House prices, money, credit, and the macroeconomy

This paper assesses the links between money, credit, house prices,and economic activity in industrialized countries over the lastthree decades. The analysis is based on a fixed-effects panelvector autoregression, estimated using quarterly data for 17industrialized countries spanning the period 1970–2006.The main results of the analysis are the following. (i) Thereis evidence of a significant multidirectional link between houseprices, monetary variables, and the macroeconomy. (ii) The linkbetween house prices and monetary variables is found to be strongerover a more recent sub-sample from 1985 to 2006. (iii) The effectsof shocks to money and credit are found to be stronger whenhouse prices are booming.     

中国上中下游价格传导机制研究* ——基于细分行业数据的实证分析

本文通过运用动态贝叶斯网络模型分析方法,测算了2000-2014年上中下游价格指数及各细分行业价格指数之间的传导效应,并分析了货币供给因素对不同价格指数的驱动作用。结果表明,货币供应量对上中下游所有价格指数均能产生影响,对下游价格指数CPI的驱动效应最显著;上中游价格指数向下游价格指数逐级传导效应显著,但跨级传导效应呈递减趋势;同时下游价格指数的变动也会倒逼中上游价格指数变化,但跨级传导效应基本无趋势性。     

基于状态空间模型的汇率和货币供给对通货膨胀影响的实证分析——基于央行资产负债表的视角

从分析人民银行资产负债表的变化出发,运用状态空间模型实证分析了2005年7月至2012年6月中国汇率和货币供给对通货膨胀影响的动态时变过程。研究结果表明:人民币汇率升值对通货膨胀有一定的抑制作用,但其效果较弱;货币供给对通货膨胀有较大的正向推动作用,货币供给的持续增加是人民银行资产负债表中资产方的外汇占款科目不断增加导致负债方的基础货币持续增加的结果。     

电子货币影响短期利率的实证研究:基于狭义电子货币的视角

基于电子货币的狭义定义,本文从狭义电子货币影响货币供求的角度选择影响短期利率的解释变量并构建理论模型。在控制其他影响因素后,发现狭义电子货币对30天期Chibor利率的直接影响并不显著,而主要受传统货币电子化、移动网络等支付技术发展影响的变量,如货币供给流动性、金融电子化程度以及现金漏损率与30天期Chibor利率之间存在长期协整关系,货币供给流动性、金融电子化程度以及现金漏损率对30天期Chibor利率的影响方向均为正。     

Income and Quality of Life: Does the Love of Money Make a Difference?

This paper examines a model of income and quality of life that controls the love of money, job satisfaction, gender, and marital status and treats employment status (full-time versus part-time), income level, and gender as moderators. For the whole sample, income was not significantly related to quality of life when this path was examined alone. When all variables were controlled, income was negatively related to quality of life. When (1) the love of money was negatively correlated to job satisfaction and (2) job satisfaction was positively related to both income and quality of life, income was negatively related to quality of life for full-time, high-income, and male employees. When these two conditions failed to exist, income was not related to quality of life for part-time, median- or low-income, and female employees. This model provides new insights regarding the impact of the love of money and job satisfaction on the income–quality of life relationship. Thomas Li-Ping Tang (Ph.D., Case Western Reserve University) is a Full Professor of Management in the Department of Management and Marketing, Jennings A. Jones College of Business at Middle Tennessee State University (MTSU), Murfreesboro, Tennessee, 37132. He has taught Industrial and Organizational Psychology at National Taiwan University and at MTSU. Professor Tang teaches (has taught) EMBA courses in China and France. He serves (has served) on the editorial review board of six journals and as a reviewer for 26 journals around the world. Professor Tang’s research interests focus upon people’s work motivation, compensation, money attitudes, the Love of Money, pay satisfaction, turnover, stress, and cross-cultural issues. He has published more than 100 journal articles in top behavior sciences and management journals, including Journal of Applied Psychology, Personnel Psychology, Human Relations, Journal of Management, Management Research, Management and Organization Review, Journal of Organizational Behavior, Journal of Business Ethics, Journal of Managerial Psychology, European Sport Management Quarterly, Journal of Higher Education, and others. He has presented more than 185 papers in professional conferences and invited seminars in Austria, China, Czech Republic, Finland, France, Greece, Hong Kong, Italy, Mexico, New Zealand, Singapore, Spain, Taiwan, the UK, the US, and other countries. His research has been cited in many languages, textbooks of several fields (e.g., Management Organizational Behavior, Human Resources Management, Industrial and Organizational Psychology, Human Relations, Compensation, and Statistics), and popular books. He was the winner of two Outstanding Research Awards (1991, 1999), and Distinguished International Service Award (1999) at Middle Tennessee State University. He also received the Best Reviewer Award from the International Management Division of the Academy of Management in Seattle, WA (2003).     

“非中介化”、农户货币偏好与农户信用重建研究

本文对农村金融中的常态“非中介化”和农户货币偏好规律进行了探讨,揭示伴随农户借贷行为而产生农户融资渠道的转变和货币偏好,这两种经济现象背后的实质是信用的核心———普适性信任在发生作用,提出通过建立农户贷款担保基金和强化农村合作经济组织建设,以重构农户信用。同时,通过完善农村信用社的经营机制和产权结构,优化对农户信用缺失约束的外部环境,以增强双方的信任度,从而达到消除农村金融中的常态“非中介化”等对农户收入增长的不利因素。     

货币市场基金对银行业的冲击与挑战

银行业作为间接融资的主渠道 ,在金融体系中具有举足轻重的地位。然而 ,由于货币市场基金的出现 ,打破了银行业在货币市场上的绝对优势地位。随着我国货币市场基金面市步伐的加快 ,对传统银行业提出了挑战并推动了银行业的创新     

货币市场基金影响货币流通速度吗

货币流通速度不仅受实体经济影响,而且受虚拟经济影响,本文运用实证分析方法探讨货币市场基金对货币流通速度是否产生影响,结果表明货币市场基金收益率变动是货币流通速度变动的格兰杰原因,两者正相关,可根据货币市场基金收益率和一年期国债收益率预测货币流通速度,货币政策实施效果受货币流通速度影响,管理者可通过调整货币市场基金政策稳定货币流通速度。     

虚拟经济和实体经济的互动机制——基于联立方程模型的估计

虚拟经济是虚拟资本以金融平台为主要依托而进行的各种经济活动的总和。按照古典的经济二分法可以将经济总体分为实体经济和虚拟经济两个部分,它们作为经济的硬件和软件两个组成部分紧密地联系在一起。全球化经济不可逆,所以研究这二者之间的关系是十分必要的。虚拟经济和实体经济主要是通过货币供应量这个中间媒介形成了自己独有的传导机制。     

基于VAR模型的我国外汇储备、货币供应量与信贷规模关系研究

1994年外汇管理体制改革以来我国外汇储备持续增长,已成为世界上外汇储备最多的国家。巨额外汇储备使得货币供应量增加,银行信贷规模不断扩大。结合2006年至2013年季度数据,基于VAR模型运用协整方法探讨我国外汇储备、货币供应量及银行信贷规模的关系,并通过脉冲响应和方差分解予以进一步分析。结果表明,三变量之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,外汇储备的增长促进货币供应量的增加,而货币供应量的增加又进一步推动了银行信贷规模的扩张。最后,基于以上分析提出相关对策建议。