Contagion or Competition: Going Concern Audit Opinions for Real Estate Firms

We examine whether intra–industry information transfers from going–concern audit opinion announcements create contagion or competitive stock price reactions for other real estate firms operating in the same line of business. Using returns from publicly-traded land subdivision/development firms and Real Estate Investment Trusts, we find modest evidence supporting a competitive effect among rival firms as a result of another real estate firm announcing the receipt of a Going Concern Opinion (GCO) from its independent auditors.     

Board Members and Company Value

This essay surveys research about the value of individual members of boards of directors. When directors join or exit corporate boards, company stock prices respond, often in magnitudes of 1% of firm value or more. Related research shows that when a significant event impacts the stock price of one company, the effects are transmitted to other companies that share board members in common with the primary company. Share price reactions are sensitive to variables such as a director’s occupation, independence, and professional qualifications. Together, this evidence suggests that a well-functioning market for directors might already exist, making direct regulation unnecessary and possibly counter-productive.     

A multilateral approach to examining the comovements among major world equity markets

This study investigates the comovement in stock indices among major developed markets, where Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) indices are employed for the purposes of the study. We employ a model that accommodates multilateral international impacts on equity index movements. The empirical results reveal the existence of significant international transmission effects among these major world markets, both in terms of returns and volatility, and mostly in a positive direction. The U.S. market, as expected, is the leading market in the sense that it has the most pervasive and significant impact on all markets across continents. However, the U.S. market exhibits a different relationship with European markets from that with Asia-Pacific markets. The evidence also suggests that strong regional transmission effects exist. A further investigation using the extended model reveals that the linkages between U.S. and European markets are driven by positive global common forces and by negative international competitive effects. On the other hand, the U.S. and Asian markets are linked through positive global common forces and positive international contagion effects. The United States, Canada, and the U.K. are the three markets that still demonstrate contagion influence over countries outside its own region. The Asia-Pacific markets are more susceptible to contagion effects. Finally, it is interesting to find that Japanese market performance became more contagious toward other markets during the Asian financial crisis period.     

薪酬合约的激励有效性研究:一个理论综述

薪酬激励是组织中最常用的激励手段之一，薪酬合约的激励效果直接影响组织效率。本文尝试用激励理论系统阐述各类薪酬合约的激励有效性条件，为这方面研究梳理出一个统一的理论框架。     

旅游业乘数研究辨正

乘数效应是研究旅游业经济影响中广泛使用的一种方法.但"旅游业乘数"是一个伪命题,现有的模型、计算方法是不可靠的,广泛引用的数据也不可信.本文分析了旅游业乘数研究的不足,并提出了几点建议.     

公共选择视角:论组织制度的宽放效应

在组织中,因利益、文化、能力等差异形成的不同利益群体,为博弈各自最大利益所实现的群体共同利益点是所有利益中最小共同点,它是组织为实现一定政治、经济利益目标所确定的最低约束标准和必须实施的强制性要求,是组织中最大范围内的最小认同.当组织为实现更高目标而将制度向某些群体行为倾斜时,不同利益需要群体将与组织倾斜制度不能在最大范围内实现最小认同,使得制度或成本极高或效率极低或极不公平,导致制度出现宽放效应.     

承接金融服务外包对中国就业的影响

研究以金融行业外包服务数据为样本,沿直接与间接两种影响渠道,分析承接金融服务外包对我国就业数量与就业结构的影响,对就业数量变动的流向与趋势进行测算,深入到了劳动力就业质量层面。实证结果表明,承接金融服务外包可以扩大第三产业的相对就业比重,改善知识结构,有利于就业结构与产业结构之间的平衡。但不熟练工人的金融外包业准入将受到限制,加深了他们的就业困境。如何借此机遇将大量低技术劳工培训成合格人才将成为一个严峻的挑战。研究还提出了针对这一新产业形态未来发展的总结与展望。     

社会养老保险新政的运行效果分析——基于沈阳市国有大型企业的调查

利用调查数据重点考察了社会养老保险新政的实际运行效果,指出了目前存在职工参保意愿不强烈、政策有效性尚不明显、对制度长期建设缺乏信心等现实问题,以期对养老保险制度的改革完善提供理论和政策依据。     

民营银行准入的福利效应研究

文章为改善中小企业融资难困境,文章运用信贷配给模型,讨论民营银行准入这项政策的福利效应问题。文章认为在我国金融结构发生深刻变化情况下,民营银行准入不会克服信息不对称这一根源性问题,准入的资产业务内容不同,民营银行的福利效应也会不同,总体上说这一政策的福利效应是有限的。     

制度变迁的动因与效应分析

就制度变迁概念的各种观点作了较深入的比较分析,同时从利益动因、公平效应、效率效应和自由效应等方面阐述了制度变迁的形成原因。