高校助学贷款政策与实施效应相关性研究——以湖南省为例

利用分层抽样方法从部分湖南省高校2004到2008年的助学贷款数据中选取4070个样本,利用SPSS软件分析样本中贷款利率、期限及还款程序、生源地和各学科门类学费等自变量与贷款金额、人数、次数、年限、提前还款与违约率等因变量的相关性。由此建议在目前的政策环境下,推进重点地区生源地贷款与鼓励学生回家乡就业相结合、增加艰苦专业的学生补贴,制定均衡的利率政策,优化贷款程序等可改善国家助学贷款政策的实施效应,从而为助学贷款政策的完善提供一种新的思路。     

Mortgage Credit: Denmark’s Financial Capacity Building Regime

ABSTRACT

The integration of small states into the international financial system has constrained their ability to enact the traditional macroeconomic tools of fiscal and monetary policy. As systems of mortgage credit are tightly integrated into global capital markets and influence flows of capital between states, this paper uses Denmark as a case study to explore whether domestic mortgage sector reforms have been used to build financial capacity to compensate for the loss of economic policy autonomy. The results of this analysis suggest that the Danish government has actively used mortgage credit to meet three specific macroeconomic objectives since the 1980s: (1) mortgage credit was restricted in the 1980s to resolve Denmark's persistent balance of payments problem; (2) liberalisations of mortgage credit in the 1990s and 2000s allowed the Danish government to stimulate the economy via privatised/house-price Keynesianism and reduce their sovereign debt burden; and (3) mortgage credit has been used as a form of privatised monetary policy, allowing Denmark to break-free from the ‘iron-cage’ of the Mundell-Fleming trilemma. It is in these specific ways that the Danish government has used mortgage reforms to achieve macroeconomic policy autonomy and navigate economic challenges whilst adhering to the constraints of the international financial system.     

我国农村土地承包经营权抵押规则初探

本文通过对农村土地承包经营权的抵押标的、抵押效力、实现方式和管制原则的探讨,提出了土地承包经营权抵押不同于一般物的抵押的特殊性,土地承包经营权抵押应遵从其特殊性。     

融资融券对我国银行股的影响研究

2011年11月融资融券业务正式开展,标志着我国证券市场做空时代的到来。以银行板块的16只股票为标的,首先进行了银行指数在事件前后的纵向对比,然后对银行指数与上证综指两组数据进行双重差分模型进行深度研究,分析融资融券业务对A股中银行板块的影响。研究证实,融资融券起到了抑制样本指数波动的作用。     

The efficiency of the Scandinavian banking sector – a wavelet quantile regression analysis

In this article, the Scandinavian housing financing market is analysed in order to determine whether the interest rate price-discovery processes of Denmark, Norway and Sweden are efficient. Based on wavelet quantile regression analysis, we find systematic positive asymmetric price transmission (APT) inefficiencies. We conclude that there is a very high propensity for mortgage lenders to directly increase its customers’ mortgage interest rates subsequently to an increase in its borrowing costs. However, after a corresponding borrowing cost decrease, the same mortgage lenders are very slow to decrease its customers’ mortgage rates. These positive coefficients for so-called APT effects are found in all Scandinavian countries, even if the coefficients for Norway were not statistically significant. Wavelet quantile regression analysis, with a focus on the relevant higher percentiles, is easily motivated since the mortgage rates are adjusted very infrequently. Moreover, wavelet decomposition allows a robust analysis at different time frequency scales, while simultaneously controlling for nonstationary trends, autocorrelation and structural breaks. Except for the still positive but yet insignificant and inconclusive coefficients for Norway, the result is very clear-cut. Regardless of which wavelet scaling decomposition or quantile coefficient that is studied – positive APT effects are clearly identified and confirmed on the Scandinavian mortgage market.     

On Determinants of Japan's Foreign Direct Investment in Eastern Europe

Summary

The paper takes issue with some untested but often repeated assertions that Japanese FDI positions in Eastern Europe are weak. Japan's economic relations with Eastern Europe, including FDI, should be understood in the context of Japan's global economic relations. Therefore, it might not be appropriate to approach the question armed with absolute FDI numbers only. So, the author proceeds to empirically test some of these assertions by calculating directional trade ratios and directional FDI ratios! As a result of his approach, he claims that Japan's FDI position in Poland is not significantly weaker compared to its trade position or to other advanced countries' positions. The paper also suggests that, although Japan's FDI in Poland has been undoubtedly stagnant, the larger problem is that the Polish FDI environment is still problematic due mainly to repayment risks and rather low levels of real per capita income.     

从次贷危机成因警惕我国房地产业发展的风险——基于明斯基的金融不稳定理论视角

次贷危机后,人们开始重新审视房地产业的健康发展对于整个国民经济的重要作用.基于明斯基的金融不稳定理论视角,运用明斯基模型解释次贷危机爆发的根源和发展的线路,认为美国房地产经济经历了“正向冲击速发展”“非理性繁荣”“负面冲击”阶段,最终导致危机爆发.我国的房地产业起步较晚,但发展迅猛,房地产泡沫的出现警示我们要警惕房地产经济的明斯基周期.因此,应善用政府干预这一看得见的手管理房地产市场,加强经济政策之间的协调,加快推动住房按揭贷款证券化,以防范中国房地产金融风险.     

从《担保交易立法指南草案》看我国动产抵押的公示——以一般动产抵押为中心

摘要：《担保交易立法指南草案》中一般动产抵押的公示并不是一种权利的宣示,而是一种权利的提示,其采用便捷的公示方法以促进交易;其公示的效力,并不像不动产抵押一样有绝对的排他的效力。若要充分利用动产抵押,需进一步完善我国一般动产抵押制度：简化登记,引入对债务人正常经营范围标准,利用善意第三人的判断标准。     

影子银行信用创造机制及其对货币供应的影响

近几年来,我国的实际新增货币供应总量总是远远突破中央银行制定的信贷规模上限,影子银行的信用创造可谓"功不可没"。同时,影子银行体系的存在也给货币政策的有效性提出了巨大挑战。首先从理论的视角对比分析中西方影子银行体系的两种不同的信用创造机制,然后运用协整分析法以信托贷款量为例分析了其对我国不同货币层次货币供应量的影响,最后提出了相应的货币政策建议。     

农户贷款证券化：结构设计与信用增级

农户贷款证券化为农户贷款经营机构健康持续从事农户信贷提供了一种可行的资本补充与风险管理工具,从传统的资产证券化结构设计看,农户贷款特质决定了它基于不脱离发起人信用的参与式交易结构,并需要通过独立于贷款本身的增级方式——通常是多种方式的组合——来增强债券保障程度,其中,政府机构可以通过提供低成本外部增级扶持和改善发起人的农户贷款经营行为。