基于我国二次能源再利用在财政、征地、税收及信贷等方面的政策约束,以华菱湘钢高炉煤气发电项目为例,研究了二次能源利用项目投资决策的影响因素。根据华菱湘钢高炉煤气发电项目的可研报告,综合分析了企业生产、成本及价格等因素对华菱湘钢高炉煤气发电项目的影响,并将所得税优惠等优惠政策纳入投资决策,具体探讨了政策优惠对项目决策的重大影响。我们认为,国家在具体落实当前的政策的同时,应进一步提供力度更大的政策支持。     

“I will never go to Hong Kong again!” How the secondary crisis communication of “Occupy Central” on Weibo shifted to a tourism boycott

Social media, an open space for the public's opinion and expression, has become an increasingly essential issue in crisis events, leading to secondary crisis communication. Realizing the potential risk of that, this study took the “Occupy Central” spreading on Weibo as a case, and applied topic clustering and sentiment analysis to examine the sequential characteristics of secondary crisis communication on social media in topics and emotions. Results show that the topics Weibo users discussed shifted from a political event to tourism boycott, with emotions turning increasingly negative. The turning point of such a transfer was aroused group conflicts and negative emotions elicited between people from mainland China and Hong Kong. The results indicate the necessity of emphasizing secondary crisis communication during a crisis due to the dynamic and sequential change of topics and public's emotions, which may result in new crises impacting the tourism destination where the initial crisis occurs.