虚拟建设的发展、内涵与组织管理流程

建筑企业若想在激烈的竞争中取得有力的地位，就必须提高自己的管理水平和竞争能力，而虚拟建设就是建筑企业提高竞争力的一条有效途径。文章从计算机技术与建筑业的结合入手研究虚拟建设的发展，揭示虚拟建设的内涵，构建了虚拟项目组织的管理流程。     

国内外二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯生产应用及市场分析

对国内外二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯市场供需作了综述。认为二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯作为重要有机原料品种之一．在我国发展前景看好。指出在现行工艺中，传统光气法对环境有污染，因而从人类社会可持续发展出发，应将以非光气法的二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯合成作为今后技术开发目标。     

异丙苯生产技术和市场分析

综述了国内外异丙苯生产技术发展动向和市场供需情况，对异丙苯的主要工艺技术指标进行了对比，并预测了异丙苯市场发展趋势。高选择性将是异丙苯生产技术趋势之一，随着异丙苯生产能力激增，建议有效抵御市场风险。     

The evolution of the seven steps of selling

The traditional seven steps of selling is perhaps the oldest paradigm in the sales discipline. The seven steps model has served as a basic framework in sales training, personal selling textbooks, and teaching personal selling classes. Very little has changed in this framework since the turn of the 20th century. This article reviews the traditional seven steps of selling, examines transformative factors that have led to changes in each step, and presents an evolved seven steps process. While the traditional seven steps reflected a selling orientation on the part of a firm, the evolved selling process reflects more of a customer orientation in that the focus is on relationship selling—that is, securing, building, and maintaining long-term relationships with profitable customers.     

Expected exponential utility maximization of insurers with a Linear Gaussian stochastic factor model

In this paper, we consider the problem of optimal investment by an insurer. The wealth of the insurer is described by a Cramér–Lundberg process. The insurer invests in a market consisting of a bank account and m risky assets. The mean returns and volatilities of the risky assets depend linearly on economic factors that are formulated as the solutions of linear stochastic differential equations. Moreover, the insurer preferences are exponential. With this setting, a Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation that is derived via a dynamic programming approach has an explicit solution found by solving the matrix Riccati equation. Hence, the optimal strategy can be constructed explicitly. Finally, we present some numerical results related to the value function and the ruin probability using the optimal strategy.     

Optimal pair-trading strategy over long/short/square positions—empirical study

Suzuki [Automatica, 2016, 67, 33–45] solves the optimal, finitely iterative, three-regime switching problem for investing in a mean-reverting asset that follows an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck price process and find explicit solutions. The remarkable feature of this model is that the investor can explicitly take either a long, short or square position and can switch the position, with transaction costs, during the investment period. We run empirical simulations of such multiple-regime switching models. There are very few such attempts in the existing literature because it is difficult to find, first, an explicit solution to the problem and second, appropriate financial assets that follow the artificial stochastic process required by the mathematical model. According to the Monte Carlo simulations of the optimal pair-trading strategy, the mean daily Sharp ratio is more than 2.3, whereas the mean Sharp ratio for the historical simulation of the ‘stub’ pairs (combinations of parent/subsidiary companies) is 0.6886. We believe that the results obtained from performing the empirical simulations are remarkable and consider that the optimal switching strategy of the rigorous mathematical model is applicable to businesses in the real world. For the reference many pseudo-program codes are added, which can help to replicate the optimal trading strategies.     

近30年来我国粮食产量波动影响因素分析

[目的]根据粮食产量波动特征,从自然因素、科技因素(物质装备)、社会经济因素和农业生产条件等方面对粮食产量的影响进行量化分析,为科学合理地制定农业政策,保障我国粮食安全提供理论依据。[方法]文章利用HP滤波法分析1978—2010年我国粮食产量波动特征,并采用灰色关联与层析分析相结合的综合评价法定量分析不同波动周期各影响因子对我国粮食产量波动的影响度。[结果](1)改革开放以来,我国粮食产量经历了完整的6个波动阶段,平均波动周期为6年;(2)除1994—2000年,各波动周期的粮食产量受科技因素的影响最大,且影响日益显著,影响度从1978—1981年的37. 0%增加到2006—2010年的48. 3%,其中,有效灌溉面积的影响增大趋势最为明显,其次是农业机械总动力,化肥施用量的影响呈减弱趋势;(3)社会经济因素对粮食产量的影响呈波动性增加的规律,2006—2010年影响度达到24. 9%;(4)农业生产条件对粮食产量的影响在20世纪80年代初期与科技因素基本持平,此后,除1994—2000年,与科技因素的影响度差距越来越大,到2000—2006年对粮食产量的影响度仅为16. 6%,其中,耕地面积的影响度下降最多,到2006—2010年,影响度仅为1. 1%;自然因素对粮食产量波动的影响最小,且较为稳定,除1985—1988年影响度达到24. 3%,其余波动周期均在8. 7%~12. 4%之间,2006—2010年影响度为10. 2%。[结论]完善农田水利灌溉体系,加强对农业机械指导的"重科技"举措比单纯增加后备耕地数量、改善应对气候变化与自然灾害能力的"靠资源"发展更为有效;加大农田水利投入,完成灌区续建配套与灌排泵站更新改造是目前最重要的发展方向。     

坚持和完善我国农业市场化改革

市场是配置资源效率最高的运行机制,是解决农产品供求矛盾的有效杠杆。但农业又是比较利益低的产业,在市场竞争上处于不利地位,需要政府予以特殊保护。因此,要形成有利于农业健康发展的科学的宏观调控体系。     

医院门诊业务流程病人满意度研究

提供了一套构建医院门诊业务流程病人满意度指标体系的方法。首先对一所二级甲等医院门诊病人进行了两次问卷调查;在数据分析的基础上,提取指标并确定权重。最后,构建了一套评价医院门诊业务流程病人满意度的指标体系。     

ERP实施中的采购业务BPR实践

企业的业务流程重组(BPR)最基本的思想在于充分利用信息系统的潜能以及面向过程的人员与组织管理,对企业业务流程进行根本性的思考和再设计,从而促使经营管理水平得到改善。详细阐述了某矿业集团公司ERP项目实施过程中的采购模式的重建和业务流程再造。