上市公司财务实力定量评价方法探析——基于主成分分析框架研究

上市公司是我国的绩优公司,对上市公司财务实力进行定量分析具有重要的现实意义。文章详细介绍主成分分析法的基本模型思想和解决问题思路,并构建了上市公司财务实力评价指标体系,进一步指出主成分分析法在上市公司财务实力定量评价中的具体运用以及怎样去对比和分析计算结果,总结了主成分分析法在上市公司财务实力定量评价中的优缺点并进行展望。     

危机之下人之心态——解读海明威《一个干净明亮的地方》

海明成是20世纪美国著名的小说家,其短篇小说《一个干净明亮的地方》是一部典型的虚无主义小说。文章以独特的视角描写了身处危机之下不同人的不同心态。     

金融危机后中国玩具产业发展前景研究

我国玩具业是劳动密集型产业,长期处于贴牌代工模式,发展较为平稳。2007年以来金融危机的不断恶化,给一直以出口为主的我国玩具业带来了极大的影响和挑战。面临这样的冲击,我国玩具业应采取积极的应对措施来缓解"寒冬期"的压力,除了政府的大力支持外,还要从市场、策略、品牌和技术等多方面入手,制定有效应对方案,转"危"为"机",迎来我国玩具业的下一个"春天"。     

Foreign investment,corporate governance and performance in the Chinese listed A Share companies

We present a novel lens on the presence and impact of qualified foreign institutional investors (QFII) in top shareholdings of the non-financial domestically listed Chinese ‘A’ share firms. The initial results suggest that the presence of a QFII as a top shareholder in these companies is associated with their better performance, using both Tobin’s Q and ROA as the performance measures. Our models include variables representing corporate governance mechanisms, foreign legal person shares, a proxy for international affiliations and a number of time-variant firm characteristics. Economically, the coefficient of impact on the market measure is the more significant, while the effect of having a QFII in top shareholdings on both performance measures is empirically significant. Previously, studies have often ignored the potential for reverse causality beyond using lagged regressors. This is problematic. Therefore, we follow up with a 2SLS instrumental variables and system GMM model to further mitigate this potential and find the empirical relationship holds. Contrary to earlier work on QFIIs and governance post-implementation of the QFII scheme, the findings from our models suggest that the presence of a QFII top shareholder augments market performance holding equal existing corporate governance mechanisms and other controls.     

Access to Finance,Financial Development and Firm Ability to Export: Experience from Asia–Pacific Countries

With particular reference to Asia–Pacific countries, the present study examines how access to finance and financial development affects firms’ ability to enter export markets. Using firm‐level data from the World Bank Enterprises Survey, we found that access to finance plays a significant role in improving firms’ ability to export. In addition, development of the financial sector fosters export market entry. Among the financial development indicators, reach of the banking sector variable is most prominent. The present study suggests that improvements in access to finance and financial development (increases in the reach of the banking sector) enable firms operating away from capital or major cities to enter export markets easily. The present study supports policy intervention to strengthen access to the financial sector, which would encourage firms to export, and to facilitate export market entry for remotely located firms.     

金融危机中凸显我国建设和谐社会的重要性

在全球性金融危机的影响下,我国市场经济基本保持稳定发展,事实证明和谐社会是我国党中央领导集体总结改革开放的历史经验而提出的战略性理论,是经得起考验的,其充分显示出我国构建和谐社会的重要性。     

Long‐run Effect of the Global Financial Crisis on Singapore's Tourism and the Economy

This study employs recent Singaporean tourism survey data, the updated Singaporean input–output tables and a computable general equilibrium model to gauge the long‐run effects of the 2008 global financial crisis and selected policy responses. The simulation results suggest that the global financial crisis has had mild negative long‐run effects on the overall development of Singapore's economy, and that the GST deduction policy ought to offset this negative effect.     

Forecasting corporate financial distress in the Southeast Asian countries: A market-based approach

This study is conducted to investigate the prediction of corporate financial distress based on the Merton (1974) market-based Distance to Default (DD) model over the period from 1997 to 2016 which covers a range of economic financial circumstances, including the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) and Global Financial Crisis (GFC). The study focusses on the six largest countries in the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC), comprising of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. Unlike previous studies which focus mainly on bankruptcy, this paper focusses on early warning distress indicators that signal distress well before bankruptcy. This is when firms experience difficulty in servicing debt as measured by interest coverage ratio (ICR) at a firm level and non-performing loans (NPLs) at a country level. Key empirical findings from this paper indicate that the market-based distance-to-default (DD) model is generally a good early warning indicator of financial distress in the following year, particularly for ICR, but that prediction accuracy varies between individual countries in the Southeast Asian region.     

新型农村金融组织与县域经济协同发展研究

从当前发展现状来看,新型农村金融组织与县域经济未能互生互长,协同发展.在此情形下,建立新型农村金融组织与县域经济协同发展机制对推进两者互动发展有着重要的实践指导意义.在对新型农村金融组织与县域经济协同发展概述的基础上,分析两者协同发展要素,探讨两者协同发展的一般模式,深入研究两者协同的理想模式——门槛条件下新型金融组织深化的内生增长模型,并制定出两者协同发展路径.     

企业家创新精神与企业财务绩效关系的实证研究

企业家精神是一种重要的生产要素,也是经济增长的重要驱动力。企业家精神的核心是企业家创新精神,文章的研究对象是企业家创新精神与企业财务绩效的关系,主要采用实证的研究方法,通过研究发现,企业家创新精神和企业财务绩效具有显著地正相关关系,本文在此研究结论的基础上,把企业家创新精神要素分为核心要素与表现要素两个层面,进而从这两方面实证分析企业家创新精神对企业盈利能力、偿债能力、成长能力和营运能力等财务绩效指标的影响。