Government support and bank performance during the 2007–2008 financial crisis

Though previous studies suggest a state participation has a negative impact on banks, this paper highlights the potential benefits of state ownership for confidence and stability in the post-crisis period that can outweigh the inefficiencies and potential for corruption of political intervention. We find that the state guarantees are valuable during the crisis. The negative (positive) relation between state ownership and bank profitability (risk) is mitigated in the post-crisis period. Financially troubled banks that receive a transfer payment or capital injection experience improved performance during the post-bailout period.     

The impact of non-performing loans on bank lending in Europe: An empirical analysis

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, considerable attention has been paid to the accumulation of non-performing loans in the balance sheet of European banks and to its potential negative effects on bank lending to the real economy. Using a dataset composed of bank-specific information and country aggregates, we study the impact of the stock and the flow of non-performing loans on the lending activities of a sample of 75 European banks between 2014 and 2018. In general, higher rates of non-performing loans, together with other variables, are associated with lower growth rates of performing loans. This effect persists across several econometric specifications and is more significant for those banks exhibiting lower growth rates of performing loans. Similarly, our econometric analysis suggests that banks with higher decreases in their rate of non-performing loans tend to lend more to the real economy, an effect which is particularly intense at the right tail of the distribution. The findings of our paper can be useful for policymakers when addressing the resolution of non-performing loans in banks.     

从危机感谈高校危机管理

危机管理在企业界早已有之,但在高校中尚未引起足够的重视。文章将危机管理这一概念引入高校,并分析了高校危机产生的原因,提出高校危机管理工作要树立"防微杜渐"的管理思想。     

体验式培训企业发展策略研究

根据176家培训企业数据的数据分析,认为:宏观经济和市场变化只是诱因,行业本身特征——零散的行业结构、一次性消费特点、价值模糊化、人员流动性高等是体验式培训行业发展状况和培训企业面临问题的根本原因,从转变观念、市场定位、战略联盟、产品研发等方面研究了企业的应对策略。     

浅谈会计诚信危机与对策

要想从根本上彻底地杜绝会计信息的虚假问题,就应从最基层的会计人员缺乏诚信的问题着手,加强会计诚信的宣传教育、提高诚信意识,完善相关机制、加强内部控制,逐步形成良好的诚信环境,进而化解会计行业的诚信危机,挽救会计行业的公信力。     

新自由主义政府观与国际金融危机

新自由主义政府观一直以"小政府、大社会"的政府观著称于世,但这种消极保守式的政治经济主张已无法适应风险社会的要求,这是国际金融危机爆发的根源之一。政府积极有为才是应对风险社会和抗击金融危机的根本之道。但在政府积极有为的过程中,需时刻防范"利维坦"的出现。     

我国大豆产业的危机及对策

首先从我国大豆在生产、进出口、加工等领域存在的问题入手,揭示出国产大豆目前存在重大产业危机。接着,对国内大豆消费、生产、补贴以及价格等因素进行了分析并与主要大豆生产国进行了比较。最后,从提高大豆种植经济效益、发挥大豆协会作用、完善市场体系、打破价格垄断、保护非转基因特色等方面,提出了有针对性的建议。     

Trend and cyclical decoupling: new estimates based on spectral causality tests and wavelet correlations

The issue of decoupling of emerging market economies (EMEs) (especially in the Asian region) from the developments in advanced economies has become a subject of lively debate in recent years. Basically, decoupling seems to comprise three sub-hypotheses: (i) growth spillovers from advanced countries to EMEs decreasing progressively in importance, (ii) business cycles in EMEs becoming less synchronized with those of the advanced world and (iii) strengthening of growth spillovers and cyclical synchronization among the EMEs as a group. The received literature fails to distinguish adequately between the trend and cyclical aspects of the decoupling relationship. We resort to two frequency domain methods (nonstationary spectral causality testing and wavelet correlations), which seem to offer a neat separation of trend and cyclical decoupling. Based on a sample of seven EMEs from the Asian region (including the two large EMEs – China and India), we uncover strong evidence favouring both trend and cyclical decoupling.     

Firm credit in the euro area: a tale of three crises

Using survey data from 2009 to 2011, we analyse the effects of the recent euro area economic, financial and private debt crisis on the supply of and demand for bank finance for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). At the country level, we identify three distinct aspects of the recent crisis in the euro area affecting firm credit through different channels. Controlling for country fixed effects, the impact of a weak real economy on firm credit operates both by reducing firms’ demand for bank financing and by lenders increasing loan rejections and tightening terms and conditions on credit allocated. On the other hand, financial conditions have no significant effect on demand, but they do affect credit supply as we find that financial tensions worsen the chances of obtaining credit and its terms and conditions. We interpret this as evidence of a bank balance sheet channel negatively impacting credit provision. We find that private sector indebtedness has important effects on SMEs’ credit access and its terms and conditions.     

The hard shadow of the Greek economy: new estimates of the size of the underground economy and its fiscal impact

This article presents new estimates of the Greek underground economy and explores the link between the underground economy and aggregate debt. We show that the Greek underground economy has been underestimated heavily and has been on a rising trend again since Greece adopted the Euro. We also present evidence that the size of the underground economy is positively related to the debt-to-GDP ratio, implying that fighting the underground economy is also conducive to financial and macroeconomic stability. Our results suggest that for our sample of 11 EMU member countries, the loss of the inflation tax as an economic policy instrument had drastic consequences. While the underground economy did not have a statistically significant impact on aggregate debt before the introduction of the Euro, it has pushed up the debt-to-GDP ratio in our sample since.