金融发展、银行债务与大股东隧道行为

本文选取我国沪深两市A股上市公司2005—2009年的数据为样本,实证分析了金融发展、银行债务与大股东隧道行为之间的关系。研究结果表明:银行债务对国有企业中的大股东隧道行为没有发挥治理作用;而在非国有企业中,银行债务有效治理了大股东隧道行为;进一步研究表明,上市公司所处地区的金融市场发展程度越高,银行债务对大股东隧道行为的治理作用越有效,并且这一治理作用在国有企业中更为显著。     

商业银行抵押贷款问题调查

抵押是商业银行重要的信用风险缓释技术之一。本报告分析了本轮经济增长中抵押贷款的增长趋势及其风险,比较了国内13家金融机构内部有关抵押的管理制度以及各监管当局现行的抵押监管要求和香港金融管理局抵押品监管指引,指出商业银行要根据抵押资产价格走势调整抵押率、准确定价、充足拨备,避免经营的剧烈起伏。监管当局也要加强经济景气分析和有关抵押资产价格走势分析,对抵押率进行监测,并制定有关抵押问题的监管指引。     

家族企业内部传承进程对贷款期限结构的影响研究

从家族接班人的职位视角,按照家族内部传承的进程,可以把家族内部传承区分为三个阶段：传承前期,传承中期和传承后期。文章基于我国2007-2011年上市家族企业的数据,分析了家族内部传承进程对贷款期限结构的影响。研究结果表明：（1）家族内部传承进程与长期借款比率呈倒“U”型关系。（2）在传承前期,家族内部传承可以促进企业获得长期借款,此结论支持了家族声誉理论。相对于家族间接控制来说,家族直接控制会强化家族内部传承的促进作用。（3）在传承中期,家族内部传承与长期借款比率的关系不显著。（4）在传承后期,家族内部传承会阻碍企业获得长期借款,此结论支持了资产专有理论。与第一代家族成员同时担任董事长和总经理相比,第二代家族成员同时担任董事长和总经理对长期借款比率的负面效应更大。     

A reexamination on the effect of bank competition on bank non-performing loans

This article examines whether competition in the deposit and loan markets results in a more stable or fragile banking industry. Following the assumption that deposit and loan competitions are not separable, a simple equilibrium model is developed. Then, using the aggregate time-series data of Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)-insured financial institutions, we estimate the generalized VAR model of deposit rate (DR), interest margin between the loan and DRs, and non-performing loan ratio. Our results support the competition–fragility hypothesis.     

Banking System Reform in China: The Challenges to Improving Its Efficiency in Serving the Real Economy

The Chinese banking system reform since the country's accession to the World Trade Organization has yielded remarkable success. The major listed commercial banks have improved their operational performance significantly. However, there are some signs of changes in their financial results recently. The expanding debt of non‐profitable enterprises and local governments raises a question on the achievements of the previous reform. Considering that the competition among banks will become severer with financial liberalization under slower economic growth, the banks and supervisory authorities must continue to make greater efforts towards further reform in order to improve the banks' corporate governance and the risk management system.     

Do banking system transparency and competition affect nonperforming loans in the Chinese banking sector?

The increasing importance of transparency practices and the improving status of bank competition in China are rarely explored in nonperforming loans (NPLs) literature. Thus, the purpose of this study is to examine banking system transparency and competition along with macroeconomic and bank-specific variables as determinants of NPL. We use the two-step system GMM dynamic panel model for Chinese banks based on annual data from 2000 to 2014. Our results indicate that high transparency in the Chinese banking system decreases poor-quality assets but not in the case of government-owned banks, whereas increase in competition increases NPL. Moreover, we find mixed results in the context of macroeconomics and bank-specific variables. Our study has practical implications in risk management practices and macro prudential policies.     

小额信贷与小额保险合作发展研究

小额保险可以有效降低农村小额信贷的风险,但目前它们之间缺乏深入的合作。就小额信贷与小额保险相关方的合作效用、合作现状及原因进行了分析,并提出了双方协调发展以获取双赢结果的建议。     

银行信贷与宏观经济波动:2003—2009

基于中国宏观经济金融的现实环境,通过构建反映宏观经济变量之间内在联系的结构向量自回归(SVAR)模型,实证检验2003年以来银行信贷投放对中国宏观经济波动的影响。结果表明:一方面,中国信贷规模资金的投放对宏观经济的稳定发展产生了重要的推动作用,但是信贷投放对经济增长的冲击效应会随着时间的变化逐渐趋弱;另一方面,短期来看,信贷资金的大规模投放不会对物价水平的攀升产生影响,但由于其是物价变动的主要因素,在长期内,必须合理估计中国将来在物价水平调控方面可能面临的较大压力。     

高校助学贷款政策与实施效应相关性研究——以湖南省为例

利用分层抽样方法从部分湖南省高校2004到2008年的助学贷款数据中选取4070个样本,利用SPSS软件分析样本中贷款利率、期限及还款程序、生源地和各学科门类学费等自变量与贷款金额、人数、次数、年限、提前还款与违约率等因变量的相关性。由此建议在目前的政策环境下,推进重点地区生源地贷款与鼓励学生回家乡就业相结合、增加艰苦专业的学生补贴,制定均衡的利率政策,优化贷款程序等可改善国家助学贷款政策的实施效应,从而为助学贷款政策的完善提供一种新的思路。     

Mortgage Credit: Denmark’s Financial Capacity Building Regime

ABSTRACT

The integration of small states into the international financial system has constrained their ability to enact the traditional macroeconomic tools of fiscal and monetary policy. As systems of mortgage credit are tightly integrated into global capital markets and influence flows of capital between states, this paper uses Denmark as a case study to explore whether domestic mortgage sector reforms have been used to build financial capacity to compensate for the loss of economic policy autonomy. The results of this analysis suggest that the Danish government has actively used mortgage credit to meet three specific macroeconomic objectives since the 1980s: (1) mortgage credit was restricted in the 1980s to resolve Denmark's persistent balance of payments problem; (2) liberalisations of mortgage credit in the 1990s and 2000s allowed the Danish government to stimulate the economy via privatised/house-price Keynesianism and reduce their sovereign debt burden; and (3) mortgage credit has been used as a form of privatised monetary policy, allowing Denmark to break-free from the ‘iron-cage’ of the Mundell-Fleming trilemma. It is in these specific ways that the Danish government has used mortgage reforms to achieve macroeconomic policy autonomy and navigate economic challenges whilst adhering to the constraints of the international financial system.