多市场接触与市场竞争行为——以中国民航运输业为例

多市场接触竞争理论考虑了同一企业在不同市场的竞争行为的关联性,大量来自西方市场的研究证明多市场接触可导致企业在竞争中"相互容忍",降低市场竞争的激烈程度.参照这些研究方法,本文运用中国国内主要定期航线市场数据,计算出航线多市场接触指数,并进行回归分析.结果显示,尽管中国国内航线市场多市场接触程度较高,但对市场竞争的实际影响微弱.研究还发现管制制度是影响中国航空公司竞争战略的重要因素.     

新开发旅游地市场分析研究——以陕西洛川县为例

通过对洛川县现实和潜在客源市场的调查,分析了洛川旅游市场的空间分布和等级特征、消费者行为特征,并对洛川未来游客的规模进行了预测.在此基础上,探讨了新开发旅游地市场分析的方法.     

Impacts of Market Reform on Spatial Volatility of Maize Prices in Tanzania

Maize is one of the major staples and cash crops for many Tanzanians. Excessive volatility of maize prices destabilises farm income in maize‐growing regions and is likely to jeopardise nutrition and investment in many poor rural communities. This study investigates whether market reform policies in Tanzania have increased the volatility of maize prices, and identifies regional characteristics that can be attributed to the spatial price volatility. To achieve the objectives, an autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity in mean (ARCH‐M) model is developed and estimated in this study. Results show that the reforms have increased farm‐gate prices and overall price volatility. Maize prices are lower in surplus and less developed regions than those in deficit and developed regions. Results also show that the developed and maize‐deficit regions, and regions bordering other countries have experienced less volatile prices than less developed, maize‐surplus and non‐bordering regions. Our findings indicate that investments in communication and transportation infrastructures from government and donor countries are likely to increase inter‐regional and international trade, thereby reducing the spatial price volatility in Tanzanian maize prices in the long run.     

统筹城乡发展与经济发展互动关系研究——以福建省为例

在指出福建省统筹城乡发展过程中存在城乡收入差距拉大、城乡消费水平不断拉大、城乡公共品供给差距显著、城乡产业发展不协调等问题的基础上,运用主成份分析方法、相关分析法和GRANGE因果分析法进行实证分析,论证了经济发展与统筹城乡发展的关系。结果表明:福建省的经济发展与统筹城乡的相关性较大,而且两者之间存在着一种单向的因果关系,城乡统筹发展会促进社会经济的发展,而经济社会的发展又会带动农村的发展,但经济发展不会自动缩小城乡差距,需要政府的作为。     

Non‐Parametric Modelling of CO2 Emission Quota

Dutch glasshouse firms are facing the introduction of a system of tradable CO₂ emission quotas. This paper employs a non‐parametric method for modelling tradable CO₂ emissions of Dutch glasshouse firms. The method is capable of generating shifts in CO₂ emissions across the sample of firms. Moreover, changes in volumes of outputs produced and inputs used are computed. Results show that firms using a conventional heating technology will be net purchasers of CO₂ emissions, whereas firms using more advanced heating technologies will sell part of their emission quota.     

An assessment of the economic and environmental potential of biomass production in an agricultural region

The establishment of deep-rooted perennial species and their processing for biomass-based products such as renewable energy can have benefits for both local and global scale environmental objectives. In this study, we assess the potential economic viability of biomass production in the South Australian River Murray Corridor and quantify the resultant benefits for local and global scale environmental objectives. We model the spatial distribution of economically viable biomass production in a Geographic Information System and quantify the model sensitivity and uncertainty using Monte Carlo analysis. The total potentially viable area for biomass production under the Most Likely Scenario is 360,728 ha (57.7% of the dryland agricultural area), producing over 3 million tonnes of green biomass per annum, with a total Net Present Value over 100 years of A$ 88 million. The salinity in the River Murray could be reduced by 2.65 EC (μS/cm) over a 100-year timeframe, and over 96,000 ha of land with high wind erosion potential could be stabilised over a much shorter period. With sufficient generating capacity, our Most Likely Scenario suggests that economically viable biomass production could reduce carbon emissions by over 1.7 million tonnes per annum through the production of renewable energy and a reduced reliance on coal-based electricity generation. Our analyses suggest that biomass production is a potentially viable alternative agricultural system that can have substantial local scale environmental benefits with complimentary global scale benefits for climate change mitigation.     

竹农技术创新参与意愿的博弈分析

在假定竹农、科研机构都是理性人的基础上,分析了竹农参与技术创新所带来的参与成本、参与收益,并引入概率,对参与决策进行了博弈分析。认为在市场机制的作用和政府的扶持下,当竹农或科研机构对自己的参与收益达到一定综合概率时,竹农或科研机构就愿意参与技术创新。     

退耕还林工程与循环经济模式——云南省鹤庆县研究报告

以循环经济理论为基础,提出蚕-沼-桑的循环经济模式。阐述模式的构建并对其进行了可行性分析;运用盈亏平衡分析方法对种桑养蚕成本与收益进行分析;对蚕-沼-桑循环经济模式进行了效益评价;提出了相关建议。     

从福州市民对旅游服务业的认知谈本地旅游市场的开发

城市居民作为城市旅游服务业体系中的一大组成部分,如酒店的当地居民消费、居民的周边旅游等等。在城市的旅游开发中,需要充分考虑到当地居民的需求,这不但有助于提高旅游业的综合效益,也能大大造福于城市居民,所以,研究城市居民对当地旅游服务业的认知,与研究外来旅游者对当地旅游服务业的认知对于政府,旅游企业及相关部门的决策具有同等重要的意义,以福州市为例进行了服务认知研究,并提出了福州市开发本地居民旅游市场的一些建议。     

我国旅行社行业发展的几个理论问题——对我国旅行社行业制度变迁的考察

简要地回顾和评述了二十多年来我国旅行社行业的发展历程,对一些长期困扰旅行社行业发展的诸如旅游业发展与制度化环境、政府主导与市场主导、“政策失灵”问题,行业垄断还是行业竞争等理论问题提出了独立的见解,并就我国旅行社业的发展趋势与路径选择提出了建设性的意见。