基于行业化的石油勘探开发项目监督管理体系研究

为了找出适宜行业发展的监督管理体制,在国内外相关研究成果的基础上,分析了我国石油勘探开发项目监督管理的现状。针对现行的甲方一体化监督存在的问题,提出了由三大石油公司联合,建立石油行业层面的勘探开发项目监督管理体系,对石油勘探开发项目实行全行业统一、规范的标准化监督管理。阐述了构建基于行业化的石油勘探开发项目监督管理体系的主要做法和监督管理机制的运行。     

中国区域金融发展差异的财政因素研究——基于财政压力与地方政府干预视角的分析

本文从各区域财政能力与金融能力变动的对比入手,证实了我国各区域均存在＂强金融,弱财政＂现象。用财政压力指标替换财政能力指标,详细论证了区域财政压力增长率与区域FIR增长率之间存在的反向变动关系。最终说明了区域财政压力差异性造成地方政府干预金融资源市场化配置的激励不同,并最终导致区域金融发展速度差别这样一个连锁反应的存在。     

二季度债券市场收益率曲线将陡峭化上行

在充裕资金面的影响下,一季度银行间债券市场走出一波温和上扬行情,10年期国债收益率从年初的3．7％左右下行至一季度末的3．35％附近。文章综合相关数据分析后预计,未来工业增加值增速、货币供应量将有所放缓,新增贷款有望平稳增长,宏观经济仍将高位运行,结合经济走势相似年份的CPl均值,预计二季度CPI上行至3％后逐步回落,国债及政策性金融债收益率曲线整体小幅上行,收益率曲线呈现陡峭化态势。     

Does corporate social responsibility influence the corporate performance of the U.S. telecommunications industry?

This study uses a two-stage approach to explore the relationship between the operational performance of U.S. telecommunications companies and their implementation of corporate social responsibility (CSR). In the first stage, this study adopts the dynamic data envelopment analysis model to measure the efficiency of the telecommunications industry in the U.S. from 2004 to 2008. The empirical results show that the corporate efficiency of those companies that implemented CSR was higher than that of those companies that did not. In the second stage, the study adopts OLS and 2SLS to explore the influence of the execution level of CSR on performance. The results show that the Kinder, Lyndenberg, and Domini & Co (KLD) social ratings indexes are significantly and positively related to corporate performance. Finally, this study suggests ways in which corporate policy makers can enhance CSR in order to improve corporate performance in the U.S. telecommunications industry.     

Policy analysis and advocacy for livestock-based development: The gap between household-level analysis and higher-level models

The dichotomy in approaches to policy analysis for developing countries’ livestock sectors is presented. Substantial experience and information generated from a large number of household-level studies is not being utilised by macro- and aggregate models which fail to recognise heterogeneity, dynamics and fundamental drivers of change in livestock systems. Household-level studies are not standardised and rarely identify and characterise key drivers and mechanisms for exploiting heterogeneity in policy analysis. The paper provides an overview of a set of six papers contained in a special edition which define and address this gap in analytical approaches and identify aspects of the way forward. Evidence is presented of inconsistencies and practicalities which emphasise the gap, but all papers present evidence of integrative progress and list opportunities for accelerating it. Constraints on the subject matter are outlined and a challenge to livestock policy analysts is made.     

基于PSM-DID模型的政策对试点企业经营绩效的影响评价研究——以供应链创新与应用试点政策为例

近年来,我国政府积极推进供应链领域政策的制定与发布,如何更好地评估既有政策带来的绩效成为政府进一步完善供应链相关政策的关键。本文选取商务部“供应链创新与应用试点”政策(商建函[2018]142号)作为研究对象,并构建双重差分倾向得分匹配(PSM-DID)模型,将试点企业经营绩效中的盈利能力指标ROA作为被解释变量,利用Stata15.0对2015~2019年5年间覆盖3494家样本企业的面板数据,共15278个样本进行处理计算,以此对该政策实施对试点企业经营绩效的影响效果进行评价。结果表明:2018年开始实施的供应链创新与应用试点政策,对试点企业的经营绩效ROA有着显著的正向促进作用。此外,企业规模、企业的资产负债率、托宾Q值和企业固定资产投资比率都对ROA有显著影响。其中企业规模和托宾Q值对ROA有正向影响,资产负债率和固定资产投资比率对ROA有负向影响。     

The role of social proximity in professional CEO appointments: Evidence from caste/religion‐based hiring of CEOs in India

Research Summary: The role of homophily in CEO appointments at the largest corporations is an important subject in corporate governance. This subject is particularly important in a country like India where a multitude of religions, castes, and communities form its social fabric. We test for the role of homophily in professional CEO appointments in India by empirically examining the preference for same caste/religion CEOs by the largest firms. Using a unique dataset, assembled by detailed identification of castes/religions from family names and counterfactuals obtained through the Coarsened Exact Matching technique, we find that caste/religion plays a crucial role in CEO selection as a source of information (positive discrimination). The evidence is not consistent with its use to pursue taste‐based preferences (negative discrimination). Managerial Summary: We test for the role of homophily in the appointments of CEOs in India by empirically examining the preference for same caste/religion CEOs by the largest firms. We find that caste/religion plays an important role in CEO selection, i.e., as a form of information or “positive discrimination.” The evidence is not consistent with its use to pursue taste‐based preferences or “negative discrimination.”     

出口信用保险对我国出口贸易影响的实证分析

出口作为拉动经济发展的＂三驾马车＂之一,在我国经济发展中起到举足轻重的作用,为了促进出口贸易的发展,我国实施了多项出口贸易鼓励政策。本文对出口退税、出口信用保险、出口贸易三个变量进行协整分析,并通过VAR模型估计以及脉冲响应函数及方差分解的实证分析,得出三个变量的相互关系;同时通过两个因素的实证比较,得出出口信用保险虽然在短期内对出口贸易的影响还不够显著,但从长期看却是显著的,并且要大于出口退税对出口贸易的影响程度,最后提出发展我国出口信用保险的政策建议。     

基于价值增值的比较优势研究

本文基于Hummels et al．（2001）的分析框架,利用OECD提供的投入产出数据库,计算并比较中国与其他29个主要经济体产品增值率指数及增值比较优势指数。实证结果显示,我国的比较优势产业主要集中在制造业,然而这些比较优势产业的增值率不仅低于服务业和农矿制造业,并大大低于同一产业的世界平均水平。     

贫困山区农村最低生活保障制度运行绩效分析——以湖南省农村某地为例

农村最低生活保障制度的实施对于解决农村贫困问题有着十分重要的意义,而具体的实施效果是多种因素综合作用的结果。以湖南省张家界市农村地区调查资料为基础,建立农村最低生活保障制度的绩效评价体系。制度的实施使农村贫困人口逐年减少,以少量的财政资金解决了大量贫困人口的温饱问题。然而,制度的覆盖面仍需进一步扩展,保障对象的甄别机制仍需进一步完善,制度的公平性和有效性仍有较大的改进空间。