Secured Loans and Risky Assets in a Monetary Economy

We study the implication of secured credit with a default option for monetary equilibrium. The intermediary structure has the feature of costly state verification, with the monitoring cost interpreted as the cost of foreclosing assets once a default occurs. Without monitoring costs, uncertainty in asset payoffs does not matter for allocation. The asset price can exhibit a liquidity premium because more assets as collateral raises the borrower's credit limit. When there are monitoring costs, the asset's liquidity premium is strictly positive because pledging more assets reduces the default probability and thus the chance to incur monitoring costs. Under some circumstances, increased risk to dividends of the pledged asset may decrease the marginal borrowing cost to such an extent that bank lending rises, and higher default rates are accompanied by larger aggregate liquidity.     

Shadow Funding and Economic Growth: Evidence from China

Using popular liability-side wealth management products in China, we construct an informative measure of shadow funding and shadow credit by extension. This measure reflects the risk appetites of financial intermediaries and their ability to expand their balance sheets through bank–shadow-bank cooperation. Our measure possesses unique predictive power for future economic activity. An increase in the measure corresponds to increases in investment and consumption, which, in turn, reduce financing costs due to improvements in economic development.     

文化创意园区企业集群融资的策动机理与路径

文章阐述了运用创意产业链集群和信誉链“双链”的“合力”共同策动集群融资的机理,结构方程模型（SEM）实证结果表明：创意产业链集群和信誉链质量对园区企业集群融资具有明显的“拉力”作用,且信誉链质量主要依赖于创意产业链集群,而政策制度环境和市场环境对创意产业链集群具有显著的促进作用,但对信誉链形成的激发作用不显著。针对园区内现实集群融资问题,提出政府推动与市场力量需有效匹配和建立群内财务公司实现集群融资的路径建议。     

产业融合视角下物流金融协同发展研究

物流金融是在中小企业融资需求,物流企业和金融机构拓展业务、谋求高收益的现实背景下新兴的一种融资模式。它是一种实现物流企业、金融机构和融资企业三方共赢的融资模式。由于信息不对称和各业务主体短期逐利动机的存在,物流金融业务存在着巨大的信用风险。依据协同理论,物流金融的发展有赖于相关各方的积极协调配合、各个主体长期的有效协同行为以及跨行业信息平台的建立。     

小微企业供应链融资问题研究——基于宁波企业的调研

通过对1 000家宁波中小微企业的调研发现,宁波小微企业众多,但这些企业很难通过传统融资方式获得银行信贷,供应链融资成为缓解宁波小微企业融资难问题的新手段。调查发现小微企业资金需求旺盛,但小微企业实现供应链融资仍面临诸多问题,如供应链聚集风险高,小微企业高分散和高成本性与银行资本逐利性之间存在矛盾,缺乏完整的信用保障体系等。因此解决小微企业融资难问题政府应进一步出台加大对小微企业供应链融资的扶持政策,银行要加强供应链融资产品的设计,小微企业要加强自身信用体系建设。     

企业信息披露、外部市场环境与商业信用

现有企业信息披露研究侧重于其对股东决策的影响,然而供应商作为重要的利益相关者,也会依赖于企业信息披露而调整商业信用策略。利用深交所的信息披露考核来表征公司信息披露质量,实证考察了企业不同信息披露质量对商业信用的影响,以及外部市场环境对两者关系的进一步作用。研究发现,企业的信息披露质量越高,获取的商业信用越多,说明公司信息披露可以降低违约风险和信用风险;进一步研究发现,在竞争更为激烈的行业、市场化程度高的地区,信息披露质量对商业信用的影响更为显著,说明企业信息披露质量对商业信用正面作用的发挥依赖于市场因素。     

商业银行的个人信用评估研究:基于PCA-GA-BP算法

随着个人消费贷款的普及,贷款人的个人信用评估变得尤为重要。本文选取德国和澳大利亚某商业银行的个人信贷数据为样本数据,采用主成分分析提取样本数据的主成分,通过遗传算法优化神经网络的网络结构、初始连接权值和阀值,然后将优化的神经网络算法用于个人信用评估。与其他算法的准确率比较的结果表明,基于主成分分析—遗传算法—神经网络算法的个人信用评估准确率要高,而且模型的网络结构得到优化,运算时间也有缩短。     

Special Issue

The role of informal venture capital in entrepreneurial process and economic development is increasingly recognized by scholars and policy-makers around the world. Much of the attention that this form of financing has received during the last couple of decades is due to its potential to bridge the regional equity gap. This study is concerned with regional distribution of informal venture capital and factors explaining the allocation of informal investments, and it is based on a large random sample of informal venture capital investors in Sweden. The key findings are that the informal venture capital market in Sweden shows a considerable concentration in metropolitan areas and university cities. Further, investments conducted in these places are allocated in proportion to the new business formation rate and concentration of technology-based firms, while the only factor that provides some explanation for the location of informal investments in the peripheral regions is the proportion of the regional population that is considering starting their own business. Finally, there is a small but significant reallocation of informal venture capital from peripheral regions to metropolitan areas and university cities, which shows that the informal venture capital market in Sweden contributes rather to sustaining the regional equity gap than to bridging it.     

有限期内考虑货币时间价值的两级信用期易逝品库存模型

在有限期内考虑货币时间价值的情况下,研究了需求依赖于库存、且供应商与零售商之间、零售商与顾客之间存在两级信用期的易变质产品的库存策略,并建立了相应的库存模型,证明模型存在最优解,并给出了该模型的数值算例.     

商业银行与小微企业的信贷博弈分析

近年来,随着中国金融市场改革的不断深化,金融市场竞争逐渐加强,为了寻找新的增长点,不少商业银行将小微企业作为突破口,大力发展小微企业客户。然而,小微企业收入不稳定、财务管理不规范、抵押物不足等问题提高了对其授信的风险,为商业银行的风险管理带来了挑战。为此,本文构建了一个信号传递模型,来模拟商业银行和小微企业在申请、审批等信贷活动中的动态博弈情形,并通过对均衡的分析,对商业银行应该如何控制小微企业的信用风险提供对策,为加强风险管理提供参考。