房地产估价的实物期权方法研究

目前我国房地产估价理论与方法仍处在探索阶段,房地产估价需要多元化拓展。该文通过理论研究和实例分析,研究了基于实物期权的房地产估价方法,它比现行的房地产投估价更加科学有效,并具有较强的可操作性。     

从企业境外套期保值的交易方式分析国储期铜巨亏事件

通过国储期铜巨亏事件始末,指出企业进行套期保值是非常必要而且是十分有利的,但有些企业非但没有严格遵守境外套期保值的交易规则,更是违背交易方式,由境外套期保值演变为境外过度投机,针对交易过程中出现的问题提出企业进行境外卖出套期保值时,在传统的期货套保方式中引入期货期权方式进行境外套保,从而避免民族资本遭受损失。     

关于实现内外贸一体化的障碍和对策思考

在中国流通领域,内外贸一体化改革在体制上、机制上、政策法规上、观念上、管理上等存在着诸多障碍。要加快内外贸一体化进程,必须深化流通体制的改革,促进内外贸市场的互补,加快流通业的法制建设,培育跨国公司,加强中介组织的建设,建成统一的内外市场,以提高中国经济的整体实力。     

Problem-focused or Emotion-focused: Which Coping Strategy has a Better Effect on Perceived Career Barriers and Choice Goals?

According to social cognitive career theory, barriers have an impact on an individual's career progress. Therefore, this study aims to explore the relationships between perceived career barriers (internal barriers, external barriers) and choice goals, and the moderating effect of coping strategies on the relationships. Data were collected from 309 tourism and hospitality college students in Taiwan. A structural equation modeling analysis showed that both internal and external barriers had direct negative effects on choice goals. However, internal and external barriers had a direct positive effect on coping strategies, and indirectly, through the coping strategies, had a positive effect on choice goals. Furthermore, problem-focused coping strategies could moderate the relationship between internal/external barriers and choice goals. The implications of these findings are discussed and suggestions are provided.     

无居民海岛实物期权估价模式研究

我国无居民海岛的市场进程刚刚起步,海岛价值评估方法没有统一、规范的制度或标准性规定。本文根据无居民海岛使用权价值的期权特征,应用实物期权理论,估算海岛的期权价值,以突破原有传统估价方法在海岛市场化交易初期阶段无法适用的瓶颈。研究结果显示,分别运用布莱克—舒尔斯模型和二项树模型估算的海岛价值基本一致,相比而言,二项树模型能够反映各个时间节点的参数变化,更加直观和灵活。研究结论说明实物期权估价方法适用于无居民海岛使用权估价,估价结果能够全面反映现金流时间价值、未来不确定性以及柔性决策权共同创造的海岛整体价值,为无居民海岛价值评估提供了新思路。     

如何看待中韩贸易中韩国顺差现象

上世纪90年代中国经济的高速增长和中韩建交为双边贸易提供了新的增长契机。中国加入世贸组织后,双边贸易规模进一步加大。由于韩国对中国的货物贸易顺差呈逐年扩大之势,两国闻的贸易摩擦不断升级。为此,我国应改善产业结构,促进资本和技术密集型产业发展;打造我国品牌经济;成立中韩经济合作委员会。     

The assignment of call option rights between partners in international joint ventures

We examine call option rights as a contractual clause in international joint ventures (IJVs) and propose that the assignment of the call option right in an IJV is determined by certain ex ante asymmetries between the partners. Results show that between the two partners in an IJV, the firm with greater complementarity with the venture and greater prior IJV experience is more likely to hold the call option right; in addition, the firm's contractual choice on the call option right and its ownership choice on a greater initial equity stake are substitutive. Our focus on explicit call options advances the real options theory of collaborative agreements, and our results also highlight that option rights be considered an important part of alliance design. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The performance of insolvency prediction and credit risk models in the UK: A comparative study

Theoretically-driven, market-based contingent claims models have recently been applied to the field of corporate insolvency prediction in an attempt to provide the art with a theoretical methodology that has been lacking in the past. Limited studies have been carried out in order directly to compare the performance of these models with that of their accounting number-based counterparts. We use receiver operating characteristic curves to assess the efficacy of thirteen selected models using, for the first time, post-IFRS UK data; and investigate the distributional properties of model efficacy. We find that the efficacy of the models is generally less than that reported in the prior literature; but that the contingent claims models outperform models which use accounting numbers. We also obtain the counter-intuitive finding that predictions based on a single variable can be as efficient as those which are based on models which are far more complicated – in terms of variable variety and mathematical construction. Finally, we develop and test a naïve version of the down-and-out-call barrier option model for insolvency prediction and find that, despite its simple formulation, it performs favourably compared alongside other contingent claims models.     

Hedge fund seeding via fees-for-seed swaps under idiosyncratic risk

We develop a dynamic valuation model of the hedge fund seeding business by solving the consumption and portfolio-choice problem for a risk-averse manager who launches a hedge fund through a seeding vehicle. This vehicle, i.e. fees-for-seed swap, specifies that a strategic partner (seeder) provides a critical amount of capital in exchange for participation in the funds revenue. Our results indicate that the new swap not only solves the serious problem of widespread financing constraints for new and early-stage funds (ESFs) managers, but can be highly beneficial to both the manager and the seeder if structured properly.