农业高新技术投资项目风险评价

The agricultural high-teeh investment project （AHIP） is eharaeterized by technology-intensive, high risk and great profit. This article analyzes essential factors of the risks of the agricultural high-tech investment projects and the traditional risk evaluation method of agrtcultral projects. We think that the applications of the sensitivity, analysis and probability ore defer. Therefore; this article introduces a structural model to evaluate the risks of the agricultural high-tech investment projects and the system of the concrete evaluation indexes.     

Technology level evaluation methodology based on the technology growth curve

Technology has been the driving force of development for knowledge-based economies. As competition in technology innovation among nations becomes more intense, there is a growing need for improved judgment, evaluation and prediction of scientific technology capacity in order to enhance national competitiveness. Until now, a country's technology level has been evaluated on a relative basis by comparing it with that of the country with the world's best technology. However, this kind of static methodology makes the interpretation of results unclear and makes time series analysis difficult. One of the most important limitations of this methodology is that it cannot be used to establish a strategy to improve the technology level. This paper examines the methodological problems of technology level evaluation and develops a dynamic methodology by applying the technology growth curve model. We also analyze the real technology level by using a new model application and review the relevance of this method. Finally, we discuss how to use the results in order to create a dynamic technology strategy.     

基于PCA/FCM的企业信用评价研究

针对我国企业信用评价问题的特点,文章分析了企业信用评价基本原则和主要影响因素,建立了企业信用评价指标体系。企业信用评价是一类包括一系列独立变量的分类问题,将主成分分析与模糊理论引入信用评价中,构建基于PCA/FCM的企业信用评价模型,这使得模型更接近人们的思维方式、指标赋权更为客观。应用该模型及SPSS11.0、MATLAB7.0对所选企业研究显示:该模型非常有效和实用。     

客运企业服务品质综合评价模型研究——基于顾客满意度理论

本文将顾客满意度理论应用于交通运输行业,建立了用于衡量旅客运输企业服务品质的旅客满意度评价理论框架,框架由6个因素组成,其中预期质量、感知质量和感知价值是旅客满意度的原因变量,旅客抱怨和旅客忠诚则是旅客满意度的结果变量。基于上述6变量本文分别设计了评价指标体系,并设计了评价流程。     

农业增长方式转变与可持续发展研究--以江苏省为例

农业现代化的进程中,农业的增长方式从粗放型向集约型转变。文章建立农业增长方式模型,评估改革开放以来江苏农业增长方式转变状况。通过分析农业要素生产率、要素投入弹性系数和农业产出增长集约度的变化来证实资源配置的效率是农业增长的源泉。从资源配置的矛盾中分析农业发展的前景。从人口资源环境的视角分析农业可持续发展的途径。     

战略型新兴产业评价模型构建及实例分析

战略型新兴产业已成为国家经济复兴的一剂良药,它必将改变经济增长轨迹和产业格局。文章界定了战略型新兴产业的内涵,概括了战略型新兴产业的特征;结合钻石理论,由产业资源潜力、产业联动效应、产业竞争能力、产业需求能力及外部影响因素——政府和机会等六大指标入手,构建了战略型新兴产业评价指标体系,形成了以产业贡献力和产业成长力为纵横坐标的三维空间评价模型;以江苏省镇江市为例,对新能源、新材料、电子信息、航空制造和海洋工程等五大战略型新兴产业的发展状况进行评价。评价结果初步发现,电子信息和新材料产业方面的既有优势明显,可成为该市未来发展的支柱性产业;新能源、海洋工程和航空制造产业发展状况乐观,在大力培育和扶持之下,会有明显的积蓄优势。     

生态文明建设要走在最前列——关于长沙实施绿色发展崛起战略的思考

强化生态文明理念是长沙发展加快转型的主要动力。强力推动绿色发展是长沙发展加快转型的主要目标。加强生态环境建设,是长沙发展加快转型的主要路径。     

上海外高桥保税区发展水平的集成综合评价研究

本文首先建立了上海外高桥保税区发展水平综合评价指标体系,然后针对不同综合评价方法得出的评价结果可能存在差异的现象,结合模糊综合评价和因子分析的特点,提出了一种把模糊综合评价和因子分析相结合的集成综合评价方法,并对上海外高桥保税区发展水平进行了横向和纵向集成综合评价。应用表明,该集成综合评价方法比单一方法更加全面和有效。     

An efficiency analysis of Swedish employment offices

In this paper the method–production frontier analysis is used to analyse differences in efficiency between different Swedish Employment Offices. Earlier empirical labour market policy evaluation studies have utilised various measures that, however, do not take into consideration differences between organisation units. The main result of this investigation is that employment offices show major differences in the efficiency with which they carry out their job matching services.     

桂林旅游业主导性评析

通过实证分析,对旅游业和工业与宏观经济指标进行相关分析,对两个变量与宏观经济变量的相关性进行比较,就如何建立旅游业在桂林市经济发展中的主导性的评价体系作出设想,依此对旅游业的主导性作出理论探讨