黑龙江省农民工返乡创业政策支持研究

现阶段,黑龙江省已经面临返乡农民工转移就业的严峻形势。在这些返乡的农民工群体中不乏一些具备一定技术和管理经验的人才,想凭借自己的一技之长开创一番事业。但在创业过程中遇到了许多自身难以克服的困难。为促进农民工返乡创业,黑龙江省应提供创业教育培训、创业融资支持和创业环境优化等政策支持。     

基于多目标加权灰靶决策模型的军队第三方物流供应商选择研究

针对军队第三方物流供应商选择问题,结合军事物流特点,建立了第三方物流供应商评价指标体系,详细阐述了运用多目标加权灰靶决策模型选择第三方物流供应商的步骤,并进行了实例分析。     

基于支持向量机的品牌特色专业评价

简述了江苏省教育厅在本科品牌专业、特色专业验收时的验收标准。利用支持向量机建立了品牌专业、特色专业验收时的验收模型。通过实例,结果表明支持向量机比较精确和有效。     

基于价值工程的绿色建筑投资决策研究

绿色建筑是降低我国建筑能耗、促进可持续发展的必要选择。而投资决策方法是否得当直接影响着开发商对绿色建筑的选择与否。文章指出了传统财务分析只考虑直接经济效益而忽略建筑全寿命成本的不合理性,初步建立了基于价值工程的投资决策系统,为企业提供了一套简易可行的绿色建筑投资决策方法。     

大学生模拟创业平台体系的构建研究——以福州大学为例

本文总结了福州大学的学生模拟创业平台体系,即学生首先通过创业教育,培养创业意识,学习基本的公司管理知识,培养团队管理能力,之后利用社团互助平台,获取人力资源,组建团队,随之在赛事训练平台开展虚拟和实体的创业实践训练,在此基础上,形成成熟创业计划的团队,可申请孵化,进入创业孵化平台。该平台体系系统上具有有序性,运作上又具有系统性,可供有关同行参考。     

An integrated decision-support approach in prioritizing risks of non-indigenous species in the face of high uncertainty

When evaluating the risks of future invasions, we often have sparse information on the likelihood that a species will arrive, establish and spread in a new environment, and on the potential impacts should this occur. Conventional risk assessment, therefore, is limited in providing guidance in managing the risk of non-indigenous species (NIS). However, risk management decisions must be made facing these uncertainties to avoid high and irreversible impacts.We develop an integrated ecological economic modeling and deliberative multi-criteria evaluation (DMCE) approach to support group decision-making in risk prioritization, using an example of ten NIS that could potentially impact Australian plant industries. This innovative approach seeks to combine the advantages of dynamic modeling with the benefits of DMCE in assessing and communicating uncertainty. The model unveils the complexity of the socio-ecological system of biological invasion, with a scenario analysis designed to interactively communicate scientific uncertainty to decision-makers. The DMCE provides a structured approach to identifying stakeholders' key concerns in addressing economic, social, and environmental dimensions of NIS risk explicitly. Functioning as a platform for risk communication, the DMCE also offers an opportunity for diverse views to enter the decision-making process and for the negotiation of consensus consensuses.     

The value of nonindigenous species risk assessment in international trade

Managing the introduction of nonindigenous species is becoming a major goal of policy-makers at regional, national and international scales. Here we investigate, at the national level, the ideal design and expected net benefits of a risk assessment program for evaluating the desirability of nonindigenous species imports. We show how to enhance the statistical rigor of such a system by correcting a common non-random sampling problem encountered in the data. This correction enables model output to be interpreted in an economically relevant way and facilitates a theoretically rigorous characterization of the balance between trade and nonindigenous species establishment risk. Using reptiles and amphibians imported to the U.S. as a case study, we characterize economic outcomes over a range of cases and demonstrate substantial expected returns to such a screening program, relative to the current effectively open-door policy. Our results are informative for the current debate in the U.S. about whether to require federal agencies to apply risk assessment before allowing a species for import. The framework presented decomposes a complex argument about risk management into component economic and statistical parts, allowing for debate and improved understanding over each element to inform the overall program in a transparent fashion.     

消减城乡公共产品供给差异的策略——基于政治支持差异假设的探视

本文认为导致城乡公共产品供给差异的根本原因是地方政府官员根据不同主体能够给予的政治支持做出的理性选择。文章强调了政治支持差异对地方官员行为的影响,并把上级政府、城市居民和农村居民的政治支持纳入一个统一的分析框架,分析了地方官员从不同主体获得的政治支持权重大小顺序,给出了其最优策略的均衡条件。如果要实现基本公共产品均等化目标,则需优化政治支持结构。     

管理者过度自信与企业金融行为研究述评

行为金融学在放宽理性经济人假设的基础上,分别从投资者非理性和管理者非理性视角研究金融投资和企业决策。基于管理者非理性视角,从企业投资决策、融资决策以及股利分配决策等方面总结了管理者过度自信影响公司金融行为的研究成果,并就这一领域未来的研究方向提出了建议。     

高校领导决断力探微

决断力就是指高校领导或高校领导团队在高校管理实践中坚决果断地做出决策的能力,是高校领导力体系中的一个重要的组成部分,由高校领导决策能力和勇敢果断的性格品质两大核心内涵构成,并蕴藏其特殊的决断过程——“黑匣效应”。然而,在高校管理实践中,存在高校领导决断力的缺失现象。高校领导可以通过弄清决断过程,优化决策引力;提高分析判...