THE INFLUENCE OF FUNDAMENTALS ON EXCHANGE RATES: FINDINGS FROM ANALYSES OF NEWS EFFECTS

Abstract As we survey the literature of macroeconomic news in the foreign exchange market, we can by now look back on nearly 30 years of research. The first studies which analysed news effects on exchange rates were established in the early 1990s (see, for example, Dornbusch). Almost at the same time Meese and Rogoff published their influential paper, revealing the forecasting inferiority in exchange rates of structural models against the random walk. This finding has shocked the pillars of exchange rate economics and thus cast general suspicion on research focusing on fundamentals in this field. The eventual rising popularity of event studies can partly be attributed to the re‐establishment of the raison d’être of exchange rate economics. This work focuses on systematically surveying this literature with particular respect to its primary goal, i.e. shedding light on the analytical value of fundamental research. Thus, its major findings are, first, fundamental news does matter, whereas non‐fundamental news matters to a lesser degree. Second, news influences exchange rates via two separated channels, i.e. incorporating common information into prices directly or indirectly based upon order flow. Third, with a few exceptions the impact of fundamental news on exchange rates is fairly stable over time.     

试论建立成本中心加强成本管理提高煤矿经济效益

以建立成本中心加强成本管理，在煤炭企业中的特殊作用为题材。论述了只有加强成本管理，才能使煤炭企业得以生存，才能保证企业稳步发展，使企业经济效益进一步提高，实现扭亏为盈。     

江苏畜牧兽医职业技术学院新校区工程规划后评价

本文对江苏畜牧兽医职业技术学院新校区工程规划进行后评价研究,首先对建设项目后评价的定义、相关的基本概念以及理论基础、评价方法进行详细阐述,重点对新校区工程规划进行后评价,构建了规划后评价指标体系,并且运用模糊综合评价的方法进行了分析,为后续工程提供了宝贵经验。     

出口型企业危机预警理论研究与系统建构

出口型企业在我国经济建设和发展中起着举足轻重的作用。金融危机爆发以来,我国出口型企业遭受了巨大的冲击,2009年的出口贸易首次在改革开放之后出现了负增长。这使得企业界和理论界开始高度重视和认真思考如何预防、减轻甚至杜绝危机的问题。本文首先分析了出口型企业的危机来源和分类,然后对危机监测、危机评估、危机预警、危机预控等理论的研究现状进行了综述,接着基于危机管理理论和系统管理理论建构了企业危机预警系统。该系统模型可以应用于出口型企业、行业协会和政府有关监管部门,有利于提高出口型企业应对危机的能力、水平和效率。     

绩效考核奖惩机制与医院经营目标关系的探讨

科室考核奖惩机制的建立是医院经营目标实现的基础和保障。医院的各级管理者必须懂经济,会经营,善于利用各种经济杠杆管理医院。文章从考核奖惩机制的建立到运用,进一步探讨了绩效考核奖惩与医院经营目标之间的关系。     

音乐课程教学的创新与实践

本文通过对音乐专项课课程改革,近八年的电子琴专项课的教学实践,从树立正确的电子琴专项教学理念、教学观;做好电子琴专项教学与分组合作教学相结合的教学方法;师生互敬互爱,建立一种健康、向上、活跃的课堂环境;建立良好的评价机制,调动起学生的学习积极性等四个方面谈了自己的教学体会。     

Behind managerial reforms: the French experience

Inspired by new public management (NPM), managerial reforms in many countries from the 1990s onwards focused on three criteria: effectiveness, efficiency and enhancing service quality. These criteria were meant to be given equal weight in measuring performance, but this paper shows that some criteria dominated. The reform experiences of four countries are compared, with a focus on French reforms.     

Fuller Employment with Uptrending Prices: The 1968 Economic Report

When used in those spheres of life where attaching a price tag or making an economic calculus is impossible or loses any meaning, markets usually under perform and disappoint. In addition to empirical shortcomings of markets, the unrealistic theoretical assumption and poor predictive and explanatory value of neoclassical equilibrium theory provides fertile ground for critics of the institution of markets. Complexity theory provides a theoretical framework that enables us to analyze the role of markets from a radically different perspective than that offered by neoclassical equilibrium theory and, therefore, to reach very different conclusions about the role of markets in industrialized economies.     

Share price anticipation of earnings and management's discussion of operations and financing

This paper combines research on the measurement of disclosure quality and the measurement of share price anticipation of earnings to produce a new test of the usefulness of the information disclosed in management discussions of operations and financing for predicting future earnings. Market-Based Accounting Research has shown that earnings changes are anticipated and impounded in prices well before the financial year for which earnings are reported. This price anticipation leads to downward biased earnings response coefficients (ERCs) in the commonly estimated regression model of returns on contemporaneous earnings changes. We exploit predictable differences in the biasedness of the ERC estimate across firm-years to test the hypothesis that share prices are better informed when the annual report contains a detailed discussion of the firm's operations and financing. Our results suggest that such voluntary disclosure may have been useful in predicting future earnings changes. The effect would appear to be strongest (1) in models that examine one-period-ahead and two-period-ahead share price anticipation and (2) when we employ a disclosure index that captures forward-looking information.     

Some Determinants of Core Competencies: Evidence from a Binary-Logit Analysis

Despite the increasing recognition of the salience of core competencies in the process of competition, the notion of core competencies has remained largely ambiguous in the literature. Neither is it clear what strategies, institutions, and resources are necessary for developing and sustaining core competencies. This paper uses the binary-logit model to explore the determinants of core competencies, and identifies investment in intangible assets, marketing/promotional activities and firm size as significant determinants of core competencies. An evaluation of the technology strategies of two competence-seeking firms also points to the increasing salience of intangible assets, decentralization/globalization of the R&D function, and the intensive search for knowledge and capabilities.