战略共识维度的因子分析

文章在文献回顾的基础上,从理论上假设可将战略共识划分为战略认知、战略认同和战略承诺三个维度,并利用因子分析法验证了这种维度划分的有效性。文章指出,对于企业而言,要提高战略共识及战略执行力水平,可以从战略认知、战略认同和战略承诺三方面入手。     

The Effect of Regulation Fair Disclosure on the Relevance of Conference Calls to Financial Analysts

This study examines the effect of Regulation Fair Disclosure (FD) on the relevance of company-sponsored conference calls. Measuring relevance by a conference call's ability to improve analyst forecast accuracy and consensus, I find larger improvements in both variables during the period surrounding conference calls in the post-FD era versus the pre-FD era. These findings imply that in the post-FD era relatively more about a firm's upcoming earnings becomes known during conference calls, consistent with FD's success in eliminating selective disclosure.     

土地增值收益分配公平群体共识及其增进路径

研究目的:构建一种调查分析失地农民、政府官员、在耕农民、城市居民、高校学者等相关群体关于土地增值收益分配公平共识状况的方法,为征地问题研究和制度改革提供参考。研究方法:问卷调查、指数分析、比较分析。研究结果:(1)关于土地增值收益分配公平的群体共识与分歧并存,被调查对象总体上处于弱共识水平;(2)关于土地增值收益权利公平、机会公平的群体间共识度高于规则公平、结果公平;(3)失地农民、在耕农民、城市居民、专家学者、行政官员的群体内共识度依次递减,分别为0.66、0.63、0.59、0.57、0.50;(4)对于是否按照农民意愿进行补偿、是否允许在耕农民分享收益、开发区用地是否属于公共利益等,存在严重的社会分歧。研究结论:应通过社会价值观念引领,制度环境改革完善和建立利益协调沟通机制等增进土地增值收益分配公平群体共识,为改革提供有利的社会基础。     

Conformity or divergence in describing the business concept and profitability

The relationship between conformity or divergence in the way CEOs and chief financial officers describe the business concept, and profitability, was studied in 20 firms in one industry. Measures were obtained for firm size, profitability, degree of conformity, organizational stability, product development and the CEO's influence on strategic decisions. Controlling for the effect of size, the relationship was analysed in stepwise multiple regression analyses. Conformity was positively correlated to profitability in stable organizations, and (weakly) to divergence in unstable ones. These findings are consistent with those reported in studies of top management team consensus and performance, which suggest that environmental turbulence has a moderating effect on the relationship. It is concluded that environmental contingency factors affect the conformity-profitability relationship by way of organizational processes. Consequently, differences in organizational stability should be taken into account in studying the impact of environmental conditions on this relationship.     

Are Professional Macroeconomic Forecasters Able To Do Better Than Forecasting Trends?

This paper investigates whether survey forecasters are able to make more accurate forecasts than simply supposing that the future values of the variable will move monotonically to the long‐run expectation. We consider the forecasts individually, and the consensus forecasts. Consensus survey forecasts are able to do so to varying degrees depending on the variable, but this ability is largely limited to forecasts of the current quarter.     

How to identify leadership potential: Development and testing of a consensus model

Building on two studies, the current article responds to urgent calls in the literature for more empirical research on how to identify leadership potential. Based on an extensive review of the 1986–2010 literature, and applying a combination of qualitative and quantitative techniques, we developed a model of leadership potential consisting of four quadrants: Analytical skills (containing the factors Intellectual curiosity, Strategic insight, Decision making, and Problem solving); Learning agility (containing the factors Willingness to learn, Emotional intelligence, and Adaptability); Drive (containing the factors Results orientation, Perseverance, and Dedication); and Emergent leadership (containing the factors Motivation to lead, Self‐promotion, and Stakeholder sensitivity). Notably, the developed model steers clear from some of the typical issues that tend to hinder valid assessments of leadership potential (i.e., the confound between performance and potential, as well as that between leadership potential and successful, mature leadership). Furthermore, high consensus was found between top managers, line managers, and HR managers about the practical relevance of the proposed model. The article concludes with some specific future avenues for research and practice. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

Risk communication and citizen engagement: what to expect from dialogue

Despite the last few decades’ devotion to deliberative methods in risk communication, many studies point to how important challenges arise when citizens are engaged in public dialogue. Since the era of enlightenment public dialogue has occupied a position as a normative ideal for political governance. But ideals are social constructions that have a tendency to direct attention away from underlying conflicts. The concept of dialogue is no exception, and exemplified by the Danish solution to dealing with public scepticism in relation to technological controversies, the internationally acclaimed ‘consensus conference’, the paper seeks to offer a better understanding of the contemporary use of the concept of dialogue as well as its ancient roots. The paper argues that behind the aspirations for deliberation lie two opposing models of dialogue. When these two models encounter in deliberative processes, their different presumptions about the role of communication symmetry are likely to appear. This points to how the models hold very different expectations as to the dialogical outcome, thus imposing some fundamental conflicts regarding the political efficacy of citizen engagement as a strategy for bridging the gap between expert and lay attitudes to societal risks.     

Strategic consensus and performance: the role of strategy type and market‐related dynamism

This paper examines the link between consensus among senior managers and performance at the SBU level and considers factors which may moderate the strength of this relationship. Using data from a cross‐national study in three industry sectors, the authors find that consensus increases the performance of the SBU in the case of a differentiation strategy but not in the case of a low‐cost strategy. Additionally, the relationship between consensus on a differentiation strategy and performance is negatively influenced by dynamism of the market. This research thus clarifies and extends prior consensus research by indicating the conditions under which consensus positively affects performance. For managers, our results indicate that investing managerial time in obtaining consensus is more important for a differentiation than for a low‐cost strategy and is particularly important when using a differentiation strategy in a stable environment. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The quest for monetary and financial stability: a review of professor Dilip M. Nachane,critique of the new consensus macroeconomics and implications for India

We review Professor Nachane’s book on New Consensus Macroeconomics. The Review argues that such a consensus is possible not at theoretical level, but at policy level, clarifies the link of Keynes’s General Theory to his Treatise, introduced in the book, brings out contributions of Wicksell, Clower, and Schumpeter, missed out in the book, and evaluates the discussion of issues in central banking/financial sector reforms. The book emphasizes monetary/financial stability. We recommend applying a proposal for regulatory veto to securitized bundles of loans issued by different lenders. These represent business or gambling bets rather than theoretically possible aggregation of risks.     

基于构建与维系组织间信任与共识关系的信息技术应用——一个体现共赢优势和共享利益的个案研究

追踪企业信息化失败的实例可以发现,作为委托方的企业与作为实施方的IT企业之间无法取得谅解,从而导致实施方的信息技术不具“适配性”和“有效性”,是目前企业信息化建设中的主要问题。企业信息化过程体现为一种组织间的互动关系,信息技术的应用取决于组织间的信任与共识。信息技术作为信息化过程中重要的静态资源,需要双方在互动中构建与维系彼此间信任和共识的关系,并由此发展为可持续的动态竞争能力,才能在企业中得到最佳应用。